SCP-9423 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-9423
Expected annual
$15.8M
One-time setup
$31.7M
Annual recurring
$15.2M
Personnel
41
Estimated one-time setup cost is approximately $31.7M driven by site retrofit and a recommended contingency fund; recurring annual costs are ~ $15.2M driven primarily by full-time personnel, MTF readiness/reserve allocations, and ongoing contingency/reserve building.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $31.7M
Contingency Fund $20.0M
[#20] Initial restricted contingency / catastrophe response fund (held for catastrophic containment failure scenarios).
Facilities $10.0M
[#1] Dedicated site retrofit and structural reinforcement: hardened underground complex, reinforced doors, segregated HVAC, sealed access points, antechambers and secure vault.
Anomaly Sensor Rnd $400K
[#28] R&D and purchase of specialized sensors/prototypes for anomaly detection (seismic, air composition prototypes).
It Hardening $350K
[#13] Forensic/IT isolation hardware, Faraday room buildout and initial network hardening tools.
Backup Power $300K
[#2] Redundant diesel generators, ATS, UPS for sensitive electronics (initial purchase and installation).
Mapping Equipment $300K
[#19] LiDAR, GPR, caving gear, mobile-lab initial equipment and drones.
Translation Initial Equip $125K
[#18] Initial equipment/software for translation and secure compute resources (machine/human translation support).
Vault And Em Shielding $90K
[#8] Secure vault, environmental controls, EMP/Faraday shielding for books and cassette.
Cassette And Archival $25K
[#7] Purchase/duplication of primary cassette, 2–3 backups, archival climate control and forensic-grade backups.
Camera Storage $25K
[#12] Initial investment in lockable storage, tamper-evident seals, secure lockers for removed recording equipment.
Evidence Storage $25K
[#29] Secure evidence lockers and initial chain-of-custody infrastructure for removed recording equipment.
Small Capital $6K
[#30] Small capital stocking: office furniture, replacement chairs, cable spools, cardboard chessboard initial stock.
Medical Kit $5K
[#14] One-time purchase of trauma kits, defibrillator and initial medical supplies.
Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.2M/yr
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#3] Permanent full-time staffing: salaries, benefits, hazard pay for participants (13), understudies (13 on payroll/standby), technicians (3), site ops/admin (3), security non-MTF (6), medics (2), site lead (1).
Mtf Readiness $3.0M/yr
[#4] Maintainable Mobile Task Force retainer, readiness costs, equipment prepositioning and training for rapid-response/large-scale containment.
Contingency Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#20] Annual allocation to build/maintain catastrophic containment reserve for major breach response, amnestics and reconstruction.
Family Protection $750K/yr
[#15] Relocation, protective services, compensation allowances and welfare checks for participants' families.
Translation Research $500K/yr
[#18] Ongoing linguistics research, secure compute time and specialized consultants to translate books and analyze mechanisms.
Life Care Reserve $500K/yr
[#27] Annual reserved allocation for life-care, death benefits, investigations and long-term family support.
Expeditions $350K/yr
[#19] Recurring expedition costs: vehicles, personnel, consumables, replacement of lost equipment during tunnel exploration.
Overtime $300K/yr
[#5] Per-procedure overtime/backfill for participants, understudy involvement, ROC drills and scheduling overhead.
Recruitment Retention $300K/yr
[#16] Recruitment campaigns, background checks, loyalty screening and retention/hazard bonuses.
Amnestic Operations $300K/yr
[#21] Annual contingency for civilian amnesticization, field medics, pharmaceuticals, and cover operations.
It Operations $200K/yr
[#13] Ongoing IT/cybersecurity personnel and operational costs for hardened/isolatable networks and forensic monitoring.
Post Incident Support $200K/yr
[#23] Counseling, termination/replacement costs, amnestics for terminated staff and incident management overhead.
Legal Liaison $150K/yr
[#22] Legal fees, liaison with local government, vendor payments to support cover stories and local repairs.
