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SCP-9376 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9376
Expected annual
$5.1M
One-time setup
$7.1M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
20
Initial establishment costs are dominated by central facility construction, amnestic R&D, and global regional setup (~$7.1M one-time). Ongoing yearly operations (field teams, specialist wages, legal/PR, veterinary, surveillance and contingencies) run roughly $4.9M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.1M
Eradication Contingency Fund Establishment $2.0M
[#19] Initial set-aside/establishment of eradication/large-contingency fund (lower recommended set-aside $2M–$10M).
Amnestic Rnd $1.2M
[#13] R&D/validation of amnestic agents and delivery systems; midpoint of $500k–$2M.
Major Incident Rapid Response Reserve Establishment $1.2M
[#30] Establishment of a major-incident rapid-response reserve (recommended $500k–$2M).
Facilities $1.1M
[#1] Secure climate-controlled central research & containment facility, quarantine rooms, necropsy bay, cold storage, basic genomics-capable lab and aviaries; estimate uses midpoint of $750k–$1.5M.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $590K
[#24, #25] Data infrastructure/setup and specialist research instrumentation (high-speed cameras, spatial sensors) one-time setup costs.
Trained Asset Initial Training $400K
[#11] One-time training for ~32 trained mimic-capable birds; midpoint of $160k–$640k example.
Regional Field Setup $360K
[#2] Six regional rapid-response vans and portable trapping/aviary kits; midpoint of $240k–$480k.
Incinerator Purchase $100K
[#8] Small in-house incinerator purchase (lower–mid estimate $50k–$150k).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#3, #4, #17] Core scientific staff (3–6 specialists) and field technicians/avian handlers (12 total) plus field-site guards; combined midpoint salary estimates.
Supplies And Consumables $816K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #22, #29] Capture/tagging hardware replacement, sterilization surgeries, per-specimen cremation fees, sequencing consumables, necropsy consumables, asset-bird maintenance, bird-care feed/enrichment, replacement/retirement of trained birds.
Cover Story And Legal $775K/yr
[#12, #14, #18] Covert media/counter-reporting program, legal/diplomatic retainers and routine PR/crisis readiness budgets.
Insurance And Secrecy $300K/yr
[#26] Public liability, secrecy insurance, and hush-fund reserves (midpoint of $100k–$500k/yr).
Outreach Partnerships $300K/yr
[#27] Covert partnerships/funding to local wildlife agencies across regions (moderate multi-region support estimate).
Research And Monitoring $280K/yr
[#16, #25, #28] Surveillance networks, ongoing research funding into anomalous transport (project funding), and ecological impact monitoring.
Veterinary Services $200K/yr
[#5] In-house or contract avian veterinary services for surgeries, emergency care, and monitoring (midpoint of $150k–$250k).
Eradication Contingency Replenishment $200K/yr
[#19] Annual replenishment to contingency fund to maintain readiness (lower annual top-up assumption).
Rapid Response Reserve Replenishment $200K/yr
[#30] Annual replenishment to rapid-response reserve after usage; nominal top-up estimate.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#1, #21] Annual facility upkeep, HVAC/aviary climate control and power; includes central facility maintenance midpoint and energy estimates.
Logistics And Transport $125K/yr
[#15] Secure domestic and international transport (charters, vet escorts, quarantine compliance) routine transfers budget midpoint.
Communications And Intel $85K/yr
[#20] Continuous social-media/forum monitoring, analysts and takedown infrastructure (midpoint of $20k–$150k).
Training And Safety $75K/yr
[#23] Annual training, certification, PPE replacement, and drills for capture/biosecurity per-region costs.
Amnestic Administration And Supply $60K/yr
[#13] Per-administration drug and medical staff costs (estimated ~200 administrations/yr midpoint $20k–$100k).
Data Infrastructure Maintenance $30K/yr
[#24] Ongoing maintenance for encrypted databases, secure communications and sample storage ($10k–$50k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine containment, research, field ops, and upkeep.
no major leaks routine field detections only steady-state asset maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Small public leak or localized containment event requiring extra PR/legal response, overtime, and limited emergency operations.
public sighting leaked localized media attention small-scale emergency captures
🚨 Major Breach $7.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public incident requiring large emergency response, legal settlements, mass amnestics and rapid mobilization.
widespread photographic/geographical spread civilian injuries/visibility multi-region coordinated response
🚨 Eradication Campaign $14.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Large-scale eradication/sterilization campaign due to invasive behavior requiring multi-city or national operations.
evidence of invasive population expansion ecological damage confirmed policy decision to pursue mass-control
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#3] Paraornithologists, geneticist, behaviorist; midpoint of 3–6 full-time specialists.
Field Technician / Avian Handler 12 [#4] Two technicians per region across six regions as specified.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#17] Field/facility guards (wage budget chosen corresponds to ~4 FTE-equivalent guards).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide extensive line-item ranges and regional coverage, allowing reasonable midpoint estimates; however many items have wide ranges and scenario-dependent large outlays (eradication, R&D), so uncertainty remains medium.
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