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SCP-908 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-908
Expected annual
$16.2M
One-time setup
$66.2M
Annual recurring
$15.5M
Personnel
73
[#25] One-time startup costs are estimated at $65,155,000 driven primarily by vessel acquisition, retrofit and a replacement reserve; baseline annual operating costs are approximately $15,510,000 driven by vessel crewing, fuel/maintenance, port fees, logistics and program overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $66.2M
Equipment $52.9M
[#1, #6, #7, #9, #12, #23] Purchase of six patrol vessels (ice-class, oceanic, coastal and lake craft) estimated at $49,000,000; hull hardening/defensive sensor retrofits and weapon mounts ~$3,000,000; islet audio/video package installations for six sites ~$435,000; VSAT terminal hardware/install ~$240,000; onboard medical kits ~$30,000; signals/surveillance hardware ~$150,000.
Replacement Reserve $10.0M
[#18] Reserve for catastrophic asset loss and rapid replacement/salvage of vessels and major equipment (recommended $5M–$20M).
Self Insurance Reserve $2.0M
[#17] Contingency reserve for self-insurance against denied market premiums ($1M–$5M recommended).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $800K
[#10, #13] Data / archival / secure server and ingest setup ~$300,000; initial specialized research program and contracted lab access/hire ~$500,000.
Initial Legal And Diplomatic Effort $300K
[#16] Initial legal/diplomatic effort and permitting to enable operations in multiple jurisdictions.
Environmental Remediation Reserve $200K
[#20] One-time reserve for permits/mitigation/initial remediation contingency.
Facilities $0
[]
Space Investigation Optional $0
[#22] Optional non-terrestrial/orbital investigation (cubesat/sounding rocket or larger mission). Not included in baseline startup; optional costs range from ~$200k to >>$50M.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.5M/yr
Staff Wages $6.4M/yr
[#3, #10, #23, #24, #14] Vessel crewing (6 vessels × ~10 crew × ~$80k fully burdened ≈ $4.8M); analysts and data staff ~$500k/yr; intelligence/HUMINT staff included ~$500k/yr; program management/staffing ~$450k/yr; linguist/historian consulting / part-time team ~$150k/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $4.2M/yr
[#4, #5, #6] Fuel, routine vessel O&M and spare parts ~$3.5M/yr; dockage and port fees ~$500k/yr; ongoing hull/sensor maintenance/upgrades ~$200k/yr.
Logistics And Transport $1.7M/yr
[#11, #12, #15] Rapid-response expeditionary missions (helicopter/RHIB/divers) contingency ~$800k/yr; medevac contracts/insurance ~$150k/yr; local contractors/retainers across regions ~$600k/yr.
Annual Contingency Reserve $1.4M/yr
[#24] Program-level contingency reserve (10% of annual operating budget) to cover unforeseen costs and escalation.
Supplies And Consumables $700K/yr
[#8, #9, #19, #21] Monitoring replacement/repair and vandalism budget aggregate ~$200k/yr; satellite airtime/data (~six sites) ~$300k/yr; D-class provisioning and mission costs ~$100k/yr; archival forgery/record concealment ~$100k/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $650K/yr
[#16, #17, #20] Ongoing legal/PR/cover-story costs ~$150k/yr; insurance premiums or equivalent ~$300k/yr; environmental compliance / remediation contingency ~$200k/yr.
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#13] Ongoing specialized sample analysis, contracted lab time and follow-up experiments budgeted ~$300k/yr.
Training And Drills $150K/yr
[#24] Annual training, safety drills and special training for crews (CBRN/hostile-encounter protocols).
Vessel Charter Option $0/yr
[#2] Option to charter rather than purchase (estimated $5M–$30M/yr). Not used in baseline (set to $0 for baseline-owned-vessels model).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.5M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal year with owned vessels, routine maintenance, regular monitoring and no major incidents.
routine operations seasonal maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $16.7M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized attacks, sensor theft/vandalism, or moderate vessel damage requiring repair and extra missions.
sensor theft/vandalism small vessel damaged increased rapid-response missions
🚨 Major Breach $23.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Severe incident such as sinking or destruction of a vessel, major legal/PR exposure, or multi-site coordinated attacks.
vessel destroyed/sunk torpedo or large-creature attack major international legal incident
👥 Personnel 73 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (vessel crew) 60 [#3] Approx. 6 vessels × ~10 crew each (captain, engineers, deckhands, sonar/operator, medic) at fully burdened rates.
Research Scientist / Analyst 5 [#10, #13] Analysts and specialist researchers to monitor AV feeds, perform sample analysis and manage research.
Intelligence Analyst 4 [#23] HUMINT and maritime intelligence staff for monitoring suspicious vessel traffic and anti-anomalous actor investigations.
Site Director / Program Manager 3 [#24] Program management, compliance, safety officers and administrative oversight.
Linguist / Historian / Archaeologist 1 [#14] Part-time specialist support for inscriptions and cultural research (recurring consulting).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and reasonable mid-point selections; uncertainty remains around purchase vs charter decisions, incident frequency/severity, and optional high-cost escalations (space investigation or dedicated large research vessel).
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