SCP-8906 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-8906
Expected annual
$8.1M
One-time setup
$11.4M
Annual recurring
$8.0M
Personnel
96
Estimated one-time capital and reserve needs of ~$11.4M driven by containment modifications, equipment (generators, HVAC, robotics), and contingency/reserve funds; ongoing annual operating costs are estimated at ~$8.0M/yr, dominated by continuous live-performance staffing, research & monitoring, and facilities/utility maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.4M
Insurance Reserve $5.5M
[#19] One-time budgetary reserve for catastrophe/rapid procurement/extortion/legal emergencies (internal contingency fund).
Contingency Reserve $2.8M
[#30] One-time containment breach contingency reserve held for emergency mobilization, external specialists, relocation and compensation.
Equipment $1.6M
[#2, #3, #9, #10, #11, #13, #21, #29] HVAC/Hepa/filtration equipment, backup generator/ATS/fuel storage hardware, remote-inspection robotics/cameras, biosafety hardware/autoclave, on-site incinerator hardware, environmental/biomass sensors, access-control hardware, archival system.
Facilities $1.0M
[#1] Structural reinforcement, containment lining, sacrificial wall panels, sealed access hatches, asbestos/lead/old-masonry remediation for cellar containment conversion.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $325K
[#8, #23] Lab buildout and scientific instrumentation purchases (laboratory benches, sequencing/microscopy/mass-spec or contracts) for initial containment research.
Recorded Production $90K
[#5] One-time production of a high-fidelity recorded performance (alternative/backup to live performance).
Script Rights $55K
[#15] One-time legal fees and rights acquisition for Joseph McIntyre's play.
Medical Clinic Setup $50K
[#12] One-time clinic / emergency response physical setup (quarantine room, basic on-site clinic equipment).
Cover Story Setup $30K
[#16] One-time setup costs for creating/establishing front company, paperwork, initial local payments.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.0M/yr
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#4, #6, #8, #12, #14, #21] Salaries for continuous-performance live cast (multiple rotating casts), stage/technical crew, containment research team salaries (portion as wages), on-site medical staffing, redundancy/standby teams and site security wages.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#8, #23, #24] Ongoing non-salary research expenditures: lab consumables, sequencing/analysis contracts, instrumentation maintenance, and multi-year countermeasure program funding.
Facilities Maintenance $425K/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #11, #13, #17] HVAC/environmental energy & maintenance, backup-generator fuel & maintenance, remote-inspection/robotics maintenance, on-site incinerator operations, sensor/CCTV maintenance, utilities (water/sewer/telecom/internet).
Cover Story And Legal $425K/yr
[#16, #26] Ongoing cover maintenance, PR, local payments, record suppression, communications security and legal support.
Hazard Pay And Training $400K/yr
[#7] Hazard pay supplements, specialized safety training, medical clearances, periodic testing and psychological screening for performers and crew.
Supplies And Consumables $295K/yr
[#10, #18, #22] PPE consumables and decon supplies, laundry/costume/prop consumables and replacements, sacrificial containment panel replacements and consumable foams/sealants.
Psychological Support $100K/yr
[#25] Counseling, rotation support, restorative programs for performers and research staff.
Personnel Administration $100K/yr
[#20] HR, payroll processing, background checks, security clearances and administrative overhead.
Recorded Monitoring $85K/yr
[#5] Recurring monitoring and maintenance of recorded-playback infrastructure / small monitoring crew (alternative containment approach).
Drills And Audits $65K/yr
[#27] Regular contingency drills, audits, compliance simulations and performance-lapse exercises.
Archive And Documentation $60K/yr
[#29] Secure storage, transcription, and archival storage costs for continuous audio/video performance records.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#28] Discreet transport of personnel/equipment, regular deliveries and emergency relocation logistics.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with continuous live performances and no major containment incidents; all systems operating with routine maintenance and staffing levels.
unceasing live performance maintained no breaches or major equipment failures
🚨 Minor Incident $8.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized lapse (performance interruption, short power/HVAC failure, small structural growth acceleration) requiring emergency repairs, overtime staffing and surge research/testing.
temporary performance lapse equipment failure (generator/HVAC) small containment growth spike
🚨 Major Breach $10.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or rapid uncontrolled growth requiring site isolation, large-scale repairs, external specialist contracting and partial use of contingency reserves.
structural failure extended performance interruption public exposure or casualty event
👥 Personnel 96 total
Role Count Notes
Performers (actors & musicians) 42 [#4] Three rotating casts (~14 performers/musicians per cast) to sustain 24/7 live performance.
Artistic staff (director, stage management) 4 [#4] Directors, stage managers and artistic leads to run continuous performances and rehearsals.
Stage crew / Technical operators 15 [#6] Lighting, sound, props, riggers, electricians and full-time technicians on rotating shifts.
Containment research team (scientists / thaumaturgists) 5 [#8, #23] Anomalist biologists, thaumaturgists and imaging specialists conducting tests and monitoring.
Security Officer / Guards 18 [#21] Armed response, perimeter security and access control staff to maintain site secrecy and safety.
Medical Officer / Paramedic 2 [#12] On-call paramedic/physician and basic on-site medical support for exposures and emergencies.
Administrative Staff (HR, payroll, clearance processing) 4 [#20] Personnel administration, payroll, background checks and HR functions.
Engineer / Maintenance (HVAC, generator, facilities) 3 [#2, #3] Technicians for HVAC, generator maintenance, building systems and routine facilities upkeep.
Remote-ops / Monitoring operators 3 [#9, #13] Camera/drone/operators and data-monitoring staff to minimize direct human exposure to metastasised structure.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most categories, but many estimates have wide ranges and several mutually exclusive options (live vs recorded containment, contractor vs on-site incinerator). Thaumiel/novel anomalous behavior and site-specific engineering unknowns reduce precision; chosen point estimates are mid-range assumptions based on notes.
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