SCP-9471 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-9471
Expected annual
$31.7M
One-time setup
$294.5M
Annual recurring
$30.7M
Personnel
27
One-time setup and capital costs are large (primarily portal/continuum-capital, contingency, and a specialized memetics containment wing), while annual costs are dominated by research programs, patient housing/stimulus provisioning, MTF/logistics, and ongoing monitoring (~30.7M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $294.5M
Portal Capital Setup $100.0M
[#6] Capital setup for inter-continuum transit/portal technology (mid-range estimate $100M).
Contingency Reserve One Time $100.0M
[#24] High-end contingency planning reserve for irreducible/iteration-scale scenarios (~$100M planning reserve).
Cultural Reconstruction $50.0M
[#13] One-time cultural reconstruction/resettlement reserve for small-to-mid socioplex interventions (~$50M).
Facilities $15.0M
[#1] Secure memetics containment wing construction/retrofit estimated mid-range ~$15M.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.0M
[#7, #8] Initial memetic/genetic/spiritual research lab buildout and startup equipment (~$10M).
Mass Amnesticization Setup $10.0M
[#14] Capability/setup for population-level amnestic delivery systems (~$10M one-time capability).
Surge Capacity Setup $4.0M
[#18] Emergency quarantine surge capacity one-time setup (~$4M).
Equipment $2.1M
[#16, #19, #26] One-time hardware: info-containment hardware, archive-destruction equipment, and specialized transport containers (~$2.1M aggregated).
Training Simulation Setup $1.0M
[#28] Upfront cost to build rehearsal/simulation environments (~$1M).
Ethics And Override Setup $1.0M
[#21] One-time setup of covert override/black-budget administrative systems (~$1M).
Compensation One Time $1.0M
[#20] One-time fund for major incident compensation/asset acquisition (~$1M).
Audit Setup $300K
[#25] One-time secure audit/record-keeping setup (~$300k).
Data Purge Response Fund $100K
[#10] One-time fund/equipment allowance for rapid data purge responses (~$100k seed).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $30.7M/yr
Research And Monitoring $8.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #15] Ongoing memetic/genetic/spiritual R&D, continuous monitoring, and countermeasure development program (~$8M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr
[#5, #26] MTF logistics, covert ops maintenance, secure transport, and escort costs (~$3M/yr).
Mtf Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#5] Maintenance/standing costs for a small dedicated MTF (training, readiness, allowances) (~$3M/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $2.5M/yr
[#2] Long-term patient housing and stimulus provisioning for ~20 patients (VR/content licensing, housing, utilities, enrichment) (~$2.5M/yr).
Compensation Reserve Recurring $2.0M/yr
[#20] Ongoing reserve for bribes/compensation/hush funds (~$2M/yr).
Public Health Monitoring $2.0M/yr
[#30] Early-warning public-health/socioplex monitoring program (~$2M/yr).
Portal Operations $2.0M/yr
[#6] Ongoing operational costs if portal/probability-manipulation assets are used (reactor power, stabilization, per-insertion ops averaged) (~$2M/yr assumed baseline if maintained).
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#3, #4] Clinical team and dedicated security salaries: psychiatrists, memetics researchers, therapists/techs, clerical and ~10–25 security personnel (~$1.915M/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#1, #16, #18] Maintenance of containment wing, info-containment systems, HVAC, power redundancy, and surge readiness (~$1M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#11] Ongoing cover-story, PR, legal and propaganda staffing and steady-state expenditures (~$1M/yr).
Insurance And Black Budget Recurring $1.0M/yr
[#27] Insurance/black-budget reserve to mitigate political/diplomatic risk (~$1M/yr).
Ethics And Override Maintenance $500K/yr
[#21] Annual maintenance and secrecy infrastructure/audits for covert override systems (~$500k/yr).
Replacement And Retention $500K/yr
[#29] Recruitment, retention bonuses, and replacement for specialized staff (~$500k/yr).
Data Quarantine Maintenance $450K/yr
[#10] Ongoing rapid-response data quarantine/redaction team maintenance (~$450k/yr).
Continuous Training Maintenance $400K/yr
[#28] Ongoing simulation/training program maintenance (~$400k/yr).
Type6 Production $300K/yr
[#9] Type-6 amnestic manufacture/administration for baseline patient loads (~$300k/yr; ~$15k avg per patient for 20 patients).
Energy And Compute $300K/yr
[#23] Power and compute for continuous stimulus generation (VR/AR) (~$300k/yr).
Psychological Aftercare $250K/yr
[#22] Staff resilience and aftercare programs (~$250k/yr).
Info Containment Maintenance $200K/yr
[#16] Maintenance of air-gapped/analog archives and cryptographic hardware (~$200k/yr).
Specialized Ppe Training $150K/yr
[#17, #28] Ongoing memetic-safety PPE, training, re-certification (~$150k/yr).
Archive Destruction Event Fund $100K/yr
[#19] Budget for occasional large-scale archive destruction events (~$100k/yr reserve).
Audit And Oversight Maintenance $100K/yr
[#25] Ongoing audit/record-keeping and Dir. Lovelace chain maintenance (~$100k/yr).
Termination And Disposal $50K/yr
[#12] Annualized budget for occasional termination/disposal events and legal aftermath (~$50k/yr baseline).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $30.7M/yr
79.9% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents: steady-state research, patient care, monitoring, and maintenance.
no major breaches steady patient load (~20) routine research/maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $30.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Isolated exposure or data leak requiring a site-level purge, limited MTF response, and legal/PR action.
single-site data contamination isolated patient outbreak small public leak
🚨 Major Breach $40.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Multi-site exposure or larger sociocultural leak requiring sustained MTF operations, broad data eradication, mass amnesticization operations and sizeable cover-up actions.
multi-site contamination significant media/sovereign exposure large-scale coordinated response
🚨 Catastrophic Socioplex Event $530.7M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
SCP-9471-B reaches socioplex scale requiring cultural reconstruction, mass amnesticization campaigns, inter-continuum operations, or near-existential contingency measures.
socioplex-level cultural collapse nation-scale exposure need for Aion-980 / reconstruction
👥 Personnel 27 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#3] Memetics/genetics researchers included in core clinical/research staff.
Psychiatrist / Medical Officer 2 [#3] Clinical psychiatrists for Procedure Aion-119 and ongoing therapy.
Therapist / Technician 6 [#3] Therapists and technical staff for stimulus provisioning and patient care.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 15 [#4, #5] Dedicated security staff for site containment and MTF pool readiness (10–25 typical; baseline 15).
Clerical / Administrative Staff 2 [#3, #25] Operations, records, and audit custodial staff to maintain Dir. Lovelace chain-of-command.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates carry high uncertainty due to unspecified frequencies of outbreaks, unknown Aion-980 mechanics and inter-continuum capabilities; wide ranges in many analyst line items and potential for existential/unbounded costs reduce confidence.
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