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SCP-8909 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-NaN
Expected annual
$6.2M
One-time setup
$9.2M
Annual recurring
$6.0M
Personnel
24
One-time capital costs are dominated by contingency, R&D, and secure infrastructure (~$9.25M); recurring annual costs are driven by specialized staff, ongoing maintenance/testing, and insurance (~$5.95M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.2M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#25] One-time reserve fund for catastrophic/unknown-scale scenarios (held as contingency for large-scale rebuilds, legal fallout, replacement of critical data).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.3M
[#5, #6] ACCUMULUS and ALG-NaN development, validation, formal verification, sandboxing and controlled-execution infrastructure (one-time R&D and lab buildout costs).
Facilities $1.0M
[#1] Secure SCIF-level data enclave (RF shielding, mantraps, biometric locks, fire suppression) — mid-range retrofit estimate.
Equipment $950K
[#3, #4, #13, #14, #18, #26] Enterprise-grade servers & storage arrays, tape/library hardware, logging/tamper-evident hardware, monitoring sensors, optional on-prem cluster purchase, and secure document viewer software (one-time purchases aggregated).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.0M/yr
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10] Salaries/benefits for IT/Deletions ops team, 24/7 SOC & incident responders, research/theorists, and internal cogitation auditors/clinicians.
Research And Monitoring $925K/yr
[#5, #6, #14, #17, #18, #23] Ongoing maintenance/testing of ACCUMULUS and ALG-NaN, monitoring operations, red-team/adversarial testing, compute time for simulations/ proofs, and forensic/reconstruction tool staffing/licensing.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#11, #12] Legal/ethics/compliance counsel, retained specialists, policy work, and cover-story / document-sanitization / PR rapid-response costs.
Personnel Retention $300K/yr
[#20] Lawful retention costs (bonuses, contract administration, retention programs) for high-risk personnel.
Insurance And Risk Transfer $200K/yr
[#21] Cyber/liability insurance premiums and risk-transfer costs (subject to exclusions for anomalous deletion risks).
Controlled Use Operations $200K/yr
[#22] Expected annual budget for occasional deliberate deletion operations (planning, air-gapped execution, oversight) averaged over time.
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#2] Colocation / secure rack space, facility services, physical security, onsite staff portion, and routine maintenance fees.
Incident Response Fund $100K/yr
[#15] Annual reserve for emergency forensic work, rapid containment, overtime, and accelerated backups per incident readiness.
Access Management And Training $75K/yr
[#19] Background checks, compartmented access credentialing, ongoing training, tabletop drills, and credential system maintenance.
Logging And Forensics Licensing $50K/yr
[#13] Licensing, secure log storage, and maintenance for append-only / tamper-evident audit chains and forensic tooling.
Documentation Maintenance $40K/yr
[#26] Maintenance and secure distribution costs for document redaction/collapsible segments and hardened viewers.
Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr
[#4, #24] Tape media rotation and consumables plus physical/digital media destruction and sanitization consumables.
Energy And Cooling $25K/yr
[#16] Power and cooling for dedicated systems (10–30 kW continuous load, UPS inefficiencies).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.0M/yr
77.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations, maintenance, and staff costs.
no activations routine maintenance scheduled testing
🚨 Minor Incident $6.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized activation or small-scale data-whiteout requiring incident response and limited recovery.
localized SCP-NaN activation minor data loss short forensic response
🚨 Major Breach $12.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Cascading activation or containment failure causing large-scale data loss and extensive rebuild/legal fallout.
widespread activation cascading data corruption large-scale recovery and litigation
🚨 Controlled Use Operation $6.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Planned use of SCP-NaN for ethical deletion of a high-risk anomaly, incurring high oversight and execution costs.
authorized deletion operation ethical review and air-gapped execution after-action verification
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
IT / Deletions Ops 11 Database engineers, systems admins, storage engineers, devops (from note #7); included in staff_wages.
Cyber Security / SOC 6 24/7 SOC analysts, incident responders, forensic analysts (from note #8); included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 4 Researchers and computational theorists modeling SCP-NaN (from note #9); included in staff_wages.
Internal Cogitation Auditor / Clinician 3 Psychological oversight, monitoring, and clinical interventions (from note #10); included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midpoint selections from wide analyst ranges; technical costs (hardware, R&D) are reasonably bounded but event probabilities and high-impact contingent costs are highly uncertain, producing medium overall confidence.
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