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SCP-8850 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-8850
Expected annual
$9.9M
One-time setup
$37.5M
Annual recurring
$9.8M
Personnel
40
Initial capital expenditure is roughly $37.5M driven by purpose-built containment facility, pool-bay fit-out, centralized treatment systems, fleet and contingency reserves; recurring annual operating costs are roughly $9.8M driven by staff wages, research, utilities, maintenance and legal/cover programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $37.5M
Facilities $22.5M
[#1, #2] Purpose-built containment depot and pool-bay structural fit-out (32 bays) including land, planning, permitting, reinforced floors, secondary containment and specialized insurance; combines notes #1 and #2 midpoints.
Equipment $6.6M
[#3, #4, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #18, #19] Centralized pump/filter/treatment plant (#3), backup power/UPS purchase (#4), HVAC installation (#6), monitoring/install (#7), ROV fleet purchase (#8), initial cleaning/parts (#9), transport fleet purchase (#10), cybersecurity setup (#18), database/archive initial systems (#19). Values are midpoint estimates aggregated.
Expansion Reserve $3.0M
[#26] Scalable expansion reserve to add additional bays/ROVs/treatment capacity on medium notice; midpoint reserve.
Emergency Water Reserve $1.8M
[#5] Onsite bulk reserves and mobile bladder/tanker purchase (1–2M L + bladders/tankers); midpoint estimate.
Containment Breach Reserve $1.8M
[#22] Dedicated liquid contingency/reserve to pay for emergency repairs, urgent transport, PR and immediate research ramp-up; held as liquid contingency (midpoint).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $650K
[#13] Initial R&D lab equipment and instrumentation to support sentience testing and basic SCP research.
Medical Replacement Reserve $625K
[#15] Contingency fund for replacement hires, resettlement and clinical support tied to accidental losses; midpoint of reserve range.
Cross Reality Contingency Reserve $625K
[#25] Planning and standing reserve for cross-reality contingency and long retrieval/research expedition planning (standing reserve midpoint).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.8M/yr
Staff Wages $3.6M/yr
[#11, #12] Onsite security force (20–30 guards + supervisors) and technical operations staff (12–18 specialists) -- aggregated midpoint wage/benefits costs.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#13] Ongoing R&D program operational costs for sentience testing development, behavioral/neural studies, compliance, travel and conference (midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $950K/yr
[#16, #24] Annual legal/cover budget (property acquisition, NDAs, cross-border legal teams) and ongoing public-relations/cover program (midpoints combined).
Capital Replacement Reserve $650K/yr
[#28] Annual reserve for scheduled replacement/refresh cycles of pumps, ROVs, generators and HVAC (midpoint).
Personnel Screening And Certification $500K/yr
[#14] Recurring testing, psych/neuro screening and certification program costs for ~200 authorized staff (midpoint).
International Operations $375K/yr
[#17] Covert international liaison, translation/consular support and contingency presence (midpoint).
Utilities And Energy $340K/yr
[#20, #6] Electricity for pumps/HVAC/filtration and municipal water/wastewater disposal combined (midpoints); includes HVAC electricity noted in #6.
Logistics And Transport $302K/yr
[#10, #5] Fleet fuel/maintenance for transport/tankers (~$150k–$400k) and expected makeup water logistics (~$5k–$50k); aggregated midpoint values.
Medical And Psych $300K/yr
[#15] Ongoing clinical support, counseling and replacement staffing costs (midpoint depending on incident rate).
Cybersecurity $275K/yr
[#18] Recurring managed security, encrypted telemetry and SOC staffing (midpoint).
Site Overhead $200K/yr
[#30] Miscellaneous admin, janitorial, food, uniforms and site overhead (midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $190K/yr
[#21] Chemical consumables, filter media, weekly maintenance consumables (midpoint).
Backup Fuel Resupply $150K/yr
[#4] Recurring fuel/resupply for N+1 generator operations (midpoint of $50k–$250k).
Cleaning Spares $125K/yr
[#9] Recurring replacement filters, seals, hoses and cleaning consumables (midpoint).
Training And Drills $125K/yr
[#23] Annual drills, leak response and interdepartmental exercises (midpoint).
Ethics And Oversight $125K/yr
[#27] Ongoing ethics/compliance board, external audits and oversight convenings (midpoint).
Monitoring And Soc $100K/yr
[#7] Maintenance and SOC monitoring costs for continuous alarm/telemetry (midpoint).
Waste Treatment $85K/yr
[#29] Backwash disposal, filter media changeouts and chemical neutralization compliance (midpoint).
Rov Maintenance $50K/yr
[#8] Maintenance and spare parts for underwater ROVs and tethered cameras (estimated recurrent maintenance).
Database And Records $50K/yr
[#19] Offsite backups, archival operations and classified records management recurring operations (midpoint).
Emergency Makeup Water $28K/yr
[#5] Makeup water cost for evaporation/leak losses (midpoint of $5k–$50k).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.8M/yr
82.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, maintenance, research and legal/cover activities only.
no incidents routine maintenance normal staffing and research cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $10.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Single localized pool leak or small transport/retrieval requiring emergency repairs, short shutdown, small PR/legal action and limited overtime.
localized leak small transport/retrieval limited PR/legal action
🚨 Major Breach $11.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach affecting multiple bays or a staffed accident requiring extended recovery, replacement hires, international legal action and major repairs.
multi-bay leak or damage personnel loss or large medical response cross-jurisdiction legal incident
🚨 Catastrophic Retrieval $12.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
High-cost cross-reality retrieval or extended expedition (or widespread simultaneous incidents) requiring large-scale mobilization, research expedition and international escalation.
cross-reality retrieval mission simultaneous multi-site failures extended international crisis
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 25 [#11] 24/7 armed security force across 3 shifts including supervisors; midpoint staffing used.
Technical Operations Staff 15 [#12] Pool technicians, pump engineers, electricians, ROV operators, water-quality chemists, maintenance techs and site operations manager; midpoint staffing used.
📋 Confidence Notes
Facility and equipment line items are well-specified with clear engineering cost ranges; however incident frequency, per-incident costs (cross-reality retrievals) and international/legal outcomes are highly uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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