SCP-9830 — SCP-9830 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-9830 Nonexistent ~ medium confidence

SCP-9830

Expected annual

$19.2M

One-time setup

$14.8M

Annual recurring

$18.9M

Personnel

One-time capital costs of approximately $14.8M primarily for secure facilities, IT, safe houses and transport; ongoing annual operations cost approximately $18.85M driven by staff wages, cyber/OSINT retainers, per-operation interdiction budgets, contractors and legal/PR reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.8M

Facilities $10.0M

[#1] Capital construction/purchase or major leasehold improvements for a SCIF-level covert operations facility (midpoint selected within $5M–$25M range).

Safe House Setup $1.4M

[#12] One-time setup for multiple covert safe houses/black sites (assume ~5 sites at mid-range per-site setup).

Cyber Integration $1.0M

[#11] One-time integration/hardware/software procurement for offensive/defensive cyber capability integration (mid-range).

Fleet Purchase $1.0M

[#13] One-time purchase of an unmarked/armored vehicle fleet (mid-range).

Servers And It Infrastructure $750K

[#2] Dedicated secure servers, SAN, backup hardware and off-site mirror initial capital outlay (mid-range).

Osint Platform Development $500K

[#3] Development/integration costs for global signals & OSINT monitoring platform (one-time integration/dev).

Archive One Off Tasks $200K

[#19] Large one-off archive/evidence alteration or secure-vault tasks (upper-end single-event estimates covered as one-time).

Equipment $0

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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $18.9M/yr

Staff Wages $6.0M/yr

[#4, #5] Full-time analysts, memeticists, linguists and covert field operator salaries and benefits (combined analysts + MTF personnel wages, mid-range staffing).

Cyber Ops Retainer $1.5M/yr

[#11] Annual retainer and operational budget for cyber contractors (offensive/forensic work, mid-range).

Osint Platform Licenses $1.0M/yr

[#3] Recurring licensing, cloud compute and SOC platform costs for global signals & open-source monitoring.

Per Operation Interdiction $1.0M/yr

[#6, #7] Recurring operational budgets for interdiction/takedown missions (assumed moderate cadence ~20 ops/year at mid-range per-op cost).

Digital Takedown Team $1.0M/yr

[#8] Retainers and per-case legal/digital takedown expenses for content suppression and legal actions.

Insurance And Compliance $1.0M/yr

[#20] Annual insurance/legal risk reserves and international compliance budgeting (mid-range).

Contractors And Deniable Assets $1.0M/yr

[#21] Payments to local contractors, deniable assets and intelligence providers.

Counter Propaganda $800K/yr

[#9] Covert influence and counter-propaganda campaign recurring spend (mid-range).

Crisis Pr Reserve $750K/yr

[#18] PR retainer and portion of legal defense/capital reserved for rapid-response to exposures.

Facilities Maintenance $700K/yr

[#1] Ongoing maintenance, lease or property costs, physical security upkeep for central covert facility (mid-range recurring).

Administrative Overhead $600K/yr

[#23] Program management, finance, audits and general administrative overhead.

Tech Liaison Contracts $500K/yr

[#10] Liaison payments, compliance engineering and expedited takedown contracts with major platforms.

Training And Exercises $500K/yr

[#15] Regular tactical, legal and memetic-resistance training and red-team exercises.

Contingency Payouts $500K/yr

[#17] Annual reserve for hush money, witness management and contingency payouts (mid-range reserve).

Memetic Research Program $500K/yr

[#24] Ongoing behavioral and memetic containment research program (small research effort).

Fleet Maintenance $400K/yr

[#13] Vehicle maintenance, fuel and logistics for covert transport fleet.

Safe House Maintenance $250K/yr

[#12] Annual upkeep, turnover and maintenance for multiple safe houses/black sites.

It And Backup Maintenance $200K/yr

[#2] Annual maintenance, encrypted backups, cloud costs and off-site mirror retention for secure servers and HA infrastructure.

Medical And Cleanup Retainer $200K/yr

[#14] Retainers for medical, forensic and hazardous-materials cleanup contracts (on-call services).

Vetting And Background $150K/yr

[#16] Continuous vetting, background investigations and insider-threat mitigation costs.

Archive Management $150K/yr

[#19] Ongoing secure evidence vault costs, chain-of-custody services and record management.

Energy And Utilities $150K/yr

[#22] Power, HVAC, generator fuel and utilities for secure facilities and data centers.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

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Research And Monitoring $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr

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Minimal Monitoring Budget $0/yr

[#25] Minimal do-nothing monitoring budget (not active under the chosen baseline posture; included as an alternate low-cost posture).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $18.9M/yr

91.0% probability / year

Normal year with active suppression posture and no major public exposures; all recurring programs funded at planned levels.

routine_monitoring targeted_interdictions no_major_exposure

🚨 Minor Incident $20.1M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline

Localized exposure or viral rumor requiring increased operations, legal action and PR response.

localized_public_exposure small_viral_spread single-site_breach

🚨 Major Breach $48.9M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline

Widespread exposure or coordinated leaks requiring massive global response, large contingency payouts, heavy legal/PR and emergency operations.

large_scale_media_exposure coordinated_global_claims multi-site_compromise

👥 Personnel 46 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist / Analyst	20	[#4] Analysts, memeticists and linguists responsible for triage and assessment; headcount and cost included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	16	[#5] Field operators and deniable response personnel; headcount and cost included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff	4	[#23] Program management, finance and support staff included in staff_wages.
Engineer / Maintenance	2	[#1, #13] Facilities and vehicle maintenance staff; costs rolled into staff_wages and maintenance categories.
MTF Command / Field Leader	2	[#5] Senior field leadership included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer	2	[#14] Medical support for operations; costs included in staff_wages and medical retainer.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are midpoint selections from wide analyst ranges; many costs (operations volume, geopolitical spread, O5 policy choices) are highly scenario-dependent, so totals are approximate but grounded in the provided ranges.

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