SCP-9461 Safe ~ medium confidence
Case File 9461: Disciplinary Hearing of M. Stone
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$6.8M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
3.65
One-time capital costs are dominated by optional blast-cell construction and contingency reserves (total one-time ~$6.84M). Recurring annual costs (~$1.91M/yr) are driven by staff wages, per-test logistics (debris removal/rebuild, range contracts, standby), and legal/cover/insurance budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.8M
Blast Cell Construction $4.5M
[#6] Option to build on-site blast/structural test cell sized for small residence (midpoint estimate of $1M–$8M range used).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#20] Contingency / liability reserve fund (recommended minimum reserve, one-time allocation).
Research Pilot Program One Time $600K
[#26] Pilot R&D program start-up funds for mitigation/neutralization research (year-1 capital and setup).
Sacrificial Property Purchase $440K
[#7] Purchase/lease of rural parcel + construction of initial sacrificial house and permitting (land + one simple house + permits, midpoint estimates).
Instrumentation Package $110K
[#14] One-time instrumentation package for post-event forensics (pressure sensors, high-speed cameras, specialized analyzers).
Equipment $100K
[#2, #3, #5] Purchase of locker tamper sensors/CCTV and access-control hardware/biometric upgrade; dedicated remote handling kit (robot arm + end-effectors).
Specialized Sensors Installation $28K
[#22] Installation of building-integrated sensors / protected access point hardware (assumes multiple points; midpoint scaled).
Minimal Baseline Containment One Time $13K
[#25] Minimal baseline locker upgrade/initial work if item is stored and never tested (alternate low-cost path).
Environmental Baseline Monitoring $12K
[#9] Monitoring equipment and first baseline survey (air/water/soil monitoring purchase).
Containment Sop Development $10K
[#4] Formal SOP writing, legal review and initial training tabletop/one hands-on drill (one-time development cost).
It Hardware $8K
[#18] One-time servers/backup hardware for secure storage of high-speed/thermal footage and logs.
Decon Equipment $6K
[#16] Decontamination station and solvent/soot removal equipment purchase.
Facilities $5K
[#1] Locker upgrade and padding for Site 30 standard locker (padded bag, tamper seals, minor fit-out).
Transport Container $5K
[#13] Tamper-proof secure transport container for moving SCP-9461 between locker and test site.
Archival Storage $3K
[#17] Archival case / climate cabinet purchase for wooden artifact preservation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Logistics And Transport $498K/yr
[#8, #10, #12, #13] Annualized debris removal/rebuild costs (per-test structural replacement), contracted standby crews / emergency response per-test, security overtime for movements, and vehicle allocation/maintenance for transport.
Cover Story And Legal $498K/yr
[#19, #21, #23, #27] Annual front-company/legal retainer and per-event cover-story costs, insurance/settlement mechanism budget, recordkeeping/audit compliance, and media/rumor monitoring retainer.
Research And Monitoring $382K/yr
[#9, #14, #26] Recurring environmental monitoring/remediation per test, per-test data analysis/forensics, and ongoing R&D program annual budget.
Staff Wages $260K/yr
[#11, #12] Dedicated containment/experiment team salaries (senior researcher portion, 2 containment technologists, engineering allocation) plus incremental security FTE included.
Range Contract Annual $110K/yr
[#6] Annualized cost for contracting external explosives/testing ranges (assumes several uses per year; midpoint per-test scaled to annual).
Opportunity Cost $110K/yr
[#24] Notional chargeback representing lost site mission capacity / administrative overhead for reserved resources (blast range, staff, priority).
Supplies And Consumables $17K/yr
[#15, #16, #28] Per-test consumables (doors/hinges/mock utilities expendables), decon consumables per event, and miscellaneous small spare parts.
Sacrificial Property Lease And Permits $10K/yr
[#7] Ongoing lease, permitting, inspections, and regulatory compliance costs for off-site sacrificial testing property.
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#2, #3, #17, #22] Annual maintenance/licenses for locker tamper sensors/CCTV, access-control software licenses, archival climate control power/monitoring, and specialized sensor upkeep.
Minimal Baseline Containment Recurring $5K/yr
[#25] Minimal recurring monitoring/audit/climate control costs if SCP-9461 is stored and never used.
Refresher Training $3K/yr
[#4] Annual refresher training and drills for personnel handling the anomaly.
It Storage Maintenance $2K/yr
[#18] Annual maintenance, backups, and storage for high-speed/thermal footage and sensor logs.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with planned testing cadence (moderate program, annualized recurring costs including ~2 tests/year).
planned_quarterly_testing no_unplanned_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$351K vs baseline
An accidental or unplanned affixation / single additional test/incident requiring a one-off response and remediation.
accidental_affixation unplanned_demolition_event
🚨 Major Breach $4.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Theft, uncontrolled off-site use, or containment breach resulting in large liability, remediation, and legal actions.
theft_or_field_loss publicly_visible_demolition large_remediation_or_legal_claims
👥 Personnel 3.65 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Senior Researcher oversight) 0.4 [#11] Fractional FTE senior oversight allocated to SCP-9461 program.
Containment Technologist 2 [#11] Two full-time containment technologists for handling and test operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 0.5 [#11] On-call engineering allocation (fractional FTE) for integration and equipment support.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.75 [#12] Incremental security staffing specific to SCP-9461 (periodic patrols, escorts; fractional FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are based on detailed analyst line items and mid-point estimates, but key uncertainties remain (choice of build-on-site vs. contract ranges, assumed testing cadence of ~2 tests/year, and variability in per-event cleanup/legal costs). Hence medium confidence.
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