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SCP-9814 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9814
Expected annual
$15.9M
One-time setup
$5.4M
Annual recurring
$15.3M
Personnel
14
One-time facility construction and installation costs are modest (~$5.4M), while the dominant ongoing cost is annual procurement and handling of 7 mm tungsten plating (~$10M/yr baseline). Other recurring costs (staff, maintenance, transport, contingencies, and research) bring baseline annual operating costs to roughly $15M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.4M
Facilities $4.0M
[#1] Reinforced concrete blast-rated containment chamber sized for 20 m shard radius with anchor points, blast doors, and segregated operations room; estimate $2M–$10M, mid-range used.
Heavy Remote Hoist And Robotic Crane Purchase $700K
[#5] Purchase & integration of redundant remote hoist/robotic crane system; $250k–$1.2M, mid-range used.
Tungsten Containment Box Purchase $200K
[#6] Fabricate primary tungsten box + spare(s); $30k–$150k each, baseline includes multiple spares.
Structural Absorbers Install $200K
[#11] Internal sacrificial shielding and shard-catchment systems; $50k–$400k initial.
Fire Suppression Install $175K
[#10] Blast-rated fire detection and clean-agent/inert-gas suppression system; $50k–$300k installed.
Viewing Ports And Sensors Initial Purchase $120K
[#7] Initial blast-rated cameras, sacrificial sensors, and high-end monitoring hardware; $50k–$200k initial.
Hvac Install $45K
[#9] Environmental control install (redundant HVAC/humidity control); $15k–$75k initial.
Equipment $0
[]
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.3M/yr
Tungsten Wall Replacement $10.0M/yr
[#2] Annual replacement of 7 mm tungsten wall lining (walls-only baseline geometry); estimated ~$10M/yr at ~$50/kg (mid-low baseline).
Contingency Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#17] Incident response fund for accidental activations/damage, medical, repairs, legal liability; reserve $1M–$20M+ recommended; mid-range allocation used.
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#12, #13] 24/7 armed security plus containment scientists, technicians, engineers and site management; combined salary estimate $400k–$1.2M (security) + $400k–$900k (containment staff) — mid-range summed.
Research And Monitoring $380K/yr
[#8, #18] Remote monitoring, secure storage and ongoing research/testing budgets; $30k–$150k/yr for telemetry + $100k–$1M/yr research — aggregated.
Insurance And Compliance $300K/yr
[#20] Specialized insurance, audits, background checks, secure comms and regulatory compliance; $100k–$1M/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#19, #23] Legal counsel, cover story/public affairs, liaison with law enforcement, plus declassification/disinformation operations when needed; combined mid-range.
Fabrication And Installation Labor $250K/yr
[#4] Annual labor, rigging, certified crews, crane rentals and permits for plate replacement; $100k–$400k/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $232K/yr
[#5, #7, #9, #10, #11, #22] Annual maintenance/replacement: hoist servicing, sacrificial camera replacements, HVAC ops, fire-system maintenance/recharges, absorber replacements, and spares lifecycle (~includes 10–20% replacement budgets).
Logistics And Transport $225K/yr
[#15, #16] Transport/shipping/handling of tungsten plates and secure storage/waste handling for removed plates; $50k–$500k per cycle + $20k–$200k storage/inspection.
Depreciation Reserve $100K/yr
[#24] Capital depreciation/reserve for decade-scale replacement of tungsten box and major systems (5–10% of capital as annual earmark).
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#14] Annual high-risk drills, certification, and third-party testing; $20k–$150k/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#21] PPE, consumables, weld rods, fasteners, seals, small parts; $10k–$75k/yr.
Tungsten Full Coverage Replacement $0/yr
[#3] Alternative scenario (walls+ceiling+floor) estimated $22M–$111M/yr; set to 0 here because it's not included in baseline recurring costs (handled as scenario).
Summary Range $0/yr
[#25] Analyst summary: plausible annual operating range ~$12M–$40M (walls-only baseline); full-coverage or tungsten-price spikes can push costs much higher. This entry is a descriptive mapping of that summary.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.3M/yr
95.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled annual plate replacement and routine operations (walls-only tungsten lining).
scheduled_plate_replacement routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $18.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.7M vs baseline
Accidental activation or equipment failure during plate replacement causing moderate facility damage and medical costs.
plate_replacement_error unexpected_activation equipment_failure
🚨 Full Coverage Requirement $40.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$24.7M vs baseline
Conservative engineering decision or regulatory mandate forces full-coverage tungsten lining (walls+ceiling+floor) increasing annual tungsten procurement drastically.
safety_review policy_change tungsten_price_or_supply_shock
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#12] 24/7 armed security coverage and perimeter control; shift staffing estimated to meet the security budget portion.
Site Security Manager 1 [#12] On-site security management and liaison duties.
Research Scientist 1 [#13, #18] Senior containment scientist / lead responsible for anomaly behavior and research oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#5, #11, #22] Responsible for hoists, HVAC, fire systems, and structural absorber maintenance.
Technician (remote operations) 2 [#4, #7] Technicians for plate replacement operations, rigging, remote tooling, sensor maintenance.
Administrative Staff 1 [#19, #20] Site administration, logistics coordination, and compliance paperwork.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates rely on commodity (tungsten) price ranges, engineering assumptions about room geometry, and analyst mid-range choices. One-time items are better constrained; recurring tungsten procurement is the largest uncertainty, so overall confidence is medium.
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