Environ Control $115K/yr
[#10] Continuous HVAC, air quality monitoring, routine maintenance of pumps, dehumidifiers, filters for underground complex.
Utilities $100K/yr
[#11] Electricity and other utilities for continuous power to lighting, HVAC, equipment and small kitchen appliances.
Medical Monitoring $100K/yr
[#14] Periodic physicals, psychological care, ongoing medical supplies and screening.
Chess Specialists $80K/yr
[#17] Salary/stipend for maintaining a Master-level chess player and rotating Patzer (full-time or per-procedure stipend).
Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr
[#1, #30] Ongoing maintenance of retrofit work and small capital wear-and-tear.
Recordkeeping $50K/yr
[#26] SOP logs, ROC records, chain-of-custody documentation, audits and secure physical/digital archiving.
Anomaly Monitoring $50K/yr
[#28] Ongoing monitoring and maintenance for specialized anomaly detection instrumentation.
Backup Power Maintenance $40K/yr
[#2] Fuel, generator maintenance and monthly testing to avoid outages like Incident 9423-54.
Tech Inspection $8K/yr
[#9] Technician time for two-hour pre-procedure equipment checks (1–2 techs).
Evidence Handling $5K/yr
[#29] Annual handling, sterilization/disinfection and chain-of-custody operations for removed recording equipment.
Cassette Maintenance $3K/yr
[#7] Maintenance, climate monitoring and periodic duplication/testing of cassette players/tapes.
Camera Admin $3K/yr
[#12] Annual admin and handling for camera/recording control systems, documented removal and lockup.
Plant And Props Maintenance $3K/yr
[#24] Monthly pruning for three plants and incidental mural/prop upkeep.
Procedure Consumables $2K/yr
[#6] Consumables per Trial Bravo (pizzas, paper plates, tea packets) and small recurring replacements (~40 procedures/yr).
Vault Monitoring $2K/yr
[#8] Environmental monitoring and periodic checks of secure archival storage / Faraday shielding.
Prop Replacements $2K/yr
[#25] Consumable spares and low-tech props replacement (umbrellas, chessboard, kettles, paper goods).
Small Capital Replacement $1K/yr
[#30] Annual replacement budget for small capital items (chairs, cable spool table, mugs).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.2M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; steady recurring costs and reserve allocations.
successful Trial Bravo iterations no significant intrusions routine maintenance and research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $16.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Localized failed procedure or small intrusion requiring targeted amnesticization, limited MTF activation and increased legal/medical response.
failed Trial Bravo with limited intrusion civilian witness requiring amnesticization small-scale MTF mobilization
🚨 Major Breach $27.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure leading to multi-site intrusions, large-scale MTF deployment and substantial reconstruction/amnestic campaigns.
site loss or extended unfolded state multi-state intrusions large MTF mobilization and reconstruction
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $75.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Widespread containment failure with mass casualties, national exposure, and deployment of large contingency funds and emergency reconstruction.
cascading site failures public exposure requiring mass amnestics use of large contingency/reserve funds
👥 Personnel 41 total
Role Count Notes
Participants 13 [#3] Full-time assigned procedure participants (on-site/permanent assignment).
Understudies (payroll/standby) 13 [#3] Understudies maintained on payroll/standby for each participant.
Technician 3 [#3] Equipment inspection, calibration and pre-procedure testing technicians.
Site Operations / Administrative Staff 3 [#3] Site ops and administrative roles supporting scheduling, logistics and recordkeeping.
Security Officer / Non-MTF 6 [#3] On-site security personnel (non-MTF) responsible for securing procedure area and access control.
Medical Officer 2 [#3] Medics for on-site screening, trauma response and medical monitoring.
Site Containment Lead / Manager 1 [#3] Containment lead/manager responsible for procedure oversight and decision authority.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line-item ranges for almost every cost; however the anomaly's unpredictable failure modes, the discretionary size of contingency funds, and variability in incident frequency introduce meaningful uncertainty.
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