SCP-8788 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-8788
Expected annual
$125.5M
One-time setup
$236.7M
Annual recurring
$72.0M
Personnel
1280
Initial containment and mitigation for a regional program are estimated at roughly $237M one-time capital costs, with ongoing operations of ~ $72M/year. Major drivers are UR-1-NE centrifuge procurement and installation, ongoing staff wages and maintenance, R&D and cover/PR operations, and contingency for emergency response.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $236.7M
Equipment $100.0M
[#1] Specialty-class UR-1-NE centrifuge capital purchase (regional scale assumption: ~100 units at ~$1M each midpoint).
Facilities $60.0M
[#2, #30] Site civil/mechanical installation, plumbing tie-ins, electrical upgrades and integration with existing treatment lines; includes reference to scale scenarios (note #30).
Operation Siccitas Planning $30.0M
[#24] Planning-only costs for Operation Siccitas (one-time planning; execution costs are orders of magnitude higher and are scenario-dependent).
Cover Brand And Plant $20.0M
[#18] Initial brand and manufacturing plant for cover product (regional mid-scale assumption).
Public Health Contingency Fund $10.0M
[#20] Reserve to pay for unexpected hospitalizations, legal settlements and emergency remediation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.0M
[#16] Initial high-containment analytical chemistry / instrumentation program (mass spec, NMR, specialized labs).
Storage Tanks And Containment $2.8M
[#5] Secure bulk collection & double-walled stainless-steel storage tank systems at Foundation sites.
Decommissioning Reserve $2.6M
[#29] Decommissioning & salvage reserve per major site (regional 5-site reserve, midpoint).
Vehicles Tankers Purchase $2.5M
[#7] Specially certified tanker truck purchases (regional fleet estimate).
Operation Dehydration Equipment $1.5M
[#11] Medical/urodynamic rigs and separation equipment for Operation Dehydration per ward (regional aggregate).
Ai Development $1.2M
[#10] Initial AI development for restroom-behaviour analytics (midpoint of $0.5M–$2M).
Bottling Line $750K
[#13] Small secure bottling/processing line one-time capital for D-Class beverage production.
Cameras Installation $500K
[#9] Covert/restroom camera hardware and installation (regional ~500 cameras assumed at ~$1k installed).
Video Storage Build $500K
[#22] Secure classified storage build for captured footage / chain-of-custody archives (on-prem/cloud hybrid).
Tasers Installation $300K
[#21] Automated taser hardware installation in Foundation restrooms (regional ~50 restrooms).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $72.0M/yr
Staff Wages $22.1M/yr
[#12, #10, #26, #27, #14] Salaries for wardens, med techs, security/MTF, research staff, surveillance operators and support staff (regional headcount aggregate).
Cover Story And Legal $14.0M/yr
[#18, #19, #25] Ongoing cover manufacturing/distribution, marketing/PR, regulatory/legal expense and disinformation operations to sustain cover stories.
Centrifuge Maintenance $10.0M/yr
[#3] Scheduled maintenance, spare parts and technical support contracts for UR-1-NE centrifuges (regional fleet estimate).
Contingency Overhead $9.4M/yr
[#28] Program management, procurement specialists and contingency reserves (15% of recurring subtotal used as a regional planning assumption).
Research And Monitoring $4.5M/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing laboratory running costs, analytical consumables and long-term mitigation R&D (neutralizers, filtration upgrades).
Training And Rotation $3.0M/yr
[#14] Psychological screening, recurrent training and rotation costs for high‑turnover posts (12-week limits and replacement training).
Logistics And Transport $1.7M/yr
[#7, #23] Operating logistics program for transport coordination, tanker runs and occasional emergency hauling; excludes per-incident extractions which are separate.
Personnel Medical Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#27] Routine medical checks, long-term monitoring and insurance pools for staff exposed to repeated anomalous cycles.
Covert Extraction $1.2M/yr
[#8] Field surveillance confirmation, plainclothes extraction teams, medical staff and transport for suspected ingestors (assumed regional incident cadence).
