SCP-8882 Hiemal-Ignosi ? low confidence
SCP-8882
Expected annual
$93.3M
One-time setup
$708.8M
Annual recurring
$88.0M
Personnel
113
Initial capital expenditure is large (~$709M) driven by remote/underground facility construction, catastrophic reserves, HPC/AI and specialized containment equipment; baseline annual operations are substantial (~$88M/yr) driven by specialist staff wages, research/monitoring, legal/cover operations and disaster readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $708.8M
Facilities $200.0M
[#1] Purpose-built remote underground/retrofit facility: site acquisition, excavation, reinforced caverns, negative-pressure labs, decontamination, seismic/EMP/tsunami hardening.
Catastrophic Loss Reserve $200.0M
[#17] One-time recommended reserve/fund to underwrite catastrophic multi-regional losses and avoid insolvency (baseline seed reserve).
Equipment $98.2M
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #19, #23] HPC hardware and storage, secure AI hardware/enclaves, physical containment/hard-kill systems, initial security gear, additive manufacturing printers/spare inventory, transport fleet setup (equipment).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $60.0M
[#6, #16] Specialized measuring/thaumaturgic countermeasure R&D program seed and experimental reversal program seed; lab buildout and instrumentation for controlled experiments.
Containment Breach Insurance Fund $50.0M
[#24] Standing contingency capital / insurance fund for cross-border incidents and reparations (baseline capital allocation).
Secondary Economic Contingency Fund $50.0M
[#28] Contingency allocation to underwrite secondary economic impacts (ports/mines/crops rerouting) for moderate exposures; conditional but seeded here.
Hazardous Material Lab $15.0M
[#12] Specialized hazardous material labs, heavy-lift retrieval equipment, containment vaults for geological gravestones and unknown matter (initial equipment & lab).
Environmental Monitoring Infrastructure $8.5M
[#10] Dense seismometer/tide gauge/tsunami buoy network and integration with satellite warning systems (network setup).
Archiving Infrastructure $8.5M
[#25] Multiple air-gapped secure archives, data-centers and destruction/cloning infrastructure (archive buildouts).
Power Infrastructure $5.0M
[#2] Diesel generators, battery banks and grid hookups for months-long backup (baseline option; SMR excluded from baseline capital).
Decommissioning Protocols $5.0M
[#27] Controlled-demolition / hazardous disposal capability and materials for emergency destruction/decommissioning (one-time).
Communications Security $4.5M
[#18] TEMPEST/TLS/air-gap hardware, quantum-key infrastructure and courier protocols (one-time buildout).
Evacuations Planning Mous $2.0M
[#22] Emergency public-safety planning, MOUs, shelters and evacuation planning for affected communities (initial planning/setup).
Space Observation Infra $1.5M
[#15] Dedicated small telescope array / allocations and initial remote observation infrastructure for SCP-8882-B (Ninsun).
Space Mission Legal $500K
[#30] One-time advisory / compliance budgeting related to potential future probe/mission legal work.
Rapid Response Fleet Purchase $0
[#11] Baseline uses contracted/standby response (purchase of an outright fleet is conditional and not included in baseline capital).
Deep Space Probe $0
[#15] Dedicated probe mission is conditional/large-scale and not included in baseline capital (costs modeled in scenarios).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $88.0M/yr
Research And Monitoring $22.0M/yr
[#6, #16] Ongoing experimental budgets for specialized measuring/thaumaturgic countermeasures and multi-year reversal research program operations.
Staff Wages $13.8M/yr
[#7, #8] Multidisciplinary core team salaries (researchers, topologists, thaumaturges, AI engineers) and on-site security staff salaries (baseline staffing levels and hazard/clearance pay).
Cover Story And Legal $10.0M/yr
[#13, #14] Standing legal/diplomatic team budget and baseline strategic information-control / media/cover operations.
Replenishment Targets $10.0M/yr
[#17] Annual replenishment targets to maintain the catastrophic loss reserve and contingency buffers over time.
Contracted Disaster Response $6.0M/yr
[#11] Standby contracts and retainers for ships, helicopters, heavy equipment and evacuation/salvage services.
Hpc Maintenance $5.0M/yr
[#3] Ongoing HPC maintenance, spare parts, cooling and support for continuous MAUVe-class operations.
Facilities Maintenance $2.0M/yr
[#1] General site upkeep, structural maintenance, utilities and routine facility servicing for hardened containment complex.
