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SCP-1050 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1050
Expected annual
$14.7M
One-time setup
$6.9M
Annual recurring
$4.6M
Personnel
24
One-time containment and infrastructure upgrades are estimated at approximately $6.9M, with recurring annual costs around $4.64M; largest recurring drivers are staff wages, global telemetry partnerships, security and rapid-response logistics, while one-time drivers include specialized chamber construction, heavy-lift placement and contingency/reserve funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.9M
Existential Risk Planning $2.0M
[#30] One-time planning & modelling for catastrophic/extinction-level mitigation (conservative lower-bound planning estimate).
Facilities $1.4M
[#1, #2] Containment chamber construction and reinforced foundation for ~173 t obelisk (5×5×32 m shaft, reinforced concrete, blast door, anchoring and seismic isolation).
Equipment $1.3M
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #10, #16, #17] RF ceiling shielding, RF absorbers & load hardware, power infrastructure (UPS/generator), HVAC upgrades, telemetry hardware, CCTV/intrusion sensors, IT security hardware.
Contingency Reserve Fund $1.0M
[#25] One-time contingency/emergency mitigation reserve fund for unexpected repairs, shielding failures, mitigation upgrades.
Heavy Lift And Transport $750K
[#3] Heavy-lift recovery, crane rental, heavy haul permits, route prep and placement of ~170 t obelisk (one-time if relocation required).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#15, #27] Forensic/materials research program start-up and archival digitization setup (SEM/TEM access, scanning/forensic imaging).
Classified Vault Setup $50K
[#14] Secure classified document storage setup: climate-controlled, fireproof vaults and archival boxes.
Cover Operations Setup $50K
[#18] One-time setup costs for shell entities and initial legal agreements to support cover operations.
Evidence Destruction Setup $40K
[#20] On-site secure incinerator/shredder and secure data-wiping appliances acquisition.
Regulatory Compliance Setup $20K
[#29] Permits and initial regulatory/environmental compliance costs for construction and hazardous-waste handling.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#8, #9] Security staffing (24/7 shifts, 12 security + supervisors) and on-site scientific & technical staffing (researchers, RF engineers, site techs, watch technicians).
Logistics And Transport $750K/yr
[#12, #21, #28] Rapid-response field operations (MTF missions), global logistics for confiscated items (armored transport, airfreight), and travel/liaison budgets for observatories/archives.
Research And Monitoring $680K/yr
[#10, #11, #15, #23] Remote telemetry storage/maintenance, global radio telescope access/partnerships, ongoing forensic/materials research, conservation and routine obelisk maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $550K/yr
[#18, #19] Ongoing cover operations, legal counsel, covert influence/liaison budgets and public relations/misinformation campaigns.
Facilities Maintenance $225K/yr
[#24, #26] Replacement & repair budget for shielding/RF absorber materials and facility operations/overhead allocation (utilities, janitorial, site management).
Contingency Replenishment $200K/yr
[#25] Recommended annual replenishment target for contingency/emergency mitigation reserve.
Evidence Destruction Ops $100K/yr
[#20] Operating budget for secure incineration, shredding and secure data-wiping operations.
Training And Drills $75K/yr
[#22] Ongoing training, certifications and periodic drills (MTF, site staff, medical, memetic safety).
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#13] Amnestic pharmaceuticals, medical support supplies and related consumables.
Rf Absorber Maintenance $50K/yr
[#5] Annual maintenance, cooling and replacement for RF absorbers and active dissipation hardware.
Hvac Energy And Maintenance $40K/yr
[#7] Energy and routine maintenance for HVAC sized to RF heat loads and climate control.
It Security Operations $40K/yr
[#17] IT security operations, incident response, secure deletion/redaction toolchains and pentesting.
Power Fuel And Maintenance $25K/yr
[#6] Fuel contracts, generator maintenance and UPS servicing to support shielding and dissipation equipment.
Archival Storage And Maintenance $20K/yr
[#27] Secure storage, air-gapped backups and maintenance for digitized SCP-1050-2 replicas.
Cctv And Sensor Maintenance $15K/yr
[#16] Maintenance of high-resolution cameras, fiber-optic intrusion lines, load cells, tilt and vibration sensors.
Regulatory Compliance $10K/yr
[#29] Ongoing permits, reporting and hazardous-waste compliance costs.
Classified Vault Maintenance $10K/yr
[#14] Annual maintenance and climate control costs for classified document storage.
Existential Program Maintenance $0/yr
[#30] Placeholder for recurring costs if an ongoing global existential-risk program is maintained (not budgeted in baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.6M/yr
87.9% probability / year
Normal operational year with planned staffing, telemetry access, scheduled training, maintenance and routine rapid-response ops accounted for.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance planned_MTF_ops
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Unplanned additional field recoveries or localized containment work requiring extra rapid-response ops, legal/PR activity and logistics beyond baseline assumptions.
unexpected_detection additional_seizure_ops localized_legal_pushback
🚨 Major Breach $7.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Containment hardware failure or high-power RF event causing shielding damage, requiring emergency repairs, replacement of absorbers/load banks and significant remediation/PR.
shielding_failure high_power_emission facility_damage
🚨 Catastrophic Event $10.0B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$10.0B vs baseline
Existential-level detection or event requiring planetary-scale mitigation, international coordination, and multi-billion-dollar response beyond normal containment.
existential_threat large_scale_emission international_mobilization
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#8] 24/7 security coverage across multiple shifts; cost estimate derived from ~12 officers at ~$55k fully loaded each.
Site Security Supervisor 2 [#8] Supervisory staff for security shifts and rovers.
Research Scientist 4 [#9, #15] Stone/conservation specialists and research staff for ongoing materials/forensic programs.
RF Engineer 2 [#9, #5] RF engineering staff to manage shielding, absorbers and spectrum monitoring.
Site Technician / Watch Technician 2 [#9, #16] 24/7 watch technicians and site techs to monitor sensors and run immediate tests.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#26] Overall site management and executive oversight included in overhead allocation.
Administrative Staff 1 [#18, #26] Administrative/liaison support for legal, cover and logistics coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and ranges, enabling a mid-confidence budget. Significant uncertainty remains due to redacted/unknown emission power, possible material differences in the obelisk, and low-probability high-impact scenarios that could change costs by orders of magnitude.
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