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SCP-8795 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-8795
Expected annual
$22.6M
One-time setup
$1.5B
Annual recurring
$17.8M
Personnel
35
Initial capital/setup dominated by deep-shaft retrofit, environmental systems and seismological infrastructure (~$1.54B one-time including large contingency reserves). Recurring annual costs are ~ $17.8M/yr driven by ritual staff, covert liaison/cover funding, public-safety programs and operational logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5B
Contingency Reserve Emergency Response $1.0B
[#26] Reserve for major-incident emergency response and reconstruction (analyst range $500M–$5B; representative set-aside chosen).
Public Safety Retrofitting Reserve $500.0M
[#25] Set-aside for major structural retrofitting contingency (analyst range $100M–$1B; representative midpoint chosen).
Facilities $31.4M
[#1, #2, #19, #21] Land/chapel purchase and security retrofit, deep-shaft/shaft structural reinforcement and chapel/ritual chamber soundproofing and perimeter hardware.
Equipment $8.5M
[#3, #6, #7, #12, #18, #22, #23] Cavern environmental systems (fans/generators/etc.), geotechnical sensor install, seismology stations & servers, ceremonial kits, ash-ring sensors, vehicle fleet purchase, comms hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $550K
[#11, #27] Initial ritual-research consultation/setup and containment engineering lab buildout.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.8M/yr
Public Safety Programs $10.0M/yr
[#25] Official-facing public safety & earthquake mitigation programs (education, first-responder training, equipment grants) – recurring regional program costs.
Staff Wages $3.1M/yr
[#8, #10, #15, #21] Seismology analysts (6 FTEs), ritual operational staff (20 FTEs incl. benefits overhead), on-site medical/surgical team allocation, rapid-response/security personnel salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#9, #24, #28] Embedded agent program costs (placements/cover/payroll), covert funding/legal liaison, forensic/cover-disposal team and false-record maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $788K/yr
[#12, #14, #16, #17, #20, #29, #30] Ceremonial consumables, surgical OR consumables, ritual consumables/knife maintenance, cadaver incineration/disposal, psychological care services, insurance/recruitment, miscellaneous overhead.
Research And Monitoring $475K/yr
[#7, #11, #27] Seismology hosting/analysis maintenance, ongoing cultural consultancy/training, containment engineering R&D staffing and experiments.
Facilities Maintenance $440K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #18, #19] Cavern power/fuel/HVAC ops, elevator/hoist maintenance, sensor network maintenance, ash-ring consumables, acoustic maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $380K/yr
[#13, #22] D-Class procurement/secure housing/transport cycles, vehicle operations/fuel and maintenance.
Communications Ops $100K/yr
[#23] Secure comms bandwidth, ops and telemetry hosting costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.8M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine rituals and maintenance occur as scheduled.
routine_rituals normal_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $22.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized infrastructure damage or sensor failures requiring moderate repairs and overtime; no large-scale earthquake.
localized_tunnel_damage sensor_array_failure minor_breach_of_procedures
🚨 Major Breach $267.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Containment breach or significant seismic event caused by SCP-8795 causing major infrastructure damage and emergency response.
partial_breach major_infrastructure_damage regional_quake_response
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.0B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
Full catastrophic seismic event with widespread destruction requiring national-scale emergency response and reconstruction.
full_breach 9+_magnitude_quake loss_of_containment
👥 Personnel 35 total
Role Count Notes
Seismology Analyst / Data Scientist 6 [#8] Dedicated seismologists and analysts (6 FTEs as specified in analyst notes).
Ritual Operator / Containment Specialist 20 [#10] Routine ritual operational staff (20 personnel for five-participant rituals; salaries included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / Rapid Response 6 [#21] Armed response and perimeter security personnel funded in recurring security budget.
Medical Officer / Surgical Team 3 [#14, #15] On-site surgical/anesthesia team headcount approximated to match pro-rated salary allocation for surgical procedures and on-call coverage.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are explicitly estimated in the analyst notes (staffing, per-cycle consumables), enabling a moderate confidence in recurring costs; major capital items and contingency reserves have wide ranges (deep-shaft refurbishment, reconstruction reserve), producing uncertainty in one-time totals and extreme-event cost estimates.
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