SCP-1049 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1049
Expected annual
$860K
One-time setup
$605K
Annual recurring
$846K
Personnel
8
One-time setup costs are modest (~$605k) for containment, retrieval and initial research; the dominant ongoing cost is personnel/security plus research and legal/cover operations at ~$846k/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $605K
Initial Legal Cover $175K
[#19] Initial legal/cover-story / family handling / scene management outlays (one-time initial costs, midrange).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#14] Initial investigative research package (imaging, sequencing, histology, behavioral observation equipment) as a one-time research seed.
Contingency One Time $100K
[#24] One-time contingency/reserve (portion of recommended 10–25% first-year allowance).
Initial Retrieval Operation $90K
[#18] Field retrieval/recovery operation (international capture, travel, charter, covert recovery) - midrange estimate.
Facilities $76K
[#1, #2, #23] Aviary construction, room integration/secure mounting, and decommissioning/relocation reserve (sums of midrange estimates).
Equipment $24K
[#3, #4, #5, #11, #17] Surveillance/camera setup, environmental/furnishing hardware, tether/feeder systems, initial PPE kit, and incident response crate/kit (initial equipment purchases).
Initial Training And Sop $12K
[#10] Initial staff certification, SOP development and drills (one-time training/setup costs).
Initial Veterinary $2K
[#7] Initial quarantine health screen and initial vet setup (midrange estimate).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $846K/yr
Staff Wages $388K/yr
[#8, #9] Dedicated on-site animal technician (1 FTE) and security staffing (6 guards + supervisor) salaries + benefits (midrange totals).
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#20] Facility overhead allocation including utilities, janitorial, HR/payroll share and building maintenance (institutional overhead allocation).
Research And Monitoring $138K/yr
[#15, #16] Ongoing research program budget plus typical annual imaging/diagnostics usage (annual research + per‑use imaging budget combined).
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#19, #21] Recurring legal retainer/cover-story follow-ups plus insurance/liability/risk management retainer costs (annual combined).
Contingency Recurring $50K/yr
[#24] Recurring contingency allowance (annual reserve for unexpected anomalous behavior or emergency upgrades).
Intelligence Monitoring $30K/yr
[#22] Periodic checks, witness monitoring, online/field anti-disclosure operations and discrete investigations near origin region.
Medical Readiness $10K/yr
[#12] Annual contracts/retainers for emergency evacuation, trauma management, rapid neuroimaging access, and readiness funds.
Veterinary Care $6K/yr
[#7] Annual veterinary care (periodic exams, parasite control, emergency care, sedation supplies).
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#6, #11] Live food supply (insects/week + occasional small mammals) and PPE consumable replenishment (midrange annual estimates).
Biohazard Handling And Disposal $4K/yr
[#13] Waste contract, sterilization, regulated tissue disposal and lab consumables for pellet/forensic processing.
Training Recurring $4K/yr
[#10] Annual refresher training, quarterly drills and SOP recertification.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#17] Incident response kit maintenance, transport crate/service readiness and vehicle readiness for emergency transfer (annual maintenance).
Surveillance And Monitoring $600/yr
[#3] Surveillance bandwidth, uptime monitoring and basic camera maintenance (annual recurring for remote monitoring).
Environmental Energy $300/yr
[#4] Annual energy costs for humidity/lighting control and small heater for aviary environment.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $846K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, staffing, research and overhead only.
routine_operations no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $936K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$90K vs baseline
Single personnel exposure or small containment incident requiring medical care, additional imaging and modest legal/PR activity.
single_personnel_casualty targeted_medical_response localized_cover_actions
🚨 Major Breach $1.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or multiple casualties requiring international retrieval, large legal/cover operation and emergency research/relocation.
enclosure_breach multiple_casualties covert_field_recovery
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Research findings necessitate accelerated spending: major equipment purchases, additional specialized staff and expanded studies.
research_scale_up specialized_equipment_purchase
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#9] Six guards to provide 24/7 coverage (two per shift across three shifts).
Security Supervisor 1 [#9] One shift supervisor/lead for the containment wing.
Animal Caretaker 1 [#8] Dedicated on-site animal technician / caretaker (1 FTE) for daily husbandry and liaison with veterinary staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling midpoint estimates, but significant uncertainty remains due to anomalous behaviour risks, variable legal/cover costs and retrieval complexity.
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