SCP-8905 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8905
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$2.6M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
11
One-time capital costs are dominated by containment upgrades, specialized equipment and contingency reserves (~$2.62M total); recurring annual costs (security, on-call teams, R&D and overhead) are roughly $2.14M/year, driven primarily by staffing and an active research program.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.6M
Containment Upgrade Contingency $1.0M
[#12] Contingency allocation for possible Keter-level containment upgrades if contents require extensive specialized facilities.
Equipment $878K
[#4, #5, #6, #10, #15] Remote manipulators/robotic arms (#4), purchase option for non-destructive imaging (#5 one-time purchase), precision cutting/machining gear (#6), initial data storage/hardware (#10 one-time), and initial PPE/safety gear (#15 one-time).
Insurance Contingency $300K
[#19] Internal contingency reserve allocation for catastrophic failure or replacement.
Facilities $220K
[#1, #9, #11, #14] Secure vault/safe-room upgrades (#1), power infrastructure upgrades (#9 one-time), environmental/climate control installation (#11 one-time), and initial emergency/decon setup (#14 one-time).
Specialty Consulting $150K
[#7] Initial fees for locksmithing, materials science, and specialty consultants (one-time initial engagement).
Cover Story Setup $30K
[#17] One-time costs to establish shell companies/PR infrastructure for deniability and cover operations.
Forensic Analysis $20K
[#22] One-time forensic/provenance investigation (shipping records, external contractors).
Records And Archival $18K
[#18] Initial secure records/classification/archival systems setup and access-control hardware/software.
Tamper Proof Measures $6K
[#24] Initial signage, redundancy locks, tamper-evident seals and physical deterrents (one-time purchase/installation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Research And Monitoring $800K/yr
[#21] Long-term dedicated R&D program to defeat the anomalous lock (salaries, lab time, equipment amortization) and ongoing monitoring tasks as part of active research.
Staff Wages $705K/yr
[#2, #3] 24/7 armed security complement (6 guards × 3 shifts + supervisory staff) and dedicated on-call containment/response team (2 containment techs, 1 engineer, 1 senior researcher) including salaries, benefits and standby premiums.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#17] Annual budget for legal/cover-up/misinformation operations, liaison with suppliers/local authorities, and related clandestine expenses.
Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#25] Opportunity cost and administrative overhead (10-25% style allocation) covering senior oversight, site director time, and program management.
Specialty Consulting $60K/yr
[#7] Ongoing follow-up consulting fees for locksmiths, metallurgists, and materials scientists.
Supplies And Consumables $59K/yr
[#8, #15] Experimental consumables and expendables for attempts (#8) and annual PPE replacement/consumables (#15 recurring).
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#20] Recurring training, instructor fees, and simulated drills specific to SCP-8905 scenarios.
Imaging Contracts $25K/yr
[#5] Recurring contract usage costs for industrial X-ray/micro-CT scans when purchase is not used or for occasional external high-resolution scans.
Public Safety Liaison $15K/yr
[#23] Annual payments/covert cooperation with local police/fire services for cover stories and emergency coordination.
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#9, #11] Annual maintenance and energy costs for upgraded power/UPS systems (#9 recurring) and environmental/climate control energy/maintenance (#11 recurring).
Waste Disposal $11K/yr
[#16] Annual hazardous waste disposal and contaminated-material handling costs from destructive testing and experiments.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#13] Secure/armored transport and escort costs per transfer (assumes periodic transfers as needed).
Emergency Medical And Decon $9K/yr
[#14] Replenishment of medical supplies, PPE, decon consumables and annual training exercises.
Data Storage And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#10] Annual costs for redundant storage, classified network operations, and monitoring infrastructure maintenance.
Records And Archival $6K/yr
[#18] Ongoing archival compliance, secure logging, and access audits.
Tamper Proof Replacements $1K/yr
[#24] Annual replacement/refresh of tamper-evident tags and seals.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with active containment, ongoing monitoring and the regular research program in place; no major incidents or upgrades.
no_major_incident routine_operations ongoing_research
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$96K vs baseline
Small containment incident or failed experiment causing overtime, extra security presence, limited repairs, and short-term investigations.
failed_experiment unauthorized_access localized_equipment_damage
🚨 Research Scale Up $3.0M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$896K vs baseline
Decision to aggressively scale R&D (larger team, extended experiments, additional rented facilities/equipment) to attempt opening/defeating the lock.
funding_approval_for_large_R&D priority_directive_to_open_lock successful_grant_of_special_resources
🚨 Containment Upgrade Required $3.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$996K vs baseline
Opening or discovery of hazardous/novel contents forces immediate major containment upgrades (Keter-level chamber, airlocks, negative-pressure systems).
discovery_of_hazardous_contents classification_upgrade_needed external_threats_from_contents
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#2] Six guards (2 per shift × 3 shifts) plus supervisory coverage; included in staff wage estimates.
Containment Technician 2 [#3] Two containment technicians as part of the dedicated on-call containment/response team.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3] One on-call engineer included in the dedicated response team wages.
Research Scientist 1 [#3] One senior researcher on-call (additional researchers for long-term R&D are budgeted under research_and_monitoring, not in staff_wages breakdown).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for nearly every cost; however several high-variance items (containment upgrades, long-term R&D scale and legal/cover costs) have wide ranges, so totals are moderately uncertain.
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