SCP-9325 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-9325
Expected annual
$63.9M
One-time setup
$440.9M
Annual recurring
$54.9M
Personnel
90
Estimated up-front capital is large (~$441M) driven by SRA R&D, aircraft acquisition/conversion, fleet capital and a contingency reserve; annual recurring costs are substantial (~$54.9M/yr) dominated by flight operations, agency liaison/insurance, media suppression and staff wages.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $440.9M
Contingency Reserve $200.0M
[#25] Containment-failure / catastrophic contingency reserve fund (one-time reserved capital to be available for worst-case emergency response, legal settlements, large-scale remediation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $81.5M
[#1, #12, #14] R&D and lab buildout: SRA R&D and engineering (prototype development/testing/documentation), specialized bio/neuro lab setup for SCP-9325-1 monitoring, and initial amnestic/medical capability setup.
Aircraft Acquisition And Conversion $60.0M
[#4] Purchase/long-term lease and conversion costs for 6 aircraft (avionics, secure comms, airframe conversions).
Equipment $53.0M
[#2, #9] Hardware and installables: manufacture and integration of 6 SRA units (per-unit manufacture and spare kits) and one-time radar/sensor high-speed recording hardware and storage.
Fleet Capital $30.0M
[#3] Fleet capital to achieve rapid-response coverage (equipment/airframe modification reserves and distribution redundancy for a 6-aircraft baseline).
Facilities $15.8M
[#8, #10, #11, #18, #23] One-time construction and hardening: national command & control center buildout, ground SRA backup installations at ~10 airports, initial safehouse/setup for SCP-9325-1, evidence-destruction facility stand-up, and secure warehousing/depots.
Legal And Contracting Setup $500K
[#16] One-time legal/contracting setup costs to establish classified liaison agreements and contracting vehicles with federal agencies.
Uav Platforms $0
[#6] High-altitude/long-range UAV option acknowledged but set to 0 for the baseline (not procured in this posture).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $54.9M/yr
Flight Operations $18.0M/yr
[#5] Recurring flight operations costs (per-aircraft ops, maintenance, fuel, insurance, hangarage, test flights) for a 6-aircraft baseline fleet.
Staff Wages $12.0M/yr
[#5, #11, #12, #14, #23, #24] Salaries and benefits for pilots/flight crew, security/MTF staff, research and medical personnel, engineers and logistics/warehouse staff, and core command/admin personnel.
Insurance And Indemnity $5.0M/yr
[#21] Annual insurance/indemnity funds and airline compensation pool to cover diversions, delays and reputational costs.
Interceptor And Tasking $3.0M/yr
[#7] Radar/AWACS tasking and dedicated intercept standby fees / coordination costs.
Agency Liaison $3.0M/yr
[#16] Annual reimbursements/program funding for FBI/FAA/military liaisons and covert agreements enabling rerouting and suppression of records.
Command Center Ops $2.0M/yr
[#8] Ongoing operating costs for national command & control center (staff, comms, continuity, secure servers).
Media And Internet Suppression $2.0M/yr
[#15] Ongoing monitoring and takedowns, PR/legal cover, SEO suppression, payoffs/NDAs and FOIA/legal interactions.
Airport Standby Pool $2.0M/yr
[#17] National contingency pool/airport standby teams for top airports and runway security contingencies.
Witness Handling $1.5M/yr
[#13] Field teams for witness location/detainment/interrogation, travel, covert transport, evidence confiscation and destruction; annualized cost assuming many incidents.
Radar Data Ops $1.0M/yr
[#9] Recurring radar/remote-sensing hosting, storage, satellite tasking fees, and data analysis staff/hosting.
Ground Sra Ops $1.0M/yr
[#10] Recurring operating/maintenance costs for ground SRA backup installations at major airports (10-site baseline).
Bio Monitoring And Research $800K/yr
[#12] Ongoing biological/neurological testing, specialized staff and consumables for SCP-9325-1 research/monitoring.
Training And Drills $800K/yr
[#22] Exercises for SRA crews, intercept coordination, witness-handling and airport contingency drills.
Legal And Intelligence Team $800K/yr
[#24] Ongoing specialized legal and intelligence advisory team for long-term strategy, deniability and international issues.
Amnestic Supplies And Personnel $500K/yr
[#14] Consumables and skilled personnel for safe administration of pharmacological amnestics and medical follow-up.
Vetting And Insider Risk $500K/yr
[#20] Background checks, ongoing vetting, polygraphs and counterintelligence program costs.
Safehouse And Medical $300K/yr
[#11] Secure housing, 24/7 security, medical monitoring and psychiatric staff recurring costs for SCP-9325-1.
Environmental Monitoring $300K/yr
[#19] Ongoing monitoring of air/water/ground beneath manifestation corridors and periodic remediation budgets.
Storage Ops $250K/yr
[#23] Warehousing/secure logistics depot recurring operations and logistics staff.
Evidence Destruction Ops $150K/yr
[#18] Recurring costs for secure destruction of photographic/video evidence and hazardous material disposal procedures.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
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Uav Operations $0/yr
[#6] UAV operations (ground-control/ops) omitted in baseline posture.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $54.9M/yr
38.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine daily manifestations handled by SRA fleet and standard support actions; no major containment failure.
daily manifestations handled routinely no major breaches or landings
🚨 Minor Incident $59.9M/yr
60.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Year with one or more significant incidents requiring expanded witness handling, extra flight tasking, targeted remediation and higher media suppression activity.
multiple high-visibility manifestations near populated airports increased witness counts requiring amnestics/relocation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $354.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Containment failure scenario (SCP-9325 contacts ground, mass sightings, or large-scale evidence exposure) requiring emergency response, legal settlements and major remediation.
SCP-9325 permitted to land or mass-casualty exposure widespread public evidence and legal/cleanup obligations
👥 Personnel 90 total
Role Count Notes
Flight Crew / Pilots 30 [#5] Pilots and aircrew sized for rotation across a 6-aircraft rapid-response fleet.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#11, #17, #20] 24/7 security, airport contingency teams and insider-risk/counterintelligence presence.
Research Scientist 8 [#1, #12] R&D staff for SRA development and biological/neurological monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#1, #4, #23] Engineers and maintenance technicians for aircraft, SRAs and depot/spare parts logistics.
Medical Officer 4 [#11, #14, #12] Medical staff for monitoring SCP-9325-1, amnestic administration and emergency care.
Administrative Staff 6 [#8, #16, #24] Admin, contracting and liaison support for command center and legal/agency interactions.
Analysts / Command Staff 5 [#8, #9] Operations analysts, sensor/data analysts and command officers running daily tasking.
Logistics / Warehouse Staff 3 [#23] Depot and logistics personnel to manage spares, transport and rapid dispatch.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed categories and ranges, but individual line items have wide ranges and dependence on unknowns (existing SRA capability, aircraft choices, frequency/severity of incidents), so point estimates carry medium confidence.
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