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SCP-9148 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-9148
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$9.7M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
11
Estimated one-time capital costs are approximately $9.75M driven by a prion-capable lab retrofit, R&D setup, and a replacement contingency; annual recurring costs are approximately $1.94M driven primarily by staffing, security, and ongoing research/monitoring. Per-deployment operational costs are significant but modeled separately in scenarios.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.7M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.1M
[#4, #11] Prion-capable laboratory retrofit (BSL‑3/prion protocols) and initial forensic/R&D program startup (instrumentation and program setup).
Replacement Contingency $3.0M
[#26] Contingency reserve for irreversible loss / intensified replacement and diplomatic/counterintelligence response.
Facilities $975K
[#1, #3, #12] Physical containment upgrades: high-security artifact vault upgrade, prion-safe storage/climate control installation, and quarantine/ isolation room fit-out.
Records Legal Action Reserve $550K
[#24] One-time reserve allocated for legal actions / rapid-response legal fund (midpoint of recommended reserve range).
Hazard Pay And Compensation Reserve $500K
[#7] One-time emergency compensation/benefit reserve for handler accidents and major incidents.
Equipment $370K
[#5, #9, #10, #19, #21, #27] Specialized decontamination/autoclave/incineration access, technician toolkits, battery/support rigs, secure communications hardware, containment/anomaly sensors, and initial spares.
Records Concealment Setup $100K
[#24] One-time setup for records concealment/falsification infrastructure and rapid-response document packages.
Emergency Medical Stockpile $60K
[#13] Initial stockpile of supportive-care and experimental therapeutics supplies for exposed personnel.
Outreach Establishment $40K
[#28] One-time establishment of MoUs and discreet agreements with allied hospitals/liaison offices.
Training Setup $28K
[#8] One-time curriculum and specialized training program setup for prion/device handling and Targeting Committee certification.
Cover Story Initial Fund $0
[#20] No specific one-time cover-story setup cost provided; ongoing cover costs handled as recurring.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $930K/yr
[#2, #4, #9, #7] 24/7 guarded security detail (guards), recurring staffing for prion lab operations, dedicated technician FTE(s), and hazard pay premiums.
Research And Monitoring $375K/yr
[#11, #25] Ongoing forensic/materials R&D and external research ethics oversight / consultant fees.
Supplies And Consumables $240K/yr
[#5, #6, #8, #13, #22] Waste disposal contracts and consumables (prion chemical decontamination), medical surveillance program costs, recurring training refreshers, medical stockpile replenishment, and psychological support/counseling.
Cover Story And Legal $182K/yr
[#18, #20, #30] Administrative/Thaumiel approval overhead, base Veil media-management budget, and annual independent audits/safety reviews.
Facilities Maintenance $172K/yr
[#3, #2, #19, #21, #10, #12, #27] Ongoing climate/HEPA maintenance and utilities, monitoring system maintenance, secure-comms maintenance, instrumentation calibration, small UPS/battery upkeep, quarantine readiness upkeep, and spare-part replacement.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#23] Red-team safety exercises, tabletop planning, and logistics exercises (annual/semi-annual drills).
Outreach Maintenance $12K/yr
[#28] Recurring maintenance of MoUs and liaison coordination.
Per Deployment Transport $0/yr
[#14] Per-deployment covert-transport/secure-route costs (typical per-deployment range $100,000–$400,000). Accounted for in deployment scenarios.
Per Deployment Cover Operations $0/yr
[#15] Per-deployment operatives/forensics staging/bribery costs (per-deployment range $50,000–$300,000). Accounted for in deployment scenarios.
Per Deployment Follow Up Surveillance $0/yr
[#16] Per-target follow-up surveillance and social cover (per-target/year range $30,000–$120,000). Accounted for in deployment scenarios.
Per Deployment Contaminated Disposal $0/yr
[#17] Per-incident contaminated-material disposal (per-incident range $2,000–$20,000). Accounted for in deployment scenarios.
Per Deployment Ethical Mitigation $0/yr
[#29] Per-deployment ethical mitigation/compensation to collateral victims (per-deployment range $5,000–$50,000). Accounted for in deployment scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no breaches or authorized deployments beyond administrative activity.
no deployments no breaches routine operations
🚨 Authorized Deployment $2.6M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$688K vs baseline
One or more authorized uses of SCP-9148 in the year, incurring per-deployment operational, cover, and follow-up costs.
Targeting Committee approval covert transport and field team deployment post-deployment surveillance/cover operations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment or procedural incident (localized contamination, single-person exposure, or detection requiring response) without asset loss.
localized contamination single-person suspected exposure small forensic/legal inquiry
🚨 Major Breach $5.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or irreversible loss of SCP-9148 requiring contingency activation, large-scale R&D and diplomatic/CI response.
device loss or severe contamination large-scale exposure external investigation requiring legal defense
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#2] 24/7 guarded security detail (approx. 4 guards, two-shift rotation).
Research Scientist 3 [#4, #11] Prion/R&D and forensic/materials analysis staff supporting containment and study.
Technician / Maintenance 1 [#9] 0.5–1.0 FTE technician for checks, tooling, and safe procedures (rounded to 1 FTE).
Medical Officer 1 [#6, #13] Medical surveillance program oversight and emergency treatment coordination.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #21] Facilities/HVAC and instrumentation maintenance support for prion-safe storage and sensors.
Administrative Staff 1 [#18, #24] Administrative support for Targeting Committee, recordkeeping, redaction and legal coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midpoints of analyst-provided ranges and aggregate multiple judgment calls (e.g., allocation between staffing vs. maintenance, assumed deployment frequency). Per-deployment frequency is uncertain, and several costs are intentionally discretionary (legal/reserve spending), so uncertainty is moderate.
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