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SCP-9704 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9704
Expected annual
$104.4M
One-time setup
$110.7M
Annual recurring
$103.0M
Personnel
53
One-time setup and development costs are dominated by secure facilities, heavy-neutralization capability and initial legal/influence seed funding (~$110.7M). Ongoing annual operations are driven by an active covert enforcement program, long-term intelligence/monitoring, legal/PR maintenance and staff wages (~$103.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $110.7M
Heavy Asset Neutralization Development $50.0M
[#18] Development of heavy-asset neutralization capability (modest capability $10M–$100M one-time).
Initial Legal Influence Campaign $25.0M
[#7] Initial global legal/influence campaign seed funding to restrict space travel (~$10M–$200M).
Equipment $20.0M
[#9] Radio/EM monitoring & jamming hardware, monitoring arrays and related installed systems ($2M–$100M+ one-time).
Contingency Insurance Reserve Initial $10.0M
[#16] Initial insurance / legal defense fund / contingency reserve (one-time seed).
Facilities $3.0M
[#3] Secure wing / vault setup, facility fit-out and hardening ($1M–$5M).
Collection And Destruction $1.0M
[#5] One-time program for seizure and destruction of expedition hardware (lab-scale baseline; large events much higher).
Backup Generators And Install $1.0M
[#17] One-time purchase and installation of redundant backup generators and UPS for classified facilities.
Environmental Remediation And Cover Event $500K
[#6] Per-event remediation, regulatory cover and plausible paperwork for destruction/demolition.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $225K
[#1] Forensic imaging, air-gapped lab triage and initial data recovery (lab time, Faraday cages, EMP-safe containers).
Amnestic Program Per Case $5K
[#4] One-time per-case amnestic administration estimate (per-case; $2k–$10k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $103.0M/yr
Covert Intel Enforcement $50.0M/yr
[#8] Covert intelligence / interdiction network, agent payments, surveillance of launch complexes and operational strike/seizure team readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $10.0M/yr
[#6, #7] Ongoing legal teams, influence maintenance, regulatory/legal cover and placement of counsel in target jurisdictions.
Contingency Reserve Annual $10.0M/yr
[#16, #20] Annual replenishment for litigation, emergency amnestics, rapid response and incident funds (10–20% of ops typical).
Staff Wages $6.6M/yr
[#1, #10, #11, #15] Salaries for security guards, research scientists, forensic engineers, SOC/cyber staff, curators and core administrative personnel.
Research And Monitoring $5.0M/yr
[#10] Scientific research budget (theory, experiments, modelling, HPC access, travel) for a small dedicated program.
Radio Em Monitoring $5.0M/yr
[#9] Operations for radio/EM monitoring arrays, telescope time, spectrum management and limited jamming operations per year.
Endowment Management $5.0M/yr
[#19] Management fees and long-term capital planning for a preservation/endowment program to fund centuries-scale suppression.
Psychological Care And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#14] Long-term psychiatric care and monitoring for amnesticized/relocated individuals ($5k–$20k/person/yr examples).
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#12] Ongoing relocation program, secure transport for seized materials, armored transport and occasional airlifts.
Cybersecurity And Airgap $2.0M/yr
[#15] SOC staffing, endpoint protection, air-gap maintenance, insider-threat programs and continuous cybersecurity operations.
Media Suppression And Disinformation $2.0M/yr
[#13] Ongoing takedowns, covert narratives, PR operations and social-media manipulation maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#3, #17] Ongoing site operations, environmental controls, decon, antechamber operations and backup power maintenance.
Energy And Utilities $600K/yr
[#17] Energy, HVAC, fuel stockpile management and utilities for classified facilities (per-year operations).
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#4, #5, #6] Consumables: amnestic drugs, incineration/disposal consumables, remediation supplies and event-specific consumables.
Heavy Asset Neutralization Ops $500K/yr
[#18] Readiness and small recurring operational costs to maintain denial/disable capabilities (incident ops much higher).
Long Term Archival Maintenance $300K/yr
[#2] Multi-site redundant archived storage, periodic integrity checks and guarded vault space maintenance (per-site baseline, mirrored sites multiply cost).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $103.0M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine operations, monitoring, legal maintenance and covert enforcement ongoing.
no major launches detected routine archival & monitoring standard covert ops continue
🚨 Minor Incident $111.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Localized clandestine launch or leak requiring targeted seizure, limited amnestics and remediation.
localized clandestine launch detected small-scale hardware recovery limited public leak requiring PR + amnestics
🚨 Major Interdiction $197.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$94.5M vs baseline
Large-scale interdiction of aerospace assets (rocket stages/orbital hardware) with international fallout, mass remediation and major PR/legal actions.
large aerospace hardware neutralized international diplomatic/legal response mass amnesticization and major remediation
👥 Personnel 53 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#11] 6 guards per site × 3 sites (2 per shift × 3 shifts) approximated; $80k/yr each.
Research Scientist 10 [#10] Theoretical and experimental research staff (physicists, modelers, postdocs).
Digital-Forensics Engineer 2 [#1] Senior forensic engineers for implant/data recovery and triage.
Anomalous-Objects Curator 1 [#1] Custody and cataloging specialist for the implant and media.
SOC / Cybersecurity Staff 5 [#15] Security operations center analysts and air-gap maintenance personnel.
Cryptographic Key Custodian 3 [#2] Small custodian team for classified key management and access control.
Administrative Staff 3 [] General admin and program coordination.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#3, #17] Facilities engineers for HVAC, generators and vault environmental control.
Medical Officer 2 [#4, #14] Medical staff for amnestic administration, follow-up screening and monitoring.
Legal Staff 5 [#7, #13] In-house counsel and legal operatives supporting legislation, litigation and cover operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and policy analogues (intelligence, covert ops, archival preservation). Large uncertainties remain around event frequency, scale of aerospace hardware involved and political decisions (global enforcement vs minimal archival-only posture), so a medium confidence reflects reasonable bounding but wide scenario variance.
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