SCP-9702 — SCP-9702 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-9702 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-9702

Expected annual

$11.7M

One-time setup

$1.7M

Annual recurring

$10.4M

Personnel

One-time setup costs are modest (~$1.7M) for vehicles, ROVs, salvage gear and a test facility; recurring annual costs are dominated by staffing, contingency reserves, legal/compensation and per-deployment operations (total ~ $10.4M/year).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7M

Facilities $1.0M

[#11] Test-room / containment research facility buildout (instrumentation, water-recycling, safety systems) estimated midpoint of $500k–$1.5M.

Equipment $225K

[#5, #21] Vehicles and watercraft capital purchase (trucks/vans and outfitting ~$200k) plus initial secure/field IT/commms hardware ~$25k.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K

[#12] Instrumentation and sensors pilot rollout (50 sites) initial cost estimated ~$150k.

Rov Purchase $150K

[#10] ROV purchase for underwater recovery (midpoint of $100k–$200k).

Salvage Gear $100K

[#7] Salvage gear, pumps, hoses and portable cranes/hoists initial purchase estimated ~$100k.

Training Program Setup $50K

[#19] Initial training program setup for swift-water rescue and salvage exercises ~$50k.

Containment Crates And Ppe $30K

[#8] Initial waterproof containment crates, packaging and PPE kit ~$30k.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.4M/yr

Contingency Reserve $4.0M/yr

[#25] Catastrophic-response reserve for high-value/hazardous incidents (chosen midpoint $2M–$10M).

Staff Wages $1.9M/yr

[#2, #3, #24, #28] Dedicated data analysts (2 FTEs ~$225k), MTF Beta-13 cadre (12 personnel fully-burdened ~$1.44M), archive/inventory 1 FTE and administrative/compliance staff (combined midpoint ~$50k + ~$225k).

Compensation And Settlements $1.2M/yr

[#15] Annual budget for direct compensation and settlements (midpoint $500k–$2M).

Per Deployment Ops $800K/yr

[#4] Per-deployment operational expenses (fuel, rentals, overtime). Assumes ~100 deployments/yr × ~$8k average.

Cover Story And Legal $625K/yr

[#14, #26] Legal retainer and casework (~$475k/yr midpoint) plus public-relations/narrative management (~$150k/yr midpoint).

Per Incident Flooding Destruction $300K/yr

[#16] Costs for intentional flooding, demolition & remediation (assumes occasional building-level incidents averaged annually).

Research And Monitoring $235K/yr

[#1, #12, #13] Insurance-data monitoring platform subscription (~$100k/yr), data storage (~$10k/yr), laboratory analysis & forensic budgets (~$125k/yr midpoint).

Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr

[#11] Annual operations and maintenance for containment research facility (midpoint $150k–$300k).

Logistics And Transport $150K/yr

[#20] Logistics and international transport (air freight, permits) budget for remote incidents (representative annual amount).

Dive Ops $150K/yr

[#10] Dive team operations and recovery attempts (estimate ~10 recoveries/yr × $15k avg).

Temporary Security $150K/yr

[#22] On-site temporary security and perimeter control averaged over incidents.

Environmental Remediation $100K/yr

[#17] Contaminated runoff, mold and hazardous disposal averaged across incidents.

Permitting And Municipal Relations $100K/yr

[#23] Permitting, liaison and expedite/contingency allowances ($10k–$200k/yr range).

Infrastructure Repair $100K/yr

[#27] Local-government infrastructure repair costs averaged across years and incidents.

Training And Exercises $65K/yr

[#19] Annual training, certifications, live-drills (~$30k–$100k/yr).

Rapid Storage Warehouse $60K/yr

[#9] Short-term storage/warehouse rental and security (~$40k rent + ~$20k security = ~$60k/yr).

Vehicle Maintenance And Fuel $45K/yr

[#6] Routine maintenance, fuel and insurance for trucks/boats (midpoint $30k–$60k).

Emergency Medical $30K/yr

[#18] On-call medics, decon and occasional medical care (~$10k–$50k/yr).

Psychological Support $30K/yr

[#29] Counseling and support services for staff and witnesses (~$10k–$50k/yr).

Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr

[#8] Consumable replacement for PPE and packaging (~$15k/yr) plus miscellaneous supplies.

Communications And It Ops $25K/yr

[#21] Annual ops for encrypted comms, satellite phones, secure servers (~$15k–$50k/yr).

Containment Ppe Replacement $15K/yr

[#8] Consumable PPE replacement (~$15k/yr).

Salvage Gear Maintenance $10K/yr

[#7] Annual maintenance and small rental budget for pumps/cranes (~$5k–$15k).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.4M/yr

65.0% probability / year

Normal operating year with expected monitoring, deployments, legal work and contingency reserve funded — no major catastrophic events or national-scale expansion.

routine detections regular deployments no high-value incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $10.9M/yr

25.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline

Year with several above-average incidents (more deployments, additional remediation and local settlements) but no single catastrophic loss.

cluster of household-level relocations increased per-deployment costs higher remediation/settlement activity

🚨 Major Breach $13.4M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline

Single high-impact incident (museum/lab/high-value property) requiring large replacement, litigation, extended remediation and PR.

high-value SCP-9702-1 encounter extended litigation large remediation & PR campaign

🚨 Scaling National $31.2M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$20.8M vs baseline

Organizational decision to scale monitoring and rapid-response nationally (2–5× baseline), increasing vehicles, warehouses, staff, legal and reserves.

expanded insurance feeds national rollout of MTF detachments major policy decision to broaden footprint

👥 Personnel 17 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	12	[#3] MTF Beta-13 operational cadre (swift-water specialists, medics, security and supervisor).
Research Scientist / Data Analyst	2	[#2] Dedicated claims analysts / data scientists tuning detection models and triaging leads.
Archive / Inventory Specialist	1	[#24] Inventory/catalog systems and item-loss accounting (software + 1 FTE).
Administrative Staff	2	[#28] Administrative, compliance and covert accounting staff (internal audit, liaison).

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items have clear mid-range estimates (vehicles, ROV, training, staff); however incident frequency, per-incident severity and required contingency reserves are highly uncertain, producing moderate confidence in annual estimates.

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