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SCP-9446 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9446
Expected annual
$29.2M
One-time setup
$75.9M
Annual recurring
$28.9M
Personnel
85
One-time capital/setup costs are roughly $76M for a mid-range secure facility and specialized hardware; baseline annual operating costs are ~ $28.85M driven primarily by staff wages, security/MTF operations, research/HPC costs and legal/cover-story operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $75.9M
Facilities $51.0M
[#1, #14] Mid-size underground containment wing and training/simulation facility buildout (facility construction, shielding, blast-rated doors, decontamination airlocks, HVAC and dedicated training spaces).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $7.0M
[#6, #7, #11] Neuroimaging and neural-interface room buildout and instruments (#6), HPC/AI cluster initial purchase and deployment (#7), and upfront R&D/testing infrastructure for amnestic development (#11).
Equipment $5.9M
[#2, #3, #8, #18, #23] Initial purchase/installation of secure IT hardware and TEMPEST servers (#2), UPS/generators and fuel-storage infrastructure (#3), SCP-9446 device fabrication and spare parts (#8), long-term cold-storage hardware (#18), and transport vehicles/rigging (#23).
Containment Breach Reserve Initial $5.0M
[#17] Initial contingency/response fund provisioning for rapid-response, remediation and emergency cleanup.
Post Retirement Initial $4.0M
[#12] Initial amnestic+setup and housing costs for Project WATCHMEN retiree cohort (100 retirees estimate).
Insurance Reserve Initial $3.0M
[#22] Initial insurance-equivalent / plausible-deniability reserve fund.
Contingency Scale Up One Time $0
[#28] One-time catastrophic scale-up reserve (not provisioned by default here; held as contingency to be enacted if a catastrophic scenario requires facility-scale expansion).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $28.9M/yr
Staff Wages $15.8M/yr
[#4, #5, #13] Salaries/benefits for MTF Aion-00 operatives (~40 personnel), specialized scientific staff (~15 personnel), and dedicated Alpha-1/security oversight (~30 personnel).
Research And Monitoring $4.9M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #11, #15, #18, #26, #28] Maintenance/calibration of neuroimaging and neural-interface systems (#6), HPC/AI ops and licensing (#7), device maintenance/spare parts (#8), amnestic production & administration R&D recurring costs (#11), subject recruitment/screening costs (#15), secure archival storage upkeep (#18), R&D into stabilization/degradation mitigation (#26), and annual audits/contingency planning (#28).
Cover Story And Legal $2.3M/yr
[#16, #24] Classified legal counsel, cover organizations, information operations, monitoring/takedown and censorship budgets (#16, #24).
Supplies And Consumables $1.6M/yr
[#9, #14, #19, #20] Annualized activation consumables and PPE/data-capture costs (#9 projected across expected activations), recurring training consumables/simulation consumables (#14), life-support and environment consumables for reconstructions (#19), and decontamination/biohazard disposal supplies (#20).
Containment Breach Reserve Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#17] Annual replenishment and readiness funding for rapid-response and cleanup reserve.
Insurance Reserve Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment of plausible-deniability / contingency reserve funds.
Post Retirement Monitoring $600K/yr
[#12] Ongoing monitoring/top-ups for retired Project WATCHMEN personnel (wearables, periodic evaluations, amnestic maintenance).
Medical Support $500K/yr
[#10] On-site trauma care, long-term psychiatric care and baseline medical readiness for exposed personnel.
Employee Assistance Program $400K/yr
[#21] Psychotherapy, reintegration, resilience training and employee assistance for repeatedly-exposed personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $375K/yr
[#2, #3] Ongoing maintenance of secure IT hardware, TEMPEST/air-gapped systems (#2) and generator/fuel/HVAC maintenance for environmental control (#3).
Ethical Oversight $200K/yr
[#25] Internal ethical review board, audits and compliance to govern activations and research protocols.
Documentation And Records $150K/yr
[#27] Secure records management, redaction, revocation/amnesty logistics and administration of classified retirements.
Logistics And Transport $75K/yr
[#23] Annual transport/relocation costs (per-transport costs, vehicle maintenance and secure transport operations).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $28.9M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with expected activation cadence, scheduled maintenance and routine R&D; no containment incidents or large-scale breaches.
authorized activations routine maintenance planned R&D milestones
🚨 Minor Incident $29.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or activation-related medical event requiring emergency response, limited remediation and increased amnestic/medical costs.
single containment breach serious activation medical event localized remediation/cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $33.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or stabilization failure requiring extended remediation, legal/IO expenditures, amnestic campaigns and partial facility downtime/repairs.
multi-team rescue/response facility repairs and large remediation major legal/IO expenditure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $48.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic containment failure with cascading anomalies, major personnel casualties, facility destruction or public exposure requiring maximal emergency funding and potential site relocation.
cascading containment failures public/political exposure facility loss or mass-casualty response
👥 Personnel 85 total
Role Count Notes
Mobile Task Force Aion-00 (MTF Agents) 40 [#4] Field operatives, medics and specialist operators assigned to activations; count chosen within analyst 30–50 range and reflected in MTF wage budget.
Research Scientist / PI / Lab Tech 15 [#5] Neuroscientists, cognitive psychologists and technical staff (10–20 indicated); headcount chosen to align with research salary budget.
Security Officer / MTF Alpha-1 / Oversight 30 [#13] Dedicated security/oversight staff and Alpha-1 review team (20–40 indicated); count set to match security wage estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed ranges for nearly every cost line; however SCP-9446's anomalous behaviors, uncertain activation frequency and contingent catastrophic costs produce residual uncertainty in annualized and contingency estimates.
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