SCP-8847 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8847
Expected annual
$3.4M
One-time setup
$6.0M
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
25
Initial containment requires large one-time capital for a lead- and silver-lined concrete casket, site retrofit, remote manipulators and a research lab (~$6.0M). Primary recurring drivers are specialized staff, research/monitoring, security, and reserves (~$3.3M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.0M
Contingency Neutralization Reserve $1.5M
[#17] Reserve fund for catastrophic-response, neutralization, controlled demolition or transfer to deeper containment (#17 one-time reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.4M
[#10, #11, #24] Dedicated anomalous research lab buildout (#10), initial forensic analysis/cataloging and consumables (#11), and archival digitization/ancillary documentation setup (#24).
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #2, #23] Lead- and silver-lined concrete casket fabrication/installation (#1), Deep-Lake Containment Vault retrofit/space allocation (#2), and power redundancy/UPS/generator one-time installation (#23).
Equipment $1.1M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #9, #12, #15, #21, #22] Remote handling systems/robotic manipulators (#3), non-osseous tooling inventory (#4), shielding/environment/inert-atmosphere systems (#5), thanatic flux/dosimetry sensors (#6), emergency equipment (#9), plaster replica production one-time (#12), initial passivation/coating of metal linings (#15), data security/hardened IT setup (#21), and monitoring/alarm system hardware (#22).
Legal And Diplomatic One Time $300K
[#18] One-time legal, ethical, and diplomatic cover-up / compensation / settlement reserve for provenance/legal claims (#18 one-time portion).
Transport And Initial Transfer $250K
[#13] Secure transport and initial transfer: armored logistics, airlift/escort, remote-manipulator staging, legal clearances and hazard insurance for initial move (#13).
Major Remediation Reserve $200K
[#16] Contingency for a single major remediation/removal event (remote incineration/chemical neutralization) if large-scale osseous contamination occurs (#16 one-time contingency estimate).
Binding Initial Setup $100K
[#14] Initial binding renewal/setup and occult re-anchoring costs for anti-scrying/sigil refresh (#14 one-time portion).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7] Dedicated containment and watch staff salaries and benefits (supervisors, technicians, on-call occult specialists/researchers, administrative support) including benefits and hazard pay reserve as noted in #7.
Research And Monitoring $780K/yr
[#6, #10, #11, #21, #22] Ongoing thanatic monitoring and dosimetry calibration (#6), active anomalous research budgets (#10 recurring research), archival updates and catalog maintenance (#11 recurring), IT maintenance and secure archiving (#21 recurring), and monitoring service/maintenance for cameras/seismic/tamper sensors (#22 recurring).
Security And Armed Response $450K/yr
[#8] Physical security staffing, armed guards, intrusion alarms, CCTV, tamper sensors, specialized screening and rapid-response team costs (#8).
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#2, #23] Ongoing vault/facility maintenance, wet-work capability upkeep, airlock servicing and backup generator/fuel maintenance (#2 facility overhead; #23 fuel/maintenance).
Capital Replacement Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Long-term stewardship / amortization and capital replacement reserve (3–7% target of capital value; applied conservatively here) (#25).
Insurance And Reserves $150K/yr
[#19] Insurance premiums, indemnity and actuarial reserves or equivalent internal contingency reserves for site damage, artifact loss and third-party claims (#19).
Supplies And Consumables $145K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #12, #15, #16] Maintenance parts and recalibration for remote manipulators (#3), non-osseous tooling replacements and spares (#4), inert gas and filter consumables (#5), replica upkeep/transport consumables (#12 recurring), periodic surface passivation/coatings (#15 recurring), and routine waste handling/disposal consumables (#16 recurring small disposals).
Occult Upkeep $125K/yr
[#14] Recurring occult upkeep and anti-scrying/anti-ritual maintenance — paid specialists and consumables (#14 recurring portion).
Cover Story And Legal $115K/yr
[#12, #18] Recurring public liaison, replica transport/PR and museum liaison (#12 recurring) plus legal retainer and ongoing legal/diplomatic costs (#18 recurring retainer).
Training And Drills $60K/yr
[#20] Regular training, drills, SOP maintenance, staff certification and record-keeping (#20).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, research and no containment incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $3.6M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Localized contamination or small-scale osseous contact requiring targeted remediation, temporary research pause and extra medical surveillance.
small_osseous_contamination localized_remediation increased_medical_surveillance
🚨 Major Breach $5.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or reactivation requiring use of contingency neutralization funds, major remediation, possible facility repairs and expanded emergency response.
structural_failure thanatic_reactivation large-scale_remediation
🚨 Political Exposure $4.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Legal/diplomatic exposure or provenance dispute (museum/state claims) forcing large settlements, PR operations and possible repatriation logistics.
repatriation_claim media_exposure diplomatic_litigation
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Supervisor 2 [#7] Level-3 supervisors noted in containment staffing (#7).
Containment Technician 4 [#7] Level-2 technicians for shift coverage and remote handling (#7).
Occult Specialist / Ritualist 4 [#7, #14] Two on-call occult specialists/researchers (#7) plus recurring occult upkeep personnel (#14).
Research Scientist 4 [#10] Dedicated anomalous research lab staff included in recurring research budget (#10 recurring).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] Armed guards / rapid-response team staffing example from security estimate (#8).
Administrative Staff 1 [#7] Administrative support for containment operations (#7).
Medical Officer 1 [#9] Medical surveillance and emergency response staffing for exposure monitoring (#9).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#3, #23] Technical staff for remote manipulators, environmental controls and generator/UPS maintenance (#3, #23).
Archivist / Curator 1 [#11, #24] Cataloging, archival maintenance and digitization staffing (#11, #24).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are grounded in the analyst's provided ranges for each line item, but several costs are highly sensitive to silver-lining thickness, casket size, and development of fictional thanatic monitoring tech; contingency/reserve sizing introduces further uncertainty.
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