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SCP-9878 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-9878
Expected annual
$6.5M
One-time setup
$4.8M
Annual recurring
$6.4M
Personnel
62
Initial one-time capital and setup costs are approximately $4.845M driven by site stabilization, forensic lab buildout, surveillance and specialist equipment; annual operating costs are approximately $6.43M/yr dominated by security and research staff wages, rapid-response training, and ongoing archaeological/conservation monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.8M
Equipment $1.2M
[#4, #5, #7, #15, #16, #17, #22, #29] Specialist team equipment & vehicles, surveillance/sensor installation, digitisation hardware, lectern monitoring array, vault/containers, vehicles, and initial data-security hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#12, #13, #19, #24] Initial conservation/stabilization treatments, forensic/biohazard lab setup, epidemiological setup, and initial research-program equipment/initial study.
Emergency Reserve $1.0M
[#31] Seed one-time emergency/contingency reserve for civil unrest, litigation, rapid repairs, emergency relocations.
Facilities $725K
[#1, #9, #27] Perimeter construction, HVAC/climate-control installation for preservation, and interpretive centre/site fit-out.
Urgent Stabilization $600K
[#25] One-time urgent stabilization across sites (archaeological stabilization / strata consolidation).
Community Compensation $200K
[#28] One-time settlements/compensation to local landowners, churches, descendant families.
Staff Training Program Development $50K
[#23] One-time development of training/psychological screening program for throne/obedience risk.
Legal Setup $25K
[#21] One-time negotiation/legal setup (Bucher Accords maintenance setup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.4M/yr
Staff Wages $4.3M/yr
[#3, #4, #11, #14, #20, #24, #26] On-site security guards (32 FTE), specialist rapid-response team salaries, conservators/curators (2 FTE), archivist/osteologist staff, intelligence/analyst salaries, recurring research program staff, and groundskeeping/facilities staff.
Research And Monitoring $745K/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #19, #20, #23, #25, #30, #33] Forensic/archival recurring costs (disposables, cold storage, sequencing), archival storage & cataloguing, lectern review & storage, epidemiological surveillance, analyst tools/subscriptions, training refreshers, archaeological monitoring, sociolinguistic monitoring, and annual internal audits/oversight.
Logistics And Transport $405K/yr
[#17, #18, #22] Recurring inventory management & escorted transport costs, secure transport program for shipments/escorts, and drivers/scheduling/fuel for government-authorised access.
Cover Story And Legal $345K/yr
[#21, #27, #28, #29] Legal counsel & treaty liaison retainer, public relations/heritage outreach recurring budget, community compensation fund, and recurring audits/legal recordkeeping maintenance.
Emergency Reserve Replenishment $200K/yr
[#31] Recurring replenishment allocation for emergency contingency & legal reserve used for replenishing one-time seed reserve after incidents.
Rapid Response Training And Consumables $150K/yr
[#4, #6] Annual specialist rapid-response training, exercises, munitions/consumables, medical recertification, and vehicle servicing.
Facilities Maintenance $115K/yr
[#2, #8, #10] Perimeter maintenance & minor capital repairs, surveillance/monitoring maintenance & storage, and HVAC energy & servicing.
Supplies And Consumables $110K/yr
[#11, #26, #32] Conservation consumables, groundskeeping/small tools & supplies, and general consumables (PPE, archival boxes, batteries, etc.).
Decommission Fund $100K/yr
[#34] Annual amortized allocation for mid- to long-term replacement of HVAC, vaults, surveillance and other infrastructure.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.4M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operating year with no major incidents; routine containment, monitoring, research, and scheduled shipments.
routine_operations scheduled_shipments no_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $6.7M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized breach, vandalism, or small-scale artifact damage requiring emergency repairs and limited legal/PR response.
minor_breach vandalism localized_artifact_damage
🚨 Major Breach $8.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant security failure or violent incident causing artifact relocation, extended repairs, litigation and heavy PR/legal costs.
forceful_breach widespread_damage extended_litigation
🚨 Political Exposure $7.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
High-profile government use or public disclosure leading to international incidents, increased escort/transport costs, compensations and extended legal/PR campaign.
government_public_use media_exposure diplomatic_incident
👥 Personnel 62 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 32 [#3] 32 on-site guards to provide 24/7 coverage across four sites; salary basis from analyst notes.
Specialist Rapid-Response / Containment Team 8 [#4] Eight highly trained operators for breaches and escorts; salaries included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 6 [#24] Small multidisciplinary research team for eligibility criteria research; recurring staff costs included in staff_wages.
Conservator / Curator 2 [#11] Two conservators/curators to care for manuscripts and grave goods; salaries included in staff_wages.
Archivist / Osteologist 3 [#14] Forensic/osteological staff for remains handling and archiving; recurring costs accounted under research_and_monitoring and staff_wages.
Intelligence Analyst 3 [#20] Three analysts to monitor historians/academic traffic and OSINT; tools/subscriptions included in recurring costs.
Groundskeeper / Facilities Staff 8 [#26] Eight FTE for custodial, groundskeeping, and facility management; wages and supplies included in staff_wages and supplies.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provided detailed line items and ranges which enable mid-point estimates, but many items have wide ranges and local-labor/regulatory variation (shipments frequency, level of overt security, and research intensity) so uncertainty remains; contingency/reserve sizing and incident probabilities are judgmental.
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