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SCP-9989 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-9989
Expected annual
$7.1M
One-time setup
$56.6M
Annual recurring
$6.7M
Personnel
31
One-time capital costs are large (~$56.6M) driven primarily by potential vessel acquisition, deep-ROV purchases/upgrades and cable/installation; recurring operations run roughly $6.67M/year driven by vessel crewing/operations, biannual cruises and monitoring/IT/analysis staff.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $56.6M
Vessel Acquisition $24.0M
[#1] Purchase or full retrofit of Foundation research vessel 'Merina' (capital acquisition/retrofit).
Equipment $11.2M
[#4, #6, #13] Purchase/retrofit of YG-0 (T-Class) and heavy work-class ROV purchase; surface relay buoys and comms hardware (one-time purchases).
Facilities $10.5M
[#14] Cable/tether or undersea fiber installation (structural/infrastructure work).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.9M
[#8, #10, #15, #23, #24] Kira.aic development/deployment hardware, initial archival system purchase, laboratory upgrades/containment equipment, initial training costs and initial consumables/stockpile.
Yg0 Upgrade $3.2M
[#26] Upgrade/replacement program to increase YG-0 operational depth or autonomy (one-time upgrade program).
Neutralization Contingency One Time $2.5M
[#19] Initial one-time allocation for neutralization/mitigation R&D contingency (scoped conservatively; neutralization may scale much higher).
Emergency Reserve $1.0M
[#18] Contingency reserve (one-time set-aside) for rapid recoveries, salvage and replacement.
Mapping Survey Campaign $350K
[#17] Initial comprehensive mapping/sonar/survey campaign to locate anchor and lower chain prior to major operations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.7M/yr
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#2, #11, #12] Vessel crew salaries (dedicated crew kept available), analytical research team salaries, and AI/robotics/electronics support staff (engineers, pilots).
Logistics And Transport $1.6M/yr
[#3, #21] Bi-annual deployment/cruise mission costs (fuel, port calls, contractor days, helicopter/transfer) and routine permits/port fees/international routing costs.
Program Overhead $870K/yr
[#28] Program overhead, contingency margin and administrative reserves (15% applied to baseline recurring budget as an operational margin per note).
Research And Monitoring $555K/yr
[#7, #8, #10, #16, #22, #25] SATCOM bandwidth and secure links; Kira.aic updates/licenses; long-term data storage operations; genomics/histology/contract analyses; environmental monitoring; audio forensics/ML tuning.
Cover Story And Legal $425K/yr
[#20, #27] Annual cover story, legal counsel, shell entity maintenance, payments to local authorities and PR/retainer costs for covert incident response.
Facilities Maintenance $412K/yr
[#2, #6, #9] Vessel maintenance/drydock pro-rata and maintenance of surface relay/comms hardware; Site-110 server/rackspace/IT infrastructure maintenance and electricity.
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#5, #15, #23, #24] YG-0 maintenance, spare parts and batteries; laboratory consumables and cryostorage consumables; recurring training refreshes and replenishment of spares stockpile.
Emergency Fund Replenishment $275K/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment of emergency response & salvage fund (recurring replenishment to maintain reserve).
Heavy Rov Operation $0/yr
[#13] Deep-workclass ROV/AUV day-rate costs when deployed (high per-day costs). Baseline assumes not routinely deployed; cost reserved for incident/operation scenarios.
Neutralization R And D Recurring $0/yr
[#19] Ongoing neutralization/mitigation R&D expense if a prolonged program is authorized; baseline assumes no prolonged neutralization campaign.
Mapping Surveys Per Year $0/yr
[#17] Additional full survey campaigns beyond initial one-time campaign; baseline assumes occasional ad-hoc surveys are budgeted into logistics or one-time funds.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.7M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled monitoring, two maintenance cruises, routine maintenance and staff operations; no major incidents.
scheduled_monitoring routine_maintenance no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $7.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Loss/damage of YG-0 or major subcomponent failure requiring emergency salvage, temporary replacement hardware and contractor surge.
YG-0_loss equipment_damage urgent_salvage
🚨 Major Recovery Operation $16.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Serious incident (e.g., DSV loss, crew fatalities, or decision to deploy heavy ROVs/tethering and begin neutralization R&D) requiring large one-off expenditures.
crew_casualty deep_salvage_operation neutralization_program_start
🚨 Public Exposure Response $7.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Civilian discovery or media exposure requiring rapid PR/legal takedown, misinformation campaigns, and incident response.
media_exposure civilian_discovery legal_challenges
👥 Personnel 31 total
Role Count Notes
Vessel Crew / Deckhands 16 Dedicated crew for Merina operations and mission support (item #2).
Research Scientist 6 Lead researcher, research assistants, marine biologists, linguist, data scientists (item #11).
Engineer / Maintenance 4 AI/robotics, electronics, ROV maintenance and on-call engineers (item #12).
IT / AI Operations 2 Sysadmin and ML/AI ops for Kira.aic and Site-110 servers (items #8, #9).
Administrative Staff 2 Project management, permits and logistics administration (items #21, #28).
Medical Officer 1 Medical support for vessel/DSV operations and emergency response.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst ranges in the notes and typical maritime/IT cost structures; many items (vessel purchase, neutralization, deep-ROV needs) have wide ranges and scenario-dependent costs, reducing confidence to medium.
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