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SCP-9870 Apollyon1 ? low confidence
SCP-9870
Expected annual
$118.6M
One-time setup
$102.8M
Annual recurring
$112.8M
Personnel
30
Initial capital expenditures for a single metropolitan active zone are approximately $103M, driven by shelter retrofits, secure research/lab upgrades, and financial reserves. Recurring annual costs are roughly $113M/year, dominated by veil operations (public information, social media suppression), contingency reserves, medical surge capacity, replacement reserves, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $102.8M
Financial Reserves Initial $50.0M
[#24] Initial liability reserves / contingency financial reserves for legal exposure and large capital contingencies.
Facilities $31.5M
[#5, #11, #20, #21, #27] Shelter retrofits, specialized mortuary/incinerator, energy/microgrid installations, evidence vault, and secure data-center buildouts for a single-city active-zone network.
Equipment $11.2M
[#4, #16, #14, #3, #15, #7] Mobile decontamination/triage units, emergency vehicle fleet capital, sensor network hardware and drones, initial PPE stock, secure communications hardware, and initial cyber/social-media suppression infrastructure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.0M
[#13] Secure laboratory upgrades / high-containment research facility initial buildout and specialized instrumentation.
Special Response Training Setup $150K
[#2] Initial hazardous-environment training setup, trainers, facility rental, and PPE for trainees (per active zone).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $112.8M/yr
Contingency Response Fund $20.0M/yr
[#29] Ongoing contingency planning reserves and rapid-response funds for escalation scenarios.
Research And Monitoring $12.0M/yr
[#13, #14] Ongoing research staff and operations (~$5–20M/yr range) plus sensor network maintenance/data feeds (~$1–3M/yr).
Replacement Depreciation Reserve $10.3M/yr
[#28] Planned capital replacement reserve (~10% of deployed capital/year).
Medical Surge Capacity $10.0M/yr
[#10] Hospital surge readiness, field hospitals, ICU capacity expansion and special hazardous casualty handling readiness.
Infrastructure Repairs $10.0M/yr
[#19] Emergency repairs for public infrastructure (streets, power, windows) after events.
Mental Health Services $8.0M/yr
[#12] Long-term counseling, trauma therapy, and community support programs for affected populations.
Social Media Ops $5.0M/yr
[#7] Automated monitoring, moderation/takedown operations, bot networks and ongoing cyber-ops to suppress leakage.
Covert Operations Program $5.0M/yr
[#22] Ongoing covert removal/black-ops program costs (regionally-run suppression operations).
Coverup Contingency Fund $5.0M/yr
[#23] Annual public compensation/quiet payments to maintain compliance with the Veil and local stakeholders.
Insurance And Reserves $5.0M/yr
[#24] Annual insurance premiums and legal defense fund contributions.
Logistics And Transport $4.0M/yr
[#16, #17] Fleet operations (fuel/maintenance) and airlift readiness/standby costs.
Cover Story And Legal $3.5M/yr
[#6, #8] Public information campaign (PSAs) and retained legal/lobbying budgets to maintain 'natural weather' narrative.
Program Overhead $3.0M/yr
[#30] Program management, senior staff, audits and administrative overhead (10–20% guideline).
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#1] Field teams (30 personnel per active zone × ~$70k avg salary + 25% overhead/benefits ≈ $2.625M/year).
International Liaison $2.0M/yr
[#25] Diplomatic liaison teams, travel and coordination with foreign governments where necessary.
Facilities Maintenance $1.6M/yr
[#4, #5, #20] Ongoing maintenance/utilities for shelters, mobile decon unit upkeep, and backup power fuel/maintenance.
Perimeter Security $1.5M/yr
[#18] Guard salaries, temporary barriers, checkpoints and associated riot/containment gear.
Mortuary Operations $1.0M/yr
[#11] Ongoing operations for incinerators/secure remains handling and staff for increased fatalities.
Research Grants $1.0M/yr
[#26] Funding benign/academic research to provide plausible deniability and cover papers.
Data Center Ops $1.0M/yr
[#27] Secure archival storage, air-gapped backups and data-center operational costs.
Covert Influence $500K/yr
[#9] Covert media placements, payments to influencers/journalists and sponsored research in a single major market.
Secure Communications Ops $300K/yr
[#15] Maintenance/leases for hardened communications (satcom/microwave/encrypted networks).
Evidence Handling Ops $300K/yr
[#21] Staff and operations for forensic collection, chain-of-custody, and secure storage.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#3] Consumables: replacement filters, med supplies, trauma kits, PPE replacements.
Special Response Training $75K/yr
[#2] Recurrent training, drills, and psychological resilience programs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $112.8M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing operations, no major incidents beyond routine manifestations.
routine localized manifestations no major cascade events
🚨 Minor Incident $117.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized severe event requiring surge medical response, increased repairs, and intensified Veil operations.
clustered casualties targeted infrastructure damage temporary spike in public exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Escalation $612.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Widespread/national manifestations with mass casualties, major infrastructure collapse and full-scale emergency response.
nationwide or multi-city simultaneous activity mass evacuations and infrastructure failure
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Hazmat / Field Medic 10 [#1] Medical and hazardous-environment responders in each 24/7 shift rotation (part of 30-person field team).
Security Officer / Evacuation 10 [#1] Evacuation and containment/security personnel to manage perimeters and extractions.
Logistics Technician / Field Tech 10 [#1] Equipment operators, communications, decon techs and general logistics support in the field team.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and based on sparse narrative detail; SCP is Apollyon-class and behavior is unpredictable, many cost ranges are wide and tail risk is effectively unbounded, producing low confidence.
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