Ai Safety And Audits $2.0M/yr
[#4] Specialist AI safety staff salaries, audits, verification and sandboxing governance for Enkidu.aic and conscripts.
Containment Insurance Premiums $2.0M/yr
[#24] Ongoing insurance/premium-like allocations to reduce exposure to cross-border fines and reparations.
Logistics And Transport $1.5M/yr
[#23] Routine secure transport for samples, personnel rotations and small-scale logistics contracts.
Audit And Compliance $1.5M/yr
[#20] Red-team audits, external reviews and independent inspections to detect insider risk and protocol failures.
Transport Operations $1.5M/yr
[#23] Annual operational costs for secure transports, chartered flights and logistics support.
Psychological Services $1.2M/yr
[#9] Personnel screening, memetic safety programs, counselling and mental health monitoring.
Geological Retrieval And Storage $1.2M/yr
[#12] Ongoing storage, analysis budgets and per-event retrieval readiness averaged into yearly cost.
Security Equipment And Ops $1.0M/yr
[#8] Vehicles, drones, equipment upkeep and non-salary security operational costs.
Public Health Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#26] Baseline epidemiology and psychosocial monitoring, hotlines and covert public-health responses.
Training And Exercises $1.0M/yr
[#29] Regular drills, simulations and modeling for land-erasure scenarios and multidisciplinary exercises.
Power Fuel Maintenance $750K/yr
[#2] Annual fuel, generator maintenance and service contracts for diesel/battery backup (baseline).
Environmental Monitoring Ops $750K/yr
[#10] Maintenance, data collection and operations for the seismometer/tsunami/tide gauge network.
Space Observation Ops $750K/yr
[#15] Annual operations for remote sensing allocations, spectroscopy and telescope-array upkeep for SCP-8882-B.
Raw Materials Contracts $700K/yr
[#19] Contracts for AM feedstock and spare part supply chain support for MAUVe modular additive manufacturing.
Communications Audits Key Management $500K/yr
[#18] Ongoing audits, key rotation, courier protocols and network isolation verification.
Personnel Vetting Clearance $500K/yr
[#21] Annual budget for deep background checks, clearance processing and relocation support (turnover-driven).
Archiving Ops $500K/yr
[#25] Operations and maintenance for air-gapped archives and secure data-centers.
Space Mission Legal And Advisory $500K/yr
[#30] Ongoing legal/advisory costs for mission compliance, planetary-protection and space-law counsel (baseline).
Physical Containment Testing $350K/yr
[#5] Periodic testing and inspection of multi-layer interlocks, hard-kill mechanisms and destruction chambers.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $88.0M/yr
92.9% probability / year
Routine year with no major containment incidents; normal operations, maintenance, research and standing contracts only.
no major transfers steady staffing and research routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $93.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized land-erasure / single-site transfer requiring rapid retrieval, limited evacuations, short-term legal/cover response and sample analysis.
single coastal/island transfer limited evacuation & salvage targeted legal/cover campaign
🚨 Major Breach $288.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Multi-regional land erasure / international incident with mass displacement, casualties, large legal/indemnity payouts and major disaster relief.
multi-site transfers international exposure mass casualty / infrastructure loss
🚨 Probe Mission $1.1B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Decision-year to mount a dedicated deep-space probe mission to study Ninsun in situ, incurring very large one-time mission costs.
research breakthrough policy decision to invest in in-situ study international mission commitment
👥 Personnel 113 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Specialist 45 [#7, #6, #16] Topologists, geophysicists, astrophysicists, thaumaturges and domain experts comprising the core multidisciplinary task force (loaded salary basis).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#8] On-site armed security and rapid-response teams to protect perimeter and prevent unauthorized access/awareness.
AI Engineer / Computer Ops 6 [#3, #4] Specialists maintaining HPC, MAUVe-class systems, Enkidu.aic-safe sandboxes and data integrity.
Engineer / Maintenance 7 [#1, #2, #23] Facilities, power, generators, environmental instrumentation and transport/equipment maintenance staff.
Administrative Staff 5 [#13, #14, #21] Administrative, legal liaison, cover-story coordination and personnel/vetting support.
📋 Confidence Notes
SCP-8882's anomalous, conditional and potentially catastrophic failure modes create large uncertainty; many cost items are high-variance (SMR vs diesel, probe vs observation-only, per-event indemnities). Estimates use mid-range assumptions for baseline choices and therefore have low confidence.
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