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SCP-986 Uncontained ? low confidence
SCP-986
Expected annual
$146.6M
One-time setup
$452.4M
Annual recurring
$144.3M
Personnel
86
Initial one-time setup and equipment procurement are the main cost drivers (prototype/full facility construction, sensor networks, vehicles, UAVs, and national scaling reserves). Ongoing annual costs are dominated by staff wages, facility operations/maintenance, and a large contingency for national-scale scaling and insurance/legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $452.4M
Scaling Contingency One Time $275.0M
[#27] One-time reserve to scale to national-level operations (additional facilities, sensors, teams) if multiple entities are discovered.
Facilities $151.9M
[#13, #14] Prototype containment cell construction and full secure facility build estimates (single-cell prototype and full secure facility reserve).
Equipment $16.1M
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #11, #12, #15, #20, #21, #23] Mobile command vehicles outfitting, helicopter purchase, UAV fleet hardware, fixed sensor node hardware, initial server capacity, non-optical tracking kits, specialized restraint hardware, evidence/freezer systems, on-site waste equipment, and comms hardware.
Insurance And Contingency Reserve $5.5M
[#26] One-time reserve fund set aside for major payouts, legal settlements, and contingency.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#16, #17, #18] Initial pharmacology/amnestic R&D & stockpile setup and initial outsourced major study costs.
Embedded Algorithm Development $1.2M
[#1] Development, covert deployment, and initial penetration/setup of detection algorithms and secure backdoors/APIs (one-time development/deployment costs).
Legal Liaison And Covert Political Setup $1.1M
[#2] Initial legal, liaison, bribes/contracts, shell company formation and upfront partnership costs to obtain cooperation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $144.3M/yr
Scaling Recurring Reserve $110.0M/yr
[#27] Recurring operations reserve to support national-scale sensor density, additional teams, and multiple containment facilities if required.
Facilities Maintenance $12.9M/yr
[#6, #9, #14, #20, #21] Ongoing maintenance and utilities for sensors and installations, prototype/full facility operations reserve, evidence storage utilities, and decon/incineration contracts.
Staff Wages $9.7M/yr
[#3, #11, #20, #22] Mobile containment teams wages (36 agents) plus analysts, security, lab chain-of-custody and related on-payroll staff.
Administrative Overhead $3.0M/yr
[#29] Finance, HR, clandestine payroll systems, management overhead (~10–15% of operations).
Logistics And Transport $2.8M/yr
[#4, #6, #7, #8, #24] Local contractors/retainers, vehicle/motor pool maintenance and fuel, helicopter operating costs, UAV operations and charters, and transport-related costs.
Research And Monitoring $2.7M/yr
[#10, #11, #16, #17, #18, #19, #28] Satellite tasking/subscriptions, data-fusion ops (non-staff), pharmacology replenishment, outsourced lab studies, amnestic distribution follow-up, survivor monitoring, and optical/physics R&D programs.
Cover Story And Legal $1.4M/yr
[#2, #25] Ongoing legal fees, liaison renewals, covert payments, public-relations/media manipulation and misinformation operations.
Field Training And Exercises $550K/yr
[#5] Ongoing field training, scenario drills, live ranges, and consumables for exercises.
Insurance Topups $500K/yr
[#26] Recurring top-ups to insurance/contingency reserves and payout readiness.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#30] Consumables, batteries, spare parts, PPE, small-equipment replacements.
Algorithm Ops And Opsec $200K/yr
[#1] Ongoing maintenance, stealth updates, opsec, and audit logs for embedded detection algorithms.
Communications And Subscriptions $200K/yr
[#23] SATCOM, encrypted radios, airtime subscriptions and frequency management.
Specialized Restraint Replacements $50K/yr
[#15] Annual replacements and consumables for capture and restraint systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $144.3M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year covering steady-state operations, maintenance, staffing, and reserve top-ups without major incidents.
no_major_incidents routine_detections localized_investigations_only
🚨 Minor Incident $149.3M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized breach or significant single-incident requiring extra deployments, emergency studies, and PR/legal payouts.
localized_breach single_incident_response increased_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $344.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Discovery of multiple entities or a large-scale breach requiring emergency facility construction/expansion, mass deployments, and extensive public mitigation.
multiple_specimens_discovered facility_breach significant_civilian_casualties
👥 Personnel 86 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 Armed guards, rapid-response team members and perimeter security (included in staff wages).
Mobile Containment Team (Field Operative) 36 Six regional teams × 6 personnel as specified in analyst notes; salaries included in staff wages.
Research Scientist / Analyst 6 Data-fusion analysts and AI ops center staff triaging algorithm alerts (included in staff wages).
Engineer / Maintenance 6 Vehicle, UAV, sensor and facility maintenance staff (included in staff wages).
Administrative Staff 8 Finance, HR, clandestine payroll and management support (administrative overhead).
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 Program leadership and executive liaison roles (included in staff wages).
Medical Officer 2 Medical and pharmacology oversight for sedatives, amnestics and casualty care.
Chain-of-custody / Lab Technician 2 Evidence/sample handling, cryo/freezer staffing (included in staff wages and storage maintenance).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are drawn from wide ranges in analyst notes and significant optional contingency items (facility builds, national scaling). The anomalous nature and intelligence/covert variables introduce high uncertainty.
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