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SCP-9181 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9181
Expected annual
$7.5M
One-time setup
$19.8M
Annual recurring
$7.0M
Personnel
48
One-time capital and setup (site build-out, vessels, surveillance) are the primary upfront costs (~$19.8M). Recurring annual costs are dominated by personnel wages, contingency/reserve access, and ongoing dredging/transport operations (~$7.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.8M
Facilities $8.2M
[#5, #24] Site 914 construction and secure containment build-out ($8.0M midpoint) plus physical perimeter/intrusion system installation ($150k).
Equipment $7.6M
[#6, #7, #11, #12, #21, #23] Two modified dredgers ($6.0M), patrol/transport craft ($600k), shore/island surveillance hardware ($750k), indexing hardware ($50k), initial PPE purchase ($10k), and two secure transport vans ($150k).
Decommissioning Reserve $2.0M
[#28] One-time reserve for potential full decommissioning/site remediation ($2.0M).
Contingency Seed Fund $1.0M
[#26] One-time seed for classified/rapid-response fund ($1.0M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#13, #27] Containment cell outfitting, specialized aquaria and chilled chambers ($350k) plus one-time specialized research instrument purchases ($150k).
Environmental Cleanup Reserve $500K
[#16] One-time reserve for major environmental remediation / incineration / cleanup ($500k).
Training Initial $50K
[#20] Initial training and certifications seed ($50k one-time).
Amnestics Initial Stock $20K
[#17] Initial stock & training for Class-A amnestics administration ($20k one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.0M/yr
Staff Wages $3.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4] MTF/security (24 FTE × $80k = $1.92M), surveillance/technical (12 FTE × $70k = $840k), scientific staff (~6 FTE × $120k = $720k), support staff (~6 FTE × $60k = $360k).
Contingency Fund Access $1.0M/yr
[#26] Annual access/reserve allocation for classified rapid-response actions (~$1.0M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $770K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #22, #23] Weekly dredging operations and disposal (~$300k), dredger/boat maintenance (~$300k), fuel (~$100k), emergency medevac standby (~$50k), and vehicle maintenance/fuel (~$20k).
Supplies And Consumables $525K/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #17, #21] Lab consumables and reagents ($120k), autopsy/necropsy per-entity operational costs (~$300k), biohazard disposal ongoing ($50k), recurring amnestics administrations ($50k), and recurring PPE replacement ($5k).
Research And Monitoring $320K/yr
[#12, #27] Data storage/bandwidth and analysis ($120k/yr) plus ongoing research program budgets (~$200k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#18, #19, #30] Cover-story PR/community liaison (~$100k), legal counsel/permits (~$100k), and per-incident media/rapid-response cover operations budget (~$100k).
Audit And Investigation $125K/yr
[#29] Annual internal audits, compliance reviews, and small investigation budgets (~$125k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $65K/yr
[#24, #25] Intrusion system monitoring/maintenance (~$20k/yr) and site energy/utilities (~$45k/yr).
Training And Certifications $25K/yr
[#20] Annual refresher certifications and training (~$25k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine dredging, monitoring, research, and no major incidents.
routine_dredging scheduled_maintenance regular_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $7.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$850K vs baseline
Localized contamination, vessel damage, or a small explosive regrowth event requiring targeted cleanup, repairs, and PR response.
localized_contamination small_vessel_damage targeted_cleanup_and_pr
🚨 Major Breach $12.5M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$5.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or explosion causing multiple vessel losses, large-scale contamination, and major remediation/legal costs.
multi-vessel_incident large-scale_environmental_remediation major_legal_response
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $27.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Full-scale crisis requiring site evacuation, full decommissioning, major remediation, and intense public exposure response.
site_loss major_public_exposure full_decommissioning
👥 Personnel 48 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 24 tactical/guard operators across 3 shifts for 24/7 island interdiction and boarding operations. [#1]
Surveillance Technician / IT 12 Operators for camera/hydrophone feeds, drone pilots, and IT/sysadmin to keep 24/7 surveillance online. [#2]
Research Scientist 6 Biologists, pathologists, and lab leads for specimen analysis and research. (~4-6 FTE used = 6). [#3]
Support Staff (Medic / Diver / Engineer / Admin) 6 On-site medic, certified divers, mechanics for vessels/dredgers, and admin/logistics personnel. [#4]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item estimates for nearly all cost drivers (personnel, vessels, dredging, monitoring, and contingency). Uncertainty remains in incident frequencies, scope of remediation in major breaches, and long-term contingency drawdowns, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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