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SCP-9280 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9280
Expected annual
$3.5M
One-time setup
$9.3M
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
8
Initial one-time setup is sizable (~$9.3M) driven by structural stabilization, specialized equipment (sensors, UAVs, vehicles), research program seed funding, and a multi-million dollar contingency reserve. Annual operations are ~ $3.3M driven mainly by MTF readiness, ongoing research/monitoring, security wages, logistics (air/transport), medical readiness, and liaison/retainer costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.3M
Contingency Reserve Fund $3.0M
[#28] Seeded containment failure reserve fund / insurance-like liquidity to cover worst-case rapid expenditures.
Equipment $2.0M
[#3, #4, #5, #10, #11, #24, #25, #26] Environmental control purchase (#3), redundant communications setup (#4), fixed sensor & monitoring network setup (#5), UAV fleet purchase (#10), initial termination & tactical gear (#11), development of mechanical/automated tributes (#24), emergency ritual kit (#25), and transportation fleet purchase (#26).
Facilities $2.0M
[#1, #2, #14] Secure vault/airlock and hardened entrance (#1), structural stabilization & conservation of arena and subterranean walkways (#2), and construction of simulation/rehearsal facility (#14).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#13, #23, #30] Initial reconstruction & research program seed funding (#13), initial biological/material testing lab setup (#23), and initial archival/translation work (#30).
International Escalation Reserve $625K
[#32] One-time reserve for emergency relocation/evacuation planning and sudden international escalation costs.
Local Government Negotiation $175K
[#18] One-time negotiation/retainer cost to establish covert cooperation with regional authorities (negotiation/one-time setup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Mtf Readiness $900K/yr
[#8] Rapid-response Mobile Task Force readiness & training (salaries, training, exercises) for 12–20 specialist personnel.
Staff Wages $550K/yr
[#7] On-site security staffing (24/7 guards, access control officers), estimated 6–10 FTE (midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $435K/yr
[#13, #23, #27, #30, #31] Ongoing reconstruction/research program costs (#13 ongoing), biological/material testing recurring (#23 ongoing), data analysis/modeling (#27), archival/translation ongoing (#30), and long-term ecological monitoring (#31).
Logistics And Transport $380K/yr
[#9, #26] Air assets & rapid transport standby contracts and fuel (#9) plus maintenance & fuel for on-site vehicles (#26 maintenance).
Medical Readiness $275K/yr
[#15] Baseline medical readiness & mass-casualty preparedness (triage kits, medevac capability, trauma surgeons on-call, mortuary/pathology baseline costs).
Protocol Bustuarii Performance $150K/yr
[#12] Annual Protocol Bustuarii performance costs (travel, stipends, ritual materials, rehearsal).
Cover Story And Legal $138K/yr
[#19] Legal team and covert operations counsel retainer, cover litigation risk and document manufacture.
Local Government Retainer $100K/yr
[#18] Annual retainer / covert cooperation fund with regional authorities (recurring retainer).
Uav Operations $75K/yr
[#10] UAV/aerial ISR maintenance and operators (ongoing ops costs).
Psychological Support $70K/yr
[#22] Psychological screening, counseling and resilience programs for staff.
Sensor Network Maintenance And Storage $65K/yr
[#5, #6] Fixed sensor & monitoring network annual maintenance (#5 maintenance) and sensor/network data storage, telemetry hosting, hardened servers and backups (#6).
Tactical Resupply $65K/yr
[#11] Ammunition, weapons maintenance and tactical equipment resupply (annual resupply estimate).
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#3] Environmental control energy and basic HVAC/power redundancy maintenance (annual energy & maintenance).
Simulation Maintenance $35K/yr
[#14] Maintenance and upkeep for simulation/rehearsal facility and animatronics/robotic proxies.
Supplies And Consumables $28K/yr
[#29] Misc consumables, PPE, decontamination supplies, replacement parts and routine site consumables.
Forensics Per Activation $0/yr
[#16] Forensic, autopsy & biohazard disposal costs are per-activation ($40k–$120k per activation) and thus set to $0 baseline; modeled in cost scenarios.
Amnestics Per Activation $0/yr
[#17] Amnestics & information containment costs per-activation ($50k–$300k per activation); set to $0 baseline and modeled in scenarios.
Area Control Per Activation $0/yr
[#20] Community containment & area control during major activations ($500k–$2M per major activation); set to $0 baseline and modeled in scenarios.
Public Health Per Activation $0/yr
[#21] Public health contingency / hospital surge reimbursements per major activation ($100k–$500k per major activation); set to $0 baseline and modeled in scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no activation events beyond routine maintenance, regular Protocol performance, and scheduled research.
no activation protocol performed successfully routine maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Incident $4.2M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$855K vs baseline
Partial or localized containment failure requiring targeted MTF response, limited area control, forensic processing, amnestic deployment, and increased medical support.
localized activation event limited replacement of SCP-9280-2 instances partial protocol failure
🚨 Major Activation $6.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.3M vs baseline
Large-scale activation with widespread SCP-9280-2 incidents across the 25 km radius requiring mass area control, extensive MTF deployments, broad amnestic campaigns, public health reimbursements, and major forensic operations.
widespread activation protocol failure over extended period mass casualties and broad public exposure
🚨 Political Exposure $5.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.3M vs baseline
Discovery or political/diplomatic escalation (GOI infiltration discovered, regional authorities hostile) requiring emergency relocation, large contingency drawdowns, legal/PR blitz and temporary shutdown/repositioning of assets.
GOI infiltration or public exposure hostile local authorities cross-border diplomatic incident
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Access Control 8 [#7] Dedicated on-site security staff (24/7 guards and access control), estimated 6–10 FTE (midpoint 8) — staff_wages reflects these positions.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost ranges provided by analyst notes yield reasonable mid-point estimates for budgeting, but key uncertainties remain in activation frequency, severity distribution, and unquantified foreign-operational/legal tail risks; contingency and per-activation costs are especially uncertain.
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