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SCP-9986 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-9986
Expected annual
$308K
One-time setup
$629K
Annual recurring
$304K
Personnel
2
First-year (one-time) setup and initial research estimated at about $616k driven by lab fit-out, initial chemical analysis, equipment and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are about $304k driven by staff wages, ongoing research, security, legal/insurance, and medical monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $629K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $162K
[#7] Initial chemical analysis and characterization program (contracted lab work and/or in-house instrumentation + ~0.5–1 FTE chemist) for 6–12 months.
Destruction Contingency Reserve $150K
[#23] One-time emergency reserve for extraordinary destruction/disposal measures, specialized incineration or high-energy processing and associated environmental/legal work.
Equipment $90K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #16, #17, #18, #19] Access-control hardware, CCTV install, trackers (32 units + base station), spill trays and sealed containers, initial LIMS/IT/inventory hardware, containment glovebox/wet-chem hood, secure transport cases, emergency medical equipment.
Public Recovery Contingency Reserve $85K
[#21] One-time contingency reserve for forensic containment / public recovery operations if a can leaves the facility.
Facilities $80K
[#1] Dedicated laboratory fit-out at Site-1908: secure cabinet/cage, bench, HVAC/electrical upgrades, CCTV/access mounting, signage.
Misc One Time Contingency $30K
[#25] One-time contingency portion of miscellaneous/unforeseen costs (10–20% guidance split between one-time and recurring).
Inventory And Database Initial $12K
[#16] Initial IT/LIMS setup costs to track fill status, consumption logs, allowed-users, chain-of-custody integration.
Sop Development Initial $10K
[#11] Initial SOP development, memetic awareness materials, training program setup and certification sign-off drafting (one-time portion).
Legal And Cover Story Initial $9K
[#14] One-time legal/policy drafting, liability waiver templates, initial cover-story/communications setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $304K/yr
Staff Wages $70K/yr
[#12] Combined salaries + benefits for 0.5–1 FTE lab technician (inventory/maintenance/supervision) and a part-time containment officer for audits.
Research And Monitoring $50K/yr
[#8] Ongoing research, reagents, instrument maintenance, follow-up experiments and incremental studies.
Site Security Allocation $38K/yr
[#13] Pro-rated share of site security / rapid response team allocation and specialized training for memetic incidents.
Insurance And Liability Reserves $30K/yr
[#15] Increased insurance premiums or reserve fund to cover lawsuits or psychological harm claims.
Misc Recurring Contingency $30K/yr
[#25] Recurring contingency portion for unforeseen operational costs, overtime, or additional legal/research needs.
Cover Story And Legal $24K/yr
[#14] Ongoing legal/compliance, FOIA/PR handling, modest cover-story management and communications resources.
Addiction Monitoring And Treatment $15K/yr
[#10] Education, monitoring programs and a treatment fund for staff who develop compulsive/impairing use.
Supplies And Consumables $9K/yr
[#5, #6, #17, #19] Annual replenishment of spill kits/secondary containment consumables, PPE and handling disposables, containment neutralization consumables, emergency medical restocking/first-aid supplies.
Administrative Overhead $8K/yr
[#24] Pro-rated procurement, auditing and reporting administrative burden.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#18] Routine secure transfer costs (assumed ~2 transfers/year at ~$3,000 per transfer average).
Medical Screening And Mental Health $6K/yr
[#9] Baseline and periodic psychological evaluations, post-exposure assessments, counseling for staff allowed to ingest SCP-9986-1.
Data Records Retention $6K/yr
[#20] Secure storage, encryption, backups and audits for consumption logs and sensitive psychological records.
Long Term Storage Archiving $4K/yr
[#22] Periodic inspections and vaulting costs if cans are retired or moved to deep storage.
Cctv And Tamper Monitoring $3K/yr
[#3] Video storage, periodic review, tamper sensor maintenance and system upkeep.
Annual Recertification Training $2K/yr
[#11] Annual refresher training sessions, memetic-awareness drills and certification delivery costs.
Inventory Database Maintenance $2K/yr
[#16] Annual maintenance, hosting and integration support for LIMS/inventory systems.
Access Control Maintenance $1K/yr
[#2] Maintenance, software licenses and annual support for badge readers, timed locks and access logging.
Tracking Telemetry Maintenance $600/yr
[#4] Battery replacements, spare parts and telemetry service for 32 trackers.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $304K/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents; includes ongoing research, maintenance, staff wages, security and legal/insurance costs.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $329K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small containment incident or localized contamination (e.g., small spill, limited unauthorized handling) requiring cleanup, medical checks, limited legal/admin work.
small_spill unauthorized_short-term_access limited_medical_followup
🚨 Major Breach $504K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Significant loss/diversion of one or more cans into the public domain requiring forensic recovery, large contingency activation, legal action and replacement/disposal efforts.
public_diversion forensic_recovery_operation large_scale_legal_response
🚨 Public Exposure $454K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Media/political exposure or FOIA-triggered external scrutiny requiring sustained legal/PR response, expanded medical/monitoring payouts and potential compensation.
media_exposure FOIA_or_public_investigation external_litigation_pressure
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Laboratory Technician 1 [#12] 0.5–1 FTE equivalent; manages inventory, maintenance, logging and supervises permitted usage (covered in staff_wages).
Containment Officer / Auditor 1 [#12] Part-time containment officer for audits and access oversight (pro-rated in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and reasonable assumptions for transfer frequency and contingency splits; detailed line-item ranges exist but some items (frequency of transfers, probability of breaches, split of misc contingency) required analyst judgment, so confidence is medium.
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