SCP-9919 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-9919
Expected annual
$28.9M
One-time setup
$56.5M
Annual recurring
$27.1M
Personnel
86
Estimated one-time startup/reserve costs are high (~$56.6M) driven by R&D infrastructure, contingency reserves, and lab/R&D buildout; recurring costs are dominated by regional rapid-response field teams, legal/cover operations, and ongoing R&D/monitoring, producing an expected annual cost of roughly $28.9M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $56.5M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $22.4M
[#6, #19, #20] Biohazard/insectary laboratory buildout and scientific instrument procurement; one-time dedicated lab/security upgrades; initial one-time portion of large-scale R&D program costs.
Contingency Reserve One Time $20.0M
[#30] Up-front contingency reserve for large-scale/rare catastrophic events (recommended one-time reserve allocation).
Facilities $5.0M
[#13] One-time structural/infrastructure work for replacement/retrofit of orange-colored public infrastructure (moderate program estimate).
Emergency Compensation Seed Fund $5.0M
[#28] Seed fund for rapid emergency compensation to civilians and property owners.
Equipment $4.2M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #9, #10, #11, #17, #22, #26] One-time procurement and setup: automated BUG REPORTS system dev, call-center fit-out, scraping platform dev, regional hub kit-up, initial decon/PPE stockpile, specialized mobile equipment fleet, vehicle purchases, diplomatic/briefing setup, initial insecticide stockpile, secure recordkeeping system.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $27.1M/yr
Staff Wages $9.5M/yr
[#2, #4, #7, #3, #19, #20] Salaries and benefits for regional field teams, entomology/biolab staff, scraping/analyst staff, research teams, and ongoing R&D program personnel.
Cover Story And Legal $6.1M/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #17, #29, #26] Public communications campaigns, media management and covert information-control, baseline legal counsel, diplomatic liaison/coordination, reputational mitigation subsidies, and FOIA/censorship response support.
Facilities Maintenance $2.0M/yr
[#13] Annual maintenance, utilities and upkeep for retrofitted/replaced infrastructure and containment-relevant facilities.
Pest Control Contractors $2.0M/yr
[#5] Contracted pest-control remediation per-incident budgets (baseline programmatic budget assuming multiple incidents/year).
Agricultural Mitigation Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#12] Annual allocation for crop insurance/subsidies/compensation and rapid agricultural remediation.
Legal Reserve Fund Annual $2.0M/yr
[#16] Annual litigation/settlement reserve to cover claims and quiet settlements beyond baseline counsel.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#18, #23, #7, #19] Epidemiological/public-health surveillance, environmental impact studies, ongoing lab monitoring and lower-scale research programs.
Logistics And Transport $825K/yr
[#11, #25, #10] Vehicle operations (fuel/insurance/maintenance), incident field staging logistics, and maintenance for specialized equipment.
Supplies And Consumables $315K/yr
[#9, #22, #8] Recurring PPE/replenishment, insecticide replenishment, and small consumables.
Disposal And Biomass Processing $300K/yr
[#8] Recurring budget for regulated incineration/composting/autoclave disposal and biomass processing after containment events.
Insurance And Indemnity $300K/yr
[#21] Insurance premiums for vehicles, staff, operations, and indemnity coverage across jurisdictions.
Training And Exercises $300K/yr
[#24] Regular drills, interagency exercises, and partner training to maintain response readiness and cover procedures.
Psychological Services $200K/yr
[#27] Counseling and public mental-health services funding for affected civilians.
Recordkeeping And Archives $150K/yr
[#26] Recurring secure data storage, archiving costs, and records redaction/processing.
Automated Bugreports Hosting $48K/yr
[#1] Recurring hosting, cloud telephony, voicemail-to-text transcription and storage costs for automated BUG REPORTS intake.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $27.1M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Automated intake, regional preparedness at baseline levels; no major incidents requiring large-scale international response or R&D surge.
automated BUG REPORTS active routine small/local incidents no large urban or crop-scale events
🚨 Minor Incident $28.6M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
A year with several localized urban incidents requiring multiple regional deployments, higher pest-control and disposal costs, and elevated public communications.
clustered urban incidents local crop damage increased remediation contracts
🚨 Major Incident $37.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Large municipal or multi-hub event requiring full regional mobilization, emergency compensation, significant legal/diplomatic activity, and temporary scale-up of R&D/testing.
major city-wide manifestation large agricultural loss in one or more regions escalated public/political attention
🚨 Catastrophic Event $127.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Widespread multi-country agricultural and urban outbreaks causing mass economic damage, international diplomatic crisis, and full-scale R&D/containment surge.
multi-region crop collapse simultaneous major urban outbreaks international political exposure
👥 Personnel 86 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#4] Regional rapid-response field team members distributed across hubs; headcount consistent with recurring regional team salary allocation.
Research Scientist 10 [#7, #19, #20] Entomologists, epidemiologists, memetics/cognitive science researchers covered by research and R&D salary pools.
Technician / Lab Staff 6 [#6, #7] Biolab technicians, insectary staff supporting containment and lab operations.
Engineer / R&D Programmer 6 [#3, #20] Developers and engineers for scraping/analytics, countermeasure R&D, and systems maintenance.
Data Analyst / Social Media Analyst 2 [#3] NLP/scraping analysts monitoring civilian reporting and classifier operations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#2, #4] Program management, interagency coordination, and operational oversight.
Security Supervisor / Team Lead 4 [#4, #2] Supervisory staff for field teams and potential call-center escalation.
Maintenance / Drivers 6 [#11, #25] Vehicle operators, logistics support, and field staging technicians.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are broad and uncertain due to unknown frequency/severity of manifestations, speculative memetic R&D costs, and large variance in legal/agricultural liabilities; many line items are scenario-dependent and could be orders of magnitude different.
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