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SCP-9828 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9828
Expected annual
$60.7M
One-time setup
$199.0M
Annual recurring
$60.3M
Personnel
239
One-time capital costs are large due to land control, perimeter fortification, and infrastructure (~$199M). Recurring annual costs are substantial (~$57.1M/yr), driven mainly by security staffing, biocide production/operations, energy/logistics, and ongoing surveillance/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $199.0M
Facilities $121.6M
[#1, #2, #3, #8, #16, #17] Land acquisition/Exclusion Zone control, perimeter fortification (double fence/anti-vehicle), watchtowers/guard posts, abattoir build-out, command center/barracks and initial microgrid/backups.
Equipment $29.4M
[#9, #13, #14, #15, #23, #22] Surveillance hardware, applicator rigs and PPE initial cache, initial weapons/armor kit-out, vehicle/helicopter purchase (fleet), communications infrastructure.
Decommissioning Reserve $20.0M
[#24] Contingency reserve for eventual decommissioning, cleanup, legal liabilities and large-scale remediation.
Risk Premium Reserve $20.0M
[#26] Standby/emergency reserve for anomalous escalation, incident response and surge procurement.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $7.5M
[#6, #19] Secure bioextraction/biocide lab buildout and initial research lab equipment/setup for study and development of synthetic analogs.
Training Program Initial $500K
[#21] Initial specialized training program and psychological screening setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $60.3M/yr
Staff Wages $33.9M/yr
[#4, #5, #10, #8, #19, #14] Ongoing fully-burdened wages: primary MTF/security staff, medical screening/trauma teams, sterilization technicians, butcher/vet staff, research scientists, and pilots/mechanics.
Logistics And Transport $5.0M/yr
[#14, #25] Vehicle fleet operations, fuel/maintenance for ground vehicles, hangar/custody costs and general logistics (food transport, spare parts).
Biocide Production Operations $4.8M/yr
[#6, #7] Operations for producing multi-stage biocide from living tissue (donor care or procurement, processing, QC, cold-chain, waste treatment).
Facilities Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #16, #15, #17] Maintenance, repairs and upkeep for perimeter works, towers/checkpoints, compound buildings, surveillance hardware and microgrid/generators.
Misc Logistics $3.0M/yr
[#25] Food service, office supplies, vehicle consumables, small tools and day-to-day sustainment of a multi-hundred person operation.
Energy And Fuel $2.8M/yr
[#17] Fuel for generators, microgrid balancing, electricity purchases and fuel logistics for a remote compound.
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#12, #20] Legal retainers, cover-story maintenance, liaison/bribes, PR/FOIA handling and routine cover-up contingency for incidents.
Surveillance Ops $1.8M/yr
[#15] Operations, repairs, data storage, drone ops and sensor fusion staffing for continuous perimeter/interior monitoring.
Weapons And Ammo Annual $1.2M/yr
[#13] Annual ammunition, weapons maintenance, training and replacement for MTF and guard forces.
Supplies And Consumables $837K/yr
[#8, #9, #22] Ongoing consumables: calf procurement (purchase), hematite pigment/paint supplies, PPE replacement and routine decon disposables.
Communications Ops $600K/yr
[#23] Secure comms uptime, satellite links, cybersecurity operations and data redundancy costs.
Training Ongoing $600K/yr
[#21] Recurring personnel training, psychological screening refreshers, resilience programs and trauma counseling.
Biohazard Waste Disposal $350K/yr
[#11, #10] High-risk waste treatment and incineration for sterilization waste, calf remains, and donor/extraction byproducts.
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#19, #18] Non-wage recurring research operations, sample analysis, and environmental/groundwater monitoring programs.
Environmental Monitoring $150K/yr
[#18] Regular groundwater testing, monitoring wells and routine sampling to detect contamination from obsidian-like substrate and operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $60.3M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; regular operations, production and maintenance only.
no incidents routine operations scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $59.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$-1150000 vs baseline
Localized breach or unauthorized entrant requiring forensic cleanup, temporary surge staffing, targeted remediation and heightened cover-up efforts.
unauthorized entrant small ritual escalation localized contamination
🚨 Major Breach $87.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$26.9M vs baseline
Large containment failure or ritual escalation requiring full emergency response, mass-casualty handling, large-scale remediation, political/payoff costs and potential temporary shutdown.
perimeter/structural breach mass ritual activation loss of control of Ingestion Process
👥 Personnel 239 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#4] Front-line armed security, patrols, QRFs and rotating shifts across the Exclusion Zone; count chosen within analyst 150–300 range to match wage budget.
Medical Officer 12 [#5] Medical screening, trauma capability and donor oversight for biocide extraction; matches analyst 8–20 range and recurring medical cost.
Decontamination Technician / Sterilization Tech 12 [#10] Daily interior sterilization teams; technician count chosen to align with recurring sterilization labor wage estimate.
Butcher / Veterinary Staff 3 [#8] On-site abattoir staff and veterinary oversight for daily calf procurement and slaughter.
Research Scientist / Technician 8 [#19] Scientific research team for analysis, synthetic biocide development and containment engineering; within analyst 4–12 range.
Pilot / Mechanic 4 [#14] Aviation crewing and aircraft maintenance to support rapid reaction and logistics across the Exclusion Zone.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and standard procurement/operational assumptions but significant uncertainties remain in land acquisition cost, perimeter standard chosen, exact staffing levels, and hidden/black-market costs related to the living-tissue biocide; anomalous behavior could drive costs far higher.
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