SCP-9719 — SCP-9719 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-9719 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-9719

Expected annual

$11.8M

One-time setup

$244.6M

Annual recurring

$6.6M

Personnel

Initial bootstrap and contingency planning require roughly $243.5M one-time (dominated by a population-relocation planning reserve), while steady-state operations cost approximately $6.57M/year driven primarily by covert field operatives, political/diplomatic payments, and sustained research programs.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $244.6M

Full Population Relocation Planning $240.0M

[#26] Planning-level conservative estimate for relocating valley population (11,942): $240M lower-bound planning figure (order-of-magnitude).

Emergency Extraction Fund $2.0M

[#25] Standby charter/transport/resettlement fund for emergency extractions of personnel/cohorts.

Equipment $615K

[#8, #11, #14, #16, #29, #10] Includes sensor stations, drone fleet, secure comms gear, vehicle purchases, archaeological kit and solar power.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $550K

[#21, #19] Medical/neurocognitive lab partnerships, specialized equipment, and initial dataset/ML model preparation.

Medical Research Setup $500K

[#21] Establish partnerships, equipment leases and calibration for imaging (MRI/EEG) and clinical setup.

Front Organization Setup $200K

[#6] Legal registration, office setup, website, seeded publications, initial PR and first-year seed funding for front NGO/academic lab.

Vehicles Capital $200K

[#16] Purchase & outfitting of 4 off-road SUVs for field teams.

Drone Fleet $150K

[#11] Initial UAS fleet, spare airframes and pilot training (capital component).

Initial Training $150K

[#28] Initial tradecraft, cultural and memetics-awareness training for insertion cycles.

Sensor Network Capital $75K

[#8] Ruggedized ground sensors, housings and anti-tamper enclosures (midpoint estimate).

Secure Comms Gear $50K

[#14] Procurement of hardened satphones, encrypted radios and initial crypto keying hardware.

Initial Data Ml Prep $50K

[#19] Initial dataset preparation and ML model seeding for analysis pipelines.

Solar Power And Backup $40K

[#10] Solar panels, batteries and theft-proofing for remote sensors.

Facilities $0

[]

Explanatory Note $0

[#1] Scope assessment explanatory note; no direct capital cost.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.6M/yr

Staff Wages $1.9M/yr

[#2, #3, #27] Salaries/hazard pay for 6 embedded covert operatives (~$150k each), 4 cover researchers (~$150k each), and 8 local security contractors (~$50k each).

Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr

[#20, #22, #19] Linguistics specialists ($150k), medical/neurocognitive research operations ($1.5M), and ongoing secure data/analysis platform operation (note: initial dataset prep is one-time).

Direct Political Payments $1.0M/yr

[#5] Formal/informal payments, favors and procurement assistance to ORIA/local military to secure cooperation.

Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr

[#7, #30] Front organization operating budget (PR, conferences, sham projects) and information-control / legal cover maintenance.

Secure Data Infra $200K/yr

[#19] Storage, compute, backups, transcription and software licenses for secure analysis platforms.

Local Asset Payments $180K/yr

[#4] Stipends and ad-hoc payments to informants, fixers, interpreters and community leaders.

Satellite Imagery $150K/yr

[#13] Commercial tasking (optical and SAR) for routine area monitoring.

Facilities Maintenance $144K/yr

[#18] Rent, utilities and upkeep for 3 safe houses used by staff and discreet meetings.

Vehicle Operations $120K/yr

[#17] Fuel, drivers, maintenance, tires and local registration for field vehicles.

Drone Operations $100K/yr

[#12] Operators, repairs, batteries, insurance and liaison costs for UAS operations.

Fieldwork $100K/yr

[#29] Recurring costs for archaeological fieldwork under the cover story.

Medical Support $100K/yr

[#31] Routine healthcare, medevac insurance, vaccinations and counseling for staff and key locals.

Insurance And Legal Reserve $100K/yr

[#33] Contingency reserve for confiscations, legal fees and sudden third-party payments.

Archive Storage $100K/yr

[#34] Climate-controlled off-site storage, chain-of-custody and artifact preservation.

Population Monitoring $80K/yr

[#24] Periodic surveys, enumerators and travel to track residency and migration.

Operational Audits $75K/yr

[#35] Periodic independent audits and OPSEC reviews to validate containment posture.

Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr

[#32] Batteries, PPE, field consumables and small equipment replacement.

Countermeasure Production $50K/yr

[#23] Manufacturing and distribution of physical identity/name-evidence kits.

Training Refresher $50K/yr

[#28] Ongoing refresher courses in language, tradecraft and memetics-awareness.

Sensor Network Maintenance $40K/yr

[#9] Satellite uplink, power, maintenance visits, spare parts and field tech labor for sensor network.

Secure Comms Recurring $30K/yr

[#15] Leasing satbandwidth, burner phones, airtime and crypto-key rotation costs.

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.6M/yr

88.0% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents; routine covert operations, research and cover maintenance.

steady covert cooperation routine research activity no major leaks or political disruption

🚨 Minor Incident $7.1M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline

Localized exposure or leak requiring rapid-response, extra security, crisis communications and short-term investigations.

local leak/exposure small-scale media attention temporary sensor/site tampering

🚨 Major Breach $11.6M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Significant operational compromise (e.g., discovery of embedded operatives, ORIA overt weaponization attempts) requiring mass response, reinforcements and extensive investigations.

operative exposure host-state escalation forced shutdown of sensors/cover

🚨 Catastrophic Relocation $506.6M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline

Political decision or untenable containment leads to full-population relocation/resettlement of valley (extremely costly, rare).

decision to remove population state-level intervention failure of all other containment strategies

👥 Personnel 18 total

Role	Count	Notes
Field Operative / Liaison	6	[#2] Six embedded covert operatives (black-ops rates included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist / Cover Researcher	4	[#3] Four covert researchers with academic covers (included in staff_wages).
Security Contractor / Guard	8	[#27] Eight local security contractors/guards (included in staff_wages).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are based on detailed operational line items and known covert-ops cost structures (medium confidence). Significant uncertainty stems from host-state cooperation variability and political volatility, which can change costs by orders of magnitude.

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