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SCP-9813 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-9813
Expected annual
$5.0M
One-time setup
$2.9M
Annual recurring
$4.8M
Personnel
31
Initial capital (containment, lab build, containers, transport) is concentrated in one-time outlays (~$2.9M). Ongoing annual costs are driven by staff wages and research/monitoring (~$4.77M/yr), with incident reserves and legal/cover functions as major recurring drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.9M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#13] Wet-lab/BSL-2/3 capital and sequencing/CRISPR equipment for Sinai Protocol research (capital lab equipment).
Equipment $680K
[#1, #10, #16, #25] Safe-Class Small Organism Containers (#1), EEG station purchase/medical equipment (#10), CCTV/install and logging hardware (#16), IT/security consoles install (#25).
Facilities $350K
[#2] Dedicated containment room retrofit at Site-19 (reinforcement, HVAC/humidity mods, redundant power, commissioning).
Transportation Vehicles Capital $300K
[#18] Purchase of 2 armored climate-controlled vehicles (capital purchase option).
Agent Implants Initial $100K
[#7] Initial surgical implants for agents (implant devices + minor surgery for monitoring implants if protocol requires).
Forensic Initial Analyses $100K
[#22] Initial batch of forensic/sequencing/isotope analyses for specimens (first ~50 analyses or equivalent initial tranche).
Field Deployment Initial Stock $50K
[#5] Initial procurement/assignment stock for per-agent issued SCP-9813 items, tags and hardened covers.
Dermal Chip Initial $50K
[#6] Initial manufacture and integration of dermal/cover-embedded telemetry chips for items.
Training Development $50K
[#8] One-time development of handling, do-not-read, emergency-response and legal/cover training curricula.
Decommissioning Capital $50K
[#24] One-time high-security destruction / decommissioning capex reserve for potential future disposal events.
Replacement Initial Stock $50K
[#27] Initial reserve stock for replacement/attrition of SCP-9813 items and spares.
Historical Project Initial $50K
[#20] Initial historical/textual research project budget and archival digitization startup costs.
Feed Kitchen Setup $30K
[#9] Setup of sterile kitchen/production line for portion-controlled liquid feed preparation.
Conservation Assessment $10K
[#21] One-time conservation assessment for chitin/silk covers and archival requirements.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.8M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#4, #12, #10, #18, #19] Security guard pool and benefits (#4), core research payroll (PI, scientists, technicians) (#12), nursing/medical staff for monitoring events (#10), drivers/logistics crew (#18), administrative/continuity staffing portions (#19).
Research And Monitoring $850K/yr
[#13, #20, #22, #26] Ongoing Sinai Protocol project consumables/synthesis/sequencing (#13), archival/historical staff support (#20), recurring forensic/sequencing analyses while research ongoing (#22), behavioral/epidemiology study budgets (#26).
Incident Response Reserve $500K/yr
[#17] Annualized set-aside reserve for rapid task force response, forensic remediation, replacement containment following incidents (#17).
Cover Story And Legal $260K/yr
[#19, #28] Redaction/document control/legal counsel and settlements reserve (#19) plus psychological operations / cover narrative maintenance for field use (#28).
Insurance And Benefits $150K/yr
[#23] Additional premiums for specialized coverage, workers' comp and mental health benefits for sensitive thaumiel handling (#23).
Psychiatric Care $125K/yr
[#11] Ongoing psychiatric care, debriefing and rehabilitation program budget for affected subjects (#11).
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#18] Vehicle operations, fuel, climate-control vehicle maintenance and convoy logistics for field issuance/returns (#18).
It Security Maintenance $100K/yr
[#25] Annual SOC/maintenance and access-control updates for Sinai Protocol databases and audit logs (#25).
Training $50K/yr
[#8] Recurring per-agent training courses, refresher courses and exercises (#8).
Replacement Reserve $50K/yr
[#27] Recurring replacement/attrition reserve for lost or degraded SCP-9813 items (#27).
Field Deployment Replacements $30K/yr
[#5] Recurring replacements and per-item handling/packaging/retagging for issued SCP-9813 items (#5).
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#2] Ongoing maintenance and HVAC/humidity control upkeep for dedicated containment room retrofit (#2).
Audits And Oversight $25K/yr
[#29] Internal inspection, compliance audits and Thaumiel oversight review budget (#29).
Long Term Archiving $20K/yr
[#24] Long-term archival storage and legal approvals budget for retention if decommissioning is deferred (#24).
Conservation Per Item $20K/yr
[#21] Ongoing per-item conservation and humidity/humidity-pack maintenance for chitin/silk materials (#21).
Power And Utilities $18K/yr
[#3] Continuous climate control, CCTV power and telemetry server electrical draw for stored/active containers (#3).
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#14] Containment-level biosafety consumables: PPE, gowns, disinfectants and sterilization consumables (#14).
Agent Implant Monitoring $10K/yr
[#7] Ongoing monitoring infrastructure and alerts for implanted agents and minor maintenance (#7).
Medical Incident Monitoring $10K/yr
[#10] Per-incident monitoring budget and overnight EEG/observation overhead averaged annually (#10).
Scaling Planning $10K/yr
[#30] Planning/contingency work to evaluate and prepare for potential scaling to mass deployment (#30).
Dermal Chip Maintenance $5K/yr
[#6] Ongoing replacement and maintenance of telemetry/tamper chips per-item (#6).
Data Storage $5K/yr
[#16] Encrypted retention, redundancy and offsite backup storage costs for telemetry and CCTV (#16).
Waste Handling $3K/yr
[#15] Biological/organic waste disposal contracts and autoclave/incineration services for routine volumes (#15).
Feed Supplies $2K/yr
[#9] Consumable portioned liquid feed costs (sterile single-use containers/per-portion consumables) (#9).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.8M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal operational year without major incidents; routine research and containment operations continue.
no breach routine research progress regular replacements and training
🚨 Minor Incident $5.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Localized containment breach or field incident requiring task force deployment, limited replacements and medical treatment.
small breach single-site contamination limited legal/medical response
🚨 Major Breach $6.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant multi-personnel exposure or large containment failure requiring extensive remediation, medical care, replacement, and legal action.
multiple-item breach widespread exposure major forensic and legal response
🚨 Scaling Mass Deployment $19.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Program scales rapidly (e.g., deployment to hundreds/thousands of agents) requiring major capital and operating expansion.
political/operational decision to mass-deploy Sinai Protocol necessitates production scale-up rapid expansion of field stocks and personnel
👥 Personnel 31 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#4] 12-person guard pool to provide 24/7 coverage (3 per shift; includes benefits and clearance overhead).
Research Scientist 5 [#12, #13] Core scientific staff (xeno-biologists, entomologists, geneticists) supporting Sinai Protocol and ongoing studies.
Senior PI / Project Lead 1 [#12, #13] Senior lead for thaumiel-level research and project management.
Containment Technician 4 [#2, #1] Technicians for containment maintenance, container cycling, and on-site handling.
Medical Officer (Nurse) 2 [#10, #11] Nurses/medical staff for overnight monitoring, EEG oversight and post-exposure care.
Driver / Logistics 2 [#18] Drivers and convoy crew for armored transport vehicles.
Administrative Staff 3 [#19, #20] Admin, records, redaction and continuity staff to maintain cover stories and archival processes.
IT / SOC Analyst 2 [#16, #25] IT/security analysts maintaining telemetry, encrypted storage and access-control.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many entries are wide (orders-of-magnitude) and program scale (dozens vs thousands of items) is the primary uncertainty; estimates use midpoints and organizational assumptions.
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