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SCP-984 Safe-impetus ~ medium confidence
SCP-984
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$8.1M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
30
Estimated one-time capital of approximately $8.14M (site setup, containment retrofit, lab capital and contingency/insurance reserves) and ongoing annual operating costs of roughly $3.75M/yr, driven primarily by 24/7 medical and security staffing, legal/insurance/cover-story maintenance, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.1M
Long Term Rnd Capital $3.0M
[#25] Baseline capital set-aside for potential long-term R&D/BSL expansion if pathogen escalation occurs (planning baseline ~$3.0M).
Insurance Reserve $2.5M
[#16] One-time insurance/liability reserve set aside (chosen midpoint ~$2.5M).
Exceptional Events Reserve $1.0M
[#23] Contingency reserve for exceptional high-risk manifestations (~$1.0M reserve chosen within recommended range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K
[#13] Lab buildout/BSL-2/3 upgrades, necropsy facilities, cryogenic storage and sequencing-capable instruments (mid-range estimate ~$625k).
Facilities $525K
[#1, #2] One-time site lease/setup and restroom containment retrofit: site lease/shell-site setup (~$400,000) + restroom stall reinforcement/soundproofing/controlled door (~$125,000).
Equipment $359K
[#3, #6, #8, #9, #18, #19, #20, #21] CCTV/monitoring hardware (~$50k), security equipment/training capital (~$50k), initial PPE kits (~$22k), animal-response equipment (~$40k), forensic/evidence kit setup (~$15k), IT/security hardware (~$80k), vehicles (1–2 vans ~$90k), emergency comms (~$12k).
Legal Retainer $60K
[#15] Initial legal/PR/cover-story retainer/setup estimated ~$60k one-time.
Initial Training $50K
[#17] Initial intensive training and SOP development (~$50k).
Post Exposure Stockpile $25K
[#11] Initial stockpile for prophylaxis (stock for ~10 exposures) estimated ~$25k.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#4, #6, #3, #13] Wages and benefits for 24/7 coverage: medical staff FTEs (~13) including benefits and overtime (~$835k), armed security staff (~8 incl benefits ~$416k), research scientist salaries (~3 FTEs incl benefits ~$450k), monitoring/IT technician (~$65k), site/admin support (~$60k).
Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr
[#15, #16, #23] Ongoing legal/PR/cover-story maintenance (~$300k), annual insurance/premium replenishment (~$300k), contingency replenishment for secrecy/cover (~$200k).
Facilities Maintenance $277K/yr
[#1, #2] Ongoing lease/utilities/site administration and minor restroom containment maintenance (~$275k lease/utilities + ~$2k stall maintenance).
Class D Provisioning $275K/yr
[#7] Recurring costs for procuring/housing/administering Class-D personnel (midpoint estimate ~$275k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $173K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #14, #18, #22] Recurring PPE replacement (~$10k), animal-response consumables (~$5k), biohazard cleanup budget (~$50k), per-exposure prophylaxis budget (~$30k), medical consumables (~$30k), hazardous waste disposal (~$30k), forensic consumables (~$12k), minor consumables/repairs (~$6k).
Logistics And Transport $163K/yr
[#5, #20, #21] Ambulance/HEMS/hospital standby contracts (~$125k), vehicle fuel/maintenance (~$35k), emergency comms service (~$3k).
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#3, #13] Non-salary recurring research costs: reagents, sequencing runs, sample storage and data retention (~$100k; research salaries are included in staff_wages).
It And Cybersecurity $60K/yr
[#19] Recurring IT/security/cybersecurity costs for encrypted storage and monitoring (~$60k/yr).
Psychological Care $40K/yr
[#24] Counseling and occupational health monitoring (~$40k/yr).
Security Equipment Maintenance $20K/yr
[#6] Recurring equipment/training refresh for security (~$20k/yr).
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#17] Annual refreshers and drills (~$20k/yr).
Long Term Rnd Recurrent $0/yr
[#25] Recurring R&D program costs are contingent on pathogen escalation; not included in baseline recurring budget (estimate range $500k–$5M/yr if activated).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with standard operations, monitoring, and occasional minor activations handled within routine budgets.
routine_monitoring low-frequency_activation_handled_on-site
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Single activation causing injuries requiring ambulance/HEMS response, several prophylaxis administrations, forensic cleanup and short-term legal/administrative response.
single_activation medical_treatment biohazard_cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $5.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Multiple casualties or public exposure requiring large legal settlements, insurance payouts, major medical evacuations, BSL escalation and large-scale replacement/replenishment.
multiple_casualties public_exposure BSL_escalation
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $5.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Discovery that SCP-984-1 is a novel/transmissible pathogen requiring sustained long-term R&D, vaccine/therapeutics development and BSL expansion.
pathogen_identified BSL-3/4_program_initiated long_term_R&D
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Medical Officer (Level-0) 13 [#4] FTEs required to maintain 3 Level-0 medical personnel on-site continuously (≈13 FTEs to cover 24/7 shifts).
Security Officer / QRF 8 [#6] Armed security team sized at ~8 personnel to provide perimeter and rapid response coverage.
Research Scientist 3 [#13] On-site research/pathology staff (2–4 recommended; 3 used here).
IT / Monitoring Technician 1 [#3, #19] Responsible for CCTV/recording, sensor monitoring and secure log storage.
Class-D Personnel 4 [#7] Number of D-class personnel maintained/rotating for testing/entry at any given time (operational provisioning cost accounted separately).
Administrative Staff / Site Admin 1 [#1] On-site administrative support for shell company operations, scheduling and cover-story maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling mid-point estimates, but many items are contingent (rare high-impact events, optional R&D escalation, reserve sizing) and have wide ranges; therefore confidence is medium.
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