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SCP-8852 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8852
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
8
Startup capital primarily driven by research infrastructure, vehicles, and large contingency reserves (~$2.2M one-time). Annual operating costs (~$1.11M/yr) are dominated by staff wages, medical/treatment & hospitalization expenses, and legal/cover-story budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Scale Sensitive Worst Case Tranche $1.0M
[#24] Scale-sensitive catastrophic-response tranche for mass-manifestation contingency (~$1,000,000 one-time).
Contingency Emergency Scaling Fund $500K
[#19] One-time reserve for rapid surge hiring, emergency purchases, accelerated research (~$500,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#7, #8, #22] Forensic/analytical initial campaign / instrument purchase ~$125,000; long-term research program initial setup (protocols/ethics/infrastructure) ~$225,000; small-scale human testing suite build-out ~$100,000.
Equipment $230K
[#3, #6, #9, #17, #18] Vehicles (2 SUVs + refrigerated van) and upfitting ~$180,000; inventory/handheld scanners & initial tracking hardware $10,000; portable medical kit $25,000; IT/setup $5,000; PPE initial equipment $10,000.
Facilities $50K
[#4] Secure, lockable walk-in Freezer 19 equipment & installation meeting Site-18 standards; midpoint estimate $50,000.
Sop Creation And Initial Training $15K
[#14] Containment SOP creation and initial documentation development estimated ~$15,000 one-time.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $540K/yr
[#1, #5, #20, #8] Field recovery personnel (2 FTE + 1 part-time coordinator) and regional response costs ~$250,000/yr; dedicated Site-18 security FTE ~$60,000/yr; opportunity-cost hires / additional research hires (1 scientist + 1 tech) ~$150,000/yr; portion of long-term research recurring allocated to wages ~$80,000/yr.
Medical And Treatment $210K/yr
[#9, #10, #11] Medical consumables/restock ~$10,000/yr; expected civilian hospitalization/indemnities estimate ~$150,000/yr (10 moderate incidents at ~$15k each); amnestic administration & follow-up ~$50,000/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#15] Legal counsel, staged recalls/media management and nondisclosure logistics; midrange annual budget ~$100,000 (variable $50k–$150k).
Research And Monitoring $70K/yr
[#7, #8, #22] Ongoing forensic follow-ups and outsourced testing ~$10,000/yr; long-term research non-salary consumables & operations ~$45,000/yr; small-scale human testing per-test operational budget (assumed modest annual test cadence) ~$15,000/yr.
Undercover Procurement Store Liaison $50K/yr
[#2] Payments/reimbursements to stores, corporate liaisons and rapid pull budgets; budgeted ~$50,000/yr (~500 retrievals assumed).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#3] Vehicle fuel/maintenance and refrigerated transport overhead ~$25,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $23K/yr
[#12, #18, #23] Evidence packaging and consumables ~$5,000/yr; PPE consumables ~$3,000/yr; miscellaneous consumables & administrative overhead ~$15,000/yr.
Disposal And Archival $20K/yr
[#13] Emergency disposal / specialized incineration or archival storage budget (planning tranche) ~$20,000/yr.
Police Ems Liaison And Reimbursements $20K/yr
[#16] Retainer/reimbursements for police/EMS cooperation and overtime ~$20,000/yr.
Public Health Surveillance Integration $20K/yr
[#21] ER/poison-control monitoring subscriptions and analyst time ~$20,000/yr.
Security Monitoring Platforms $10K/yr
[#5] Monitoring platform costs (CCTV/monitoring/logging) allocated ~$10,000/yr.
Sop Training Refreshers $10K/yr
[#14] Annual training refreshers and drills to maintain containment SOP proficiency ~$10,000/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#4] Freezer electricity & preventive maintenance ~$5,000/yr plus generator fuel/test overhead ~$2,000/yr.
It And Secure Communications $4K/yr
[#17] Secure comms hosting/maintenance and server costs ~$4,000/yr.
Inventory And Chain Of Custody Licensing $3K/yr
[#6] Licensing/maintenance for barcoding/tagging and chain-of-custody software ~$3,000/yr.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with routine recoveries, monitoring, and no major incidents.
sporadic recoveries no major public incidents routine testing and training
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Localized spike in exposures requiring surge medical response, increased legal/PR work, and short-term surge hires.
cluster of civilian hospitalizations store-level publicity requiring targeted recalls short-term surge hiring and overtime
🚨 Mass Manifestation $3.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Major distribution event (large chain stocking many cans) causing mass exposures and requiring large emergency scaling and legal/medical outlays.
widespread retail distribution mass civilian exposures activation of emergency scaling funds and national PR response
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Field Agent / MTF Agent 2 [#1] Two full-time field recovery agents responsible for patrol/recovery across the region.
Field Coordinator (part-time) 1 [#1] One part-time coordinator for logistics and liaison duties (counted as one headcount here; part-time status noted).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#5] One dedicated security FTE for Site-18 object-specific coverage.
Research Scientist 2 [#8, #20] Research staff (long-term program + additional hire) allocated across research and countermeasure work.
Research Technician 2 [#8, #20] Technical support for research operations and sample processing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates assembled from analyst ranges and midpoints; many items (legal/cover costs, manifestation frequency) are highly variable and drive uncertainty despite concrete equipment and staffing estimates.
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