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SCP-9686 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP 9686
Expected annual
$891K
One-time setup
$5.0M
Annual recurring
$833K
Personnel
3
First-year capital costs are dominated by site modification, redundancy/relocation contingency, vibration isolation and research instrumentation, totaling roughly $4.995M. Annual operations (staff, MTF readiness, baseline research, maintenance, legal/cover) run on the order of $0.83M/yr, with incident and sampling events capable of adding large one-off expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.0M
Relocation And Rehousing Contingency $3.0M
[#25] Contingency budget for preparing an alternate wing/site and duplicate containment in case of relocation (midpoint estimate ~$3,000,000, #25).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K
[#15, #16, #24] Specialized sampling attempt one-time budget ($250,000, #15), specialized non-destructive imaging upgrades and instruments ($300,000, #16), and specialized engineering study on pressure thresholds & SOPs ($75,000, #24).
Incident Response Reserve $500K
[#14] Reserve fund set aside for incident response/decontamination, forensic investigations and personnel replacement (~$500,000, #14).
Facilities $455K
[#3, #5, #8] Vibration-isolation platforms and site floor mitigation (#3), manual hardwired power cutoff installation and locksmithing (#5), and site modifications to ensure 20 m exclusion practical (#8).
Equipment $302K
[#1, #4, #6, #7, #9] Reinforced wooden containment boxes ($32,400, #1), tethered low-force manipulators and tooling ($130,000, #4), hardwired non-wireless monitoring suite hardware ($50,000, #6), UPS and power conditioning hardware ($15,000, #7), and secure transport crates ($75,000, #9).
Waste Handling Reserve $100K
[#23] Reserve for waste handling and disposal if an instance ruptures (~$100,000, #23).
Archival Documentation $10K
[#27] One-time costs for documentation of historical recovery and evidence retention (~$10,000, #27).
Ppe And Signage $3K
[#21] One-time purchase of consumable PPE and signage for establishing 20 m exclusion (midpoint ~$3,000, #21).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $833K/yr
Mtf Readiness $200K/yr
[#12] Mobile Task Force on-call readiness, drills, training, equipment and fuel (~$200,000/yr, #12).
Staff Wages $190K/yr
[#10, #11] Specialist containment technician (1 FTE, $90,000/yr, #10) and security staffing (2 guards at ~$50k each, $100,000/yr, #11).
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#15] Baseline research budget for non-destructive analysis, instrument time and specialist researchers (~$150,000/yr, #15).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#17] Legal, cover, PR, false documentation and witness management (~$100,000/yr, #17).
Incident Response Replenish $50K/yr
[#14] Annual replenishment target for incident response contingency reserve (~$50,000/yr assumed to maintain reserve, #14).
Breakage Contingency Pool $50K/yr
[#22] Annual budget pool for personnel investigations, retraining, background checks and replacements (~$50,000/yr, #22).
Medical And Psych $30K/yr
[#13] Medical & psychological screening, post-exposure checks and follow-up (~$30,000/yr budgeted, #13).
Monitoring Maintenance $20K/yr
[#6, #20] Ongoing maintenance for hardwired monitoring suite and CCTV/sensor maintenance and shielded cabling replacement (~$10,000/yr each summed to ~$20,000/yr, #6, #20).
Training $20K/yr
[#26] Ongoing training for personnel on exposure protocols, monitoring and exclusion enforcement (~$20,000/yr, #26).
Administrative Overhead $15K/yr
[#18] Administrative overhead, secure record storage, air-gapped backups and classified paperwork handling (~$15,000/yr, #18).
Energy Costs $3K/yr
[#19] Worst-case energy cost if all 27 bulbs are continuously powered (~$3,240/yr); typical operations are expected to be much lower (~<$500/yr, #19).
Archival Storage $2K/yr
[#27] Ongoing archival storage costs for historical recovery and evidence retention (~$2,000/yr, #27).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#2, #21] Replacement/consumable padding and packing materials (~$1,350/yr, #2) and PPE/signage replacement (~$500/yr, #21).
Ups Maintenance $1K/yr
[#7] UPS and power conditioning annual maintenance (~$1,000/yr, #7).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $833K/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine operations, maintenance, staff wages and baseline research only.
no incidents routine maintenance scheduled research
🚨 Minor Incident $983K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Moderate containment incident (rupture or localized breach) requiring incident response, medical care and cleanup.
testing rupture unauthorized entry power cutoff failure
🚨 Specialized Sampling Attempt $1.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Authorized specialized sampling/extraction program that requires one-time specialized contracts, instrument time and extra precautions.
authorized extraction attempt specialized instrument scheduling high-risk research campaign
🚨 Catastrophic Relocation $3.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Site compromise or determination that instances must be relocated and rehoused at an alternate prepared facility.
site compromise strategic relocation decision unexpected large-scale hazard
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician 1 [#10] Dedicated containment technician (1 FTE, salary+benefits included in staff_wages, #10).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#11] Rotational perimeter/security guards (2 FTE covered in staff_wages estimate, #11).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items are derived from a detailed analyst breakdown but include several large contingency and contingency-midpoint choices (relocation, specialized sampling) and assumptions about instance count, so uncertainty remains; operational recurring costs are better-defined than low-frequency high-cost contingencies.
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