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SCP-1057 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1057
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$9.1M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
12
Initial capital/setup is approximately $9.14M driven primarily by construction of the reinforced aquarium and major equipment; annual operating costs are roughly $2.18M driven by staff wages, energy, research, and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.1M
Facilities $6.0M
[#1] Reinforced aquarium tank construction, foundation, framing, viewing ports, berms, access hatches and seismic/failure engineering.
Equipment $1.6M
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #11, #12, #15, #17, #18] RLSS hardware, chillers/heaters HVAC installs, UV lamp arrays, initial habitat scaping hardware, physical security hardware, CCTV & sensors, walk-in freezer and injector rigs, diver/ROV capital, remote/robotic manipulators.
Decommissioning Reserve $1.0M
[#29] Reserve for major refurbishment/decommissioning (amortized set-aside).
Contingency And Emergency Systems $250K
[#23] Backup generator, ATS, UPS, and spare-parts inventory capital.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