SCP-9949 — SCP-9949 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-9949 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-9949

Expected annual

$2.7M

One-time setup

$6.6M

Annual recurring

$2.6M

Personnel

Initial setup is dominated by optional imaging capital and research buildout (~$6.55M one-time); recurring annual operating costs for a modest clinic + research posture are about $2.63M driven by staff wages, research operations, and legal/cover activities.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.6M

Equipment $2.6M

[#3, #5, #9, #10, #20, #24] Includes optional 3T MRI purchase & installation ($2,350,000), EEG system ($60,000), pharmacy equipment ($30,000), controlled-storage ($8,000), server hardware ($60,000), mobile response vehicle retrofit ($100,000).

Research Capital Reserve $2.5M

[#28] Additional research capital reserve to scale research-intensive posture (imaging, GMP scale-up, expanded R&D).

Mnestic R And D $750K

[#7] One-time R&D to develop/validate Class‑Y mnestic (medicinal chemistry, preclinical validation, assay development).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $400K

[#6] Laboratory and compounding buildout: biosafety/compounding hoods, freezers, centrifuges, secure compounding storage (GMP-like fit-out).

Facilities $160K

[#1] Clinical/research fit-out: exam rooms, observation room, secure cabinets, HVAC modifications, signage.

Minimal Posture Setup $60K

[#27] Minimal operational setup option: clinical kit, small stock of doses, part-time clinician setup costs.

Legal Initial Review $30K

[#15] Initial legal/compliance setup: consent forms, IRB paperwork, memetic-legal review.

Pr Planning $30K

[#23] Initial planning for cover story/controlled disclosure and media response.

Training Development $15K

[#22] Initial SOP and memetic/exposure-handling protocol development and initial staff training.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr

Staff Wages $1.3M/yr

[#12, #13, #14] Clinical team (neurologist, psychiatrist, pharmacist, nurses) + research staff (neuroscientists/postdocs, data scientist, MRI tech) + security wages.

Contingency Reserve $439K/yr

[#26] Recommended contingency (20% of recurring subtotal) for unexpected research/containment expenditures, regulatory delays, or scaling needs.

Research Operating Budget $300K/yr

[#28] Recurring operating budget for research-intensive posture (staff support, scan time, consumables) if pursued.

Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr

[#15, #23] Ongoing legal retainer and public-relations / concealment budget for media monitoring, controlled disclosures and cover narratives.

Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr

[#2, #21] Lease/rent for small clinic/lab footprint (1,000–2,500 ft²) plus utilities and facility overhead.

Mnestic Production $50K/yr

[#8] Ongoing GMP compounding or contract production and per-dose costs for Class‑Y mnestic stock used year-to-year.

Insurance $50K/yr

[#25] Liability, malpractice, and research insurance premiums.

Minimal Posture Recurring $50K/yr

[#27] Recurring costs for a minimal offering (small mnestic restocking, part-time clinician time, follow-up) if that posture is maintained.

Medical Followup $40K/yr

[#18] Post-amnestic counseling, follow-up testing, treatment of side effects and routine liability mitigation per subject.

Recruitment And Participant Costs $30K/yr

[#19] Subject recruitment, compensation, travel reimbursements and testing stipends.

Research And Monitoring $20K/yr

[#4] Recurring neuroimaging costs if outsourcing (per-scan budgets) or small monitoring contracts; excludes large in-house MRI maintenance.

Logistics And Transport $20K/yr

[#24] Operation and transport costs for mobile response / field deployment kit.

Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr

[#17, #9] Consumables for administration (syringes, disposables, observation supplies) and recurring pharmacy/disposal consumables.

Controlled Substance Compliance $15K/yr

[#11] Regulatory compliance, audits, and hazardous/pharmaceutical waste removal for controlled mnestics.

Irb And Human Subjects $15K/yr

[#16] IRB-equivalent protocol reviews, monitoring, and human-subjects administration.

Data Licenses Storage $15K/yr

[#20] Secure encrypted storage, backup, and software licenses for imaging/analysis (MATLAB/SPM/FSL/cloud).

Training Refreshers $5K/yr

[#22] Annual memetic-awareness and protocol refresher training.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr

90.0% probability / year

Normal uneventful year: clinic and modest research operations run as planned with routine administration of voluntary amnestics and scheduled research activities.

routine_administrations scheduled_research_activity

🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

Single-subject adverse reaction or small regulatory inspection requiring extra medical, legal, and PR response.

adverse_reaction regulatory_investigation

🚨 Major Breach $4.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

Widespread exposure or high-profile public revelation requiring mass response, emergency procurement, litigation and large-scale PR containment.

widespread_public_exposure multiple_adverse_events

👥 Personnel 13 total

Role	Count	Notes
Neurologist / PI	1	[#12] Lead clinical/research neurologist for administration and oversight.
Psychiatrist	1	[#12] Psychiatric oversight for amnestic administration and mental health follow-up.
Clinical Pharmacist	1	[#12] Pharmacy oversight, controlled-substance management and compounding oversight.
Nurse / Clinical Technician	2	[#12, #17] Administration, observation, vitals monitoring and consumables handling.
Research Scientist	2	[#13] Neuroscience researchers conducting mapping and analysis.
Postdoctoral Researcher	1	[#13] Hands-on research and data analysis support.
Data Scientist / Analyst	1	[#13, #20] Imaging and data processing, software license usage.
MRI Technician	1	[#13, #4] If imaging performed in-house; otherwise role may be outsourced.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	[#14] Basic OPSEC, controlled-substance security and confidentiality enforcement.
Administrative Staff	1	[#16, #15] Scheduling, IRB/admin support, and legal/ethics coordination.

📋 Confidence Notes

Line items and ranges are well identified, but major uncertainties remain around whether the Foundation purchases an MRI vs outsourcing, the complexity of Class‑Y mnestic R&D and per-dose costs, and the chosen operational posture (minimal vs research-intensive). These variables create order-of-magnitude variance.

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