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SCP-9048 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9048
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$880K
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
17.7
Estimated one-time setup across core infrastructure and equipment is $880,000, with recurring annual operations at approximately $3,727,000 driven mainly by MTF staffing, long-term residential care, research and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $880K
Facilities $420K
[#19, #24] Secure housing retrofit ($200k–$800k mid-estimate) and secure archival/records construction ($10k–$50k); includes structural/retrofit work for containment housing and physical archival room.
Equipment $320K
[#3, #4, #6, #21] Vehicles purchase/outfit (armored/unmarked vans) and portable surveillance suites/drones/secure comms, server/setup for secure recording, and communications monitoring setup; aggregated initial hardware and outfitting costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#13] One-time lab setup and materials for controlled exposure studies and transcript/linguistic analysis.
Observer Replacement Reserve $50K
[#14] One-time termination/replacement reserve for the dedicated safe-observer position (replacement/retraining/relocation costs when operative removed).
Barricade And Perimeter $20K
[#5] Purchase of core portable barricade inventory and crowd-control materials to keep in storage between events.
Candidate Database Setup $20K
[#9] Initial secure database/software setup for candidate lists and background data.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $735K/yr
[#1] MTF field personnel salaries for baseline 7-person deployment per city (4 active + 2 reserves + 1 supervisor), salary + benefits (+40% burden) aggregated.
Research Team Operations $350K/yr
[#13] 2–4 researchers + 1 lab tech for transcript analysis, memetic profiling and experiments (range $250k–$500k; mid-estimate used).
Long Term Residential Treatment $300K/yr
[#8] Secure psychiatric housing, therapy, monitoring and medications for SCP-9048-2 instances (budget range $100k–$1M depending on caseload; mid-range used).
Secure Housing Operations $300K/yr
[#19] Staff and operations for secure containment housing for converted instances (range $150k–$600k/yr depending on bed-count).
Medical And Mental Health $250K/yr
[#7] Full-time psychiatric clinician + 0.5 FTE nurse/caseworker and on-call crisis counselors for event and post-event intake (range $200k–$300k).
Mortality Contingency And Cover $250K/yr
[#18] Emergency reserves for fatalities, investigations, family compensation, legal settlements and cover narratives (budget range $100k–$1M/year).
Candidate Vetting And Surveillance $210K/yr
[#9] Ongoing investigators/analysts (1–2 FTE) plus surveillance expenses and background checks (investigator salaries + surveillance costs aggregated).
Memetic Research And Countermeasures $200K/yr
[#22] Specialized memetic/psychological R&D and testing of countermeasures (range $100k–$500k/yr; mid-estimate).
Safe Observation Operative $160K/yr
[#14] Dedicated operative to observe the Ouroboros Event: salary + burden (~$120k–$180k) plus psychological program costs included.
Candidate Procurement And Logistics $150K/yr
[#10] Covert relocation, temporary housing, transport, consent processing, and amnestic logistics for candidates (per-person $5k–$50k; estimate for ~10 candidates/year).
Legal And Witness Management $150K/yr
[#16] Legal retainers, PR, witness management, cover-ups and amnestic liability mitigation (range $50k–$250k; mid-estimate).
Overtime And Special Deployments $105K/yr
[#2] Concentrated overtime, hazard pay, travel/per diem during the April–May concentrated manifestation window (range $60k–$150k; mid-estimate used).
Psych Eval And Therapy $100K/yr
[#15] Regular psych evaluations and mandatory therapy for observers and interacting MTF staff (range $40k–$200k depending on frequency).
Insurance And Liability Reserves $100K/yr
[#23] Internal reserve for lawsuits, large incidents, and unexpected costs (range $50k–$500k/yr).
Communications Monitoring $80K/yr
[#21] Analysts, cloud costs and ongoing social/media monitoring for manifestation detection ($40k–$120k/yr).
Acute Inpatient Costs Reserve $50K/yr
[#7] Additional per-incident inpatient costs for acute suicidal patients (per-admission $5k–$30k; reserve for several admissions annually).
Amnestics Consumables $50K/yr
[#11] Drugs and materials for amnestic administration (per-case $200–$2,000; scale to ~50 civilians/year).
Amnestics Training And Qc $35K/yr
[#11] Training, quality control, and procedural oversight for memory management (range $20k–$50k).
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#20] Annual exercises, scenario actors, overtime and materials ($10k–$50k/yr).
Surveillance Refresh $20K/yr
[#4] Annual replacement/repair/licensing for cameras, drones, bodycams, and secure radios (range $10k–$30k).
Incident Response And Cleanup $20K/yr
[#17] After-action cleanup, forensic disposal, property repair averaged per year (per-event $5k–$50k; averaged).
Vehicle Maintenance And Fuel $18K/yr
[#3] Annual fuel, maintenance, and insurance for 3 unmarked/armored vans (range $12k–$25k).
Monitoring And Transcription $16K/yr
[#6] Secure cloud/maintenance, backups, transcription labor, and redundant recorder upkeep (range $8k–$25k).
Ethics Review And Administration $15K/yr
[#12] Administrative overhead for Ethics Committee / Level-5 review meetings and logistics ($5k–$25k/year).
Misc Consumables And Field Supplies $15K/yr
[#25] Uniforms, first-aid, batteries, non-lethal tools and other field consumables ($5k–$30k/yr).
Records Archival Maintenance $10K/yr
[#24] Ongoing cataloging, secure storage and redundancy maintenance ($5k–$20k/yr).
Barricade Rental And Storage $8K/yr
[#5] Rental for active days ($2k–$10k) plus storage/transport ($1k–$3k) combined.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with standard annual operations in a single city and expected caseload.
standard annual Ouroboros Event no major fatalities no containment escalation
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring extra overtime, cleanup, limited legal support, and short-term inpatient care.
small property damage several acute hospitalizations short-term increased PR/legal workload
🚨 Major Breach $4.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Partial containment failure or large manifestation spanning multiple sites requiring expanded housing, surge hires, and major legal/cover efforts.
multi-site manifestations mass conversions requiring long-term housing significant property damage/forensic remediation
🚨 High Fatality Event $5.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
High-profile fatalities or multiple suicides leading to intensive investigations, heavy legal settlements, and national-level cover operations.
multiple civilian fatalities media/political exposure large-scale legal claims
👥 Personnel 17.7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#1] Baseline MTF deployment per city (4 active + 2 reserves + 1 supervisor).
Safe Observation Operative 1 [#14] Dedicated operative required to observe the Ouroboros Event.
Research Scientist 3 [#13] Researchers for transcript analysis, linguistics, memetic profiling and experiments.
Lab Technician 1 [#13] Lab tech supporting controlled studies and equipment.
Candidate Investigator / Analyst 2 [#9] Staff for candidate database maintenance, background vetting and surveillance.
Medical Officer / Psychiatrist 1 [#7] Full-time psychiatric clinician for intake and management of SCP-9048-2 cases.
Nurse / Caseworker 0.5 [#7] 0.5 FTE nurse/caseworker per city for on-call and follow-up care.
Communications Analyst / Forensics 1 [#21] Analyst for social media monitoring, interception and forensic analysis.
Administrative Staff 1 [#12] Administration and logistics support for Ethics Committee meetings, recordkeeping and coordination.
Legal Counsel (retainer) 0.2 [#16] Part-time/retainer legal support for witness management and cover operations (FTE-equivalent estimated).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst ranges and program assumptions; many line items have wide ranges (e.g., legal, long-term housing, and mortality contingency) and depend heavily on caseload, jurisdiction, and frequency of severe incidents, so a medium confidence rating is appropriate.
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