SCP-9474 — SCP-9474 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-9474 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-9474

Expected annual

$30.1M

One-time setup

$320.5M

Annual recurring

$28.4M

Personnel

Initial capital and contingency reserves dominate one-time costs (~$320.5M), while ongoing annual costs are driven by high-skill personnel, secure HPC/storage operations, and legal/cover-up operations (~$28.4M/year).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $320.5M

Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $275.0M

[#26] One-time long-term catastrophic contingency reserve for large-scale suppression/remediation (national-level campaigns, mass measures).

Pr Contingency Reserve $27.5M

[#18] One-time public-relations / whistleblower contingency reserve (emergency settlements, PR campaigns).

Equipment $9.0M

[#2] Dedicated air-gapped HPC cluster (GPUs/TPUs/neuromorphic accelerators) purchase and installation.

Facilities $5.0M

[#1] Secure data-center shell / SCIF buildout (TEMPEST, FARADAY, biometrics, redundant power).

Specialized Hardware Rnd One Time $2.2M

[#23] One-time specialized hardware R&D (neuromorphic chip prototypes, model-compression hardware) initial R&D spend.

Storage Hardware $875K

[#4] Petabyte-scale secure storage & cold/offline backup hardware and disaster-recovery architecture (one-time portion).

Secure Communications Hardware $500K

[#11] One-time secure comms hardware (HSMs, classified intranet components, key-management appliances).

Webcrawler Setup $375K

[#8] One-time build cost for OSINT/webcrawler/NLP monitoring infrastructure.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $28.4M/yr

Staff Wages $5.9M/yr

[#6] Core Department of Analytics personnel (25–40 staff budgeted; fully-burdened salaries).

Legal Grant Interdiction $4.5M/yr

[#12] Legal / grant-interdiction operations, covert payments, lobbying and influence to suppress targeted research.

Covert Field Operations $2.8M/yr

[#15] Covert operations / field teams (infiltration, disruption, evidence tampering) contingency operations budget.

Controlled Research Budget $2.2M/yr

[#16] Controlled research sandboxing & safe experimentation (closed trials, human-subject monitoring, compensations).

Dataset Acquisition $2.0M/yr

[#10] Purchase/acquisition and legal compliance for medical datasets; yearly refresh/acquisition budget.

Hpc Operations $1.9M/yr

[#3] HPC energy, colocation, cooling, maintenance, spare parts, hardware refresh cycles, firmware auditing.

Covert Influence $1.6M/yr

[#14] Covert liaison & influence: placements, seeded reviewers, funded skeptic groups, narrative seeding.

Senior Scientific Oversight $1.3M/yr

[#7] Senior scientific oversight, PI salaries, ethics leads, legal counsel, advisory personnel.

Insurance And Legal $1.1M/yr

[#19] Insurance and legal reserves (institutional liability, data-breach insurance, employment law coverage).

Rapid Response Takedown Fund $1.1M/yr

[#13] Rapid response fund for emergency takedowns, payments, legal fees, buyouts to prevent publication.

Webcrawler Operations $750K/yr

[#8] Ongoing webcrawler/OSINT monitoring costs (APIs, compute, engineering support).

Subscriptions $600K/yr

[#9] Journal/database subscriptions and text-mining licenses (Elsevier, Springer, Web of Science, etc.).

Specialized Hardware Rnd Followup $600K/yr

[#23] Ongoing follow-up R&D for specialized hardware and model compression to reduce compute footprint.

Personnel Security $375K/yr

[#24] Personnel security, vetting, background checks, polygraphs and counterintelligence screening.

Logistics And Transport $300K/yr

[#25] Misc logistics & travel for liaison, conference surveillance, emergency dispatch.

Ethics And Irb $300K/yr

[#17] Ethics board staffing, consent frameworks, mental-health support and compliance training.

Compliance And Forensics $300K/yr

[#20] Ongoing compliance, privacy audits, forensic readiness and audit costs.

Communications Operations $200K/yr

[#11] Ongoing secure communications & crypto operations (key rotation, HSM operations, classified intranet hosting).

Storage Operations $175K/yr

[#5] Storage operations & backup maintenance: media rotation, integrity checks, secure transport for cold backups.

Training And Drills $175K/yr

[#21] Training, red-team exercises, tabletop drills for leak detection/response.

Secure Archiving And Redaction $150K/yr

[#22] Secure archiving, document redaction, FOIA response crafting and record management.

Supplies And Consumables $125K/yr

[#27] Minor items & consumables (secure paper burning, couriers, on-site supplies).

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Research And Monitoring $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $28.4M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal, uneventful year with standard operations and no major incidents.

no_public_discovery steady_research_and_monitoring

🚨 Minor Incident $31.1M/yr

14.0% probability / year +$2.8M vs baseline

Localized leak or small publication leading to targeted takedowns, extra legal work and limited covert interventions.

small_data_leak preprint_publication independent_replication_attempt

🚨 Major Breach $160.9M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$132.5M vs baseline

Widespread public discovery requiring large-scale PR/legal remediation and activation of contingency funds for suppression/remediation.

major_publication mass_media_exposure failed_covert_containment

👥 Personnel 33 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist / Computational Physiologist	10	[#6] Core analytics research staff modeling NOUMENON and interpreting outputs.
Data Scientist	6	[#6] Data ingestion, cleaning, cohort analysis and statistical validation.
Software Engineer	6	[#6] Model engineering, infrastructure code, tooling and deployment.
Operations / HPC Administrator	4	[#6] HPC/sysadmin staff managing air-gapped cluster, backups and maintenance.
Biostatistician	3	[#6] Domain experts for physiological model validation and study design.
Administrative Staff	2	[#6] Program management, scheduling, procurement support.
Medical Officer / Clinical Monitor	1	[#6] Clinical oversight for any controlled human-subject sandboxing.
Security / Access Coordinator	1	[#6] Local access control and liaison for vetting/clearance processes.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and plausible ranges for each cost, enabling mid-point estimates; however many items (legal/interdiction, contingency reserves, and covert operations) are highly variable and jurisdiction-dependent, so overall confidence is medium.

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