Centrifuge Energy And Utilities $1.0M/yr
[#4] Continuous energy, compressors, pumps and HVAC to run centrifuges and associated auxiliary equipment.
Bottling Operations $1.0M/yr
[#13] Operating cost for secure bottling and processing lines (packaging, QC, internal distribution to D-Class).
Supplies And Consumables $650K/yr
[#15, #11] PPE, infection-control consumables, decontamination supplies and disposable collection liners for wards and staff.
Camera Monitoring And Analytics $540K/yr
[#10] AI ops and cloud storage costs for analytic pipeline and flagged footage (human monitoring wages are in staff_wages).
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#2, #29, #28] Ongoing site and structural maintenance for treatment/tank foundations and general site upkeep.
Background And Audits $400K/yr
[#26] Background checks, security clearances and regular internal auditing programs.
Storage Operations And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#6] Tank monitoring, integrity testing, alarms and sample testing for secure SCP-8788 holdings.
Video Data Retention $150K/yr
[#22] Ongoing classified storage costs and archive redundancy for captured restroom footage.
Environmental Remediation $150K/yr
[#23] Hazmat disposal, spent-filter waste handling and contaminated-material disposal per-site (regional aggregate).
Tasers Maintenance $63K/yr
[#21] Maintenance, safety testing and legal compliance for automated taser systems in Foundation restrooms.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $72.0M/yr
74.9% probability / year
Normal operational year for a regional containment program with no major outbreaks; routine operations, maintenance, wages and R&D only.
scheduled maintenance ongoing detections handled by existing capacity
🚨 Minor Incident $77.0M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized spike in manifestations requiring overtime extractions, additional transport runs, temporary surge staff and increased disposal.
local outbreak multiple restroom clusters short-term increased hospitalization
🚨 Major Breach $122.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Region-wide containment failure requiring mass transport, emergency expansion of Operation Dehydration capacity and heavy legal/PR response.
widespread municipal contamination site over-capacity public protests/riots
🚨 Operation Siccitas Executed $50.1B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$50.0B vs baseline
Activation of Operation Siccitas or similarly large-scale population measures; ethically catastrophic, extremely high direct costs.
Exspes-Class population centre emergence uncontainable global spread policy decision to enact population-scale measures
👥 Personnel 1280 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 100 [#8, #26] Field extractions, site security and escort duties; background checks and clearance costs apply.
Research Scientist 30 [#16, #17] Laboratory research, analytical chemistry and long-term mitigation R&D staffing.
Site Director / Executive Staff 5 [#12, #28] Program oversight, site leadership and contingency planning roles.
Medical Officer 20 [#12, #27] Medical oversight for Operation Dehydration wards and staff monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 30 [#2, #3, #28] Civil/mechanical maintenance, centrifuge technicians and site engineering.
Administrative Staff 20 [#25, #26] Logistics coordination, HR, legal liaison and cover operation administration.
Surveillance Operator / Monitoring FTE 10 [#9, #10] Human monitoring complementing AI analytics for restroom footage.
Logistics Driver / Transport 20 [#7] Tanker drivers and transport personnel for movement of filtered SCP-8788.
Warden 25 [#11, #12] Wardens supervising D-Class during Operation Dehydration (24/7 coverage across wards).
Medical Technician 15 [#11, #12] Med techs monitoring vitals and assisting Operation Dehydration.
AI Engineer / Software 5 [#10] AI development and analytics maintenance staff for behavior recognition systems.
Class-D Personnel 1000 [#13] D-Class required for continuous Operation Dehydration enactment and beverage processing; not salaried staff but counted in operational headcount.
📋 Confidence Notes
Ranges provided in analyst notes are wide and many items depend on program scale, local political resistance and unknown global manifestation frequency; large catastrophic-cost tail events (Operation Siccitas) dominate expectation despite low probability, increasing uncertainty.
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