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SCP-8999 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8999
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$69.1M
Annual recurring
$3.6M
Personnel
14
First-year one-time costs are dominated by large contingency reserves and buyouts, producing a ~ $69.1M upfront program cost; ongoing annual operations are ~ $3.6M/yr driven by staff wages, legal/cover, and laboratory/monitoring maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $69.1M
Earthquake Damage Reserve $50.0M
[#21] Set-aside reserve for earthquake damage, repairs, casualty care, and large-scale cover operations.
Evacuation Buyout $10.0M
[#22] Contingency budget for local population evacuation or buyouts if escalation requires relocation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.8M
[#12, #14, #25] Geophysical survey & borehole program, BSL-capable laboratory buildout, and initial translation/linguistics project setup.
Equipment $2.1M
[#4, #6, #9, #10, #11, #13, #17, #18] Perimeter security hardware, vehicle purchases, initial dumbwaiter upgrades, non-visual monitoring initial install, local seismic station network initial install, emergency backup power initial, archive vault/digitization hardware, and secure communications initial infrastructure.
Legal Emergency Pool $2.0M
[#20] One-time emergency legal fund / indemnity pool.
Facilities $1.5M
[#1, #2, #3] Purchase of Åby Parish, mothballing/shuttering, and seismic structural retrofits to the church and basement.
Technology R And D Initial $650K
[#26] Initial investment in R&D for non-optical recording and specialized capture technologies.
Cover Story Setup $50K
[#19] One-time front company / documentation setup and initial PR/legal materials for cover story.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#5, #7, #29] 24/7 on-site security staffing, Research Group-8999 core staff aggregate salaries, and archival/incident documentation staff salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $900K/yr
[#19, #20, #23] Ongoing public cover-up liaison budget, annual legal contingency/indemnity reserve, and insurance premiums.
Research And Monitoring $390K/yr
[#10, #11, #25, #26, #17] Monitoring calibration & maintenance, seismic telemetry & maintenance, ongoing translation/semiotics research, recurring R&D, and archive storage/maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $365K/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #27, #30] Lab consumables, PPE/decontamination supplies, specialized food procurement program, hazardous waste disposal, and miscellaneous petty cash.
Logistics And Transport $190K/yr
[#6, #8] Vehicle maintenance/fuel and rotational housing/travel/per-diem for expatriate staff and flown-in specialists.
Facilities Maintenance $80K/yr
[#28] Routine facilities utilities and maintenance (electricity, heating, water, snow removal, site upkeep).
Backup Power Fuel $25K/yr
[#13] Fuel procurement and generator/UPS maintenance rotation.
Secure Comms And Cybersecurity $25K/yr
[#18] Ongoing secure communications operations and cybersecurity staffing/tools.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#24] Annual earthquake drills, communications rehearsals, and emergency planning training.
Dumbwaiter Maintenance $15K/yr
[#9] Recurring maintenance and engineering upkeep for the modified dumbwaiter (mechanical, shielding, redundant winches).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.6M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, monitoring, staff wages, and scheduled maintenance only.
no significant seismic events routine monitoring and research
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized seismic event or small containment-related incident requiring repairs, targeted cover operations, and overtime.
small magnitude tremor requiring repairs limited public exposure requiring local cover-up
🚨 Major Seismic Event $8.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Major tremor (approaching magnitude 7) causing significant site damage, sensor replacement, emergency response, and expanded cover operations.
large magnitude seismic event infrastructure damage and broader cover operations
🚨 Evacuation And Relocation $15.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Escalation requires permanent or temporary evacuation and buyout of local population or major relocation assistance.
widespread high-magnitude earthquakes decision to relocate civilians or large-scale buyouts
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Project Lead 1 [#7] Lead researcher for Research Group-8999.
Seismologist 1 [#7] Core seismology expertise to interpret seismic signals and risks.
Engineer / Geophysics 1 [#7] Structural/geophysical engineering for retrofits, boreholes, and instrumentation.
Linguist / Semiotician 2 [#7, #25] Specialists for pictograph translation and semiotics research.
Lab Technician 2 [#7, #14] BSL-capable laboratory technicians for sample processing and consumables handling.
Systems Engineer 1 [#7, #10] Responsible for sensor networks, DAS, telemetry, and equipment integration.
Communications Officer 1 [#7, #18] Handles secure communications, liaison, and cyber operations coordination.
Administrative Staff 1 [#7] Administrative and logistical support.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#5] On-site guards covering regular shifts.
Security Supervisor 1 [#5] Security team supervisor and roving response coordination.
Archival / Documentation Staff 1 [#17, #29] Maintains chain-of-custody records, archiving, and incident documentation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst line items with several wide ranges and large discretionary contingency pools (earthquake reserve, buyouts, R&D). Operational recurring costs (staff, lab, monitoring) are better defined; long-tail disaster and buyout costs remain highly uncertain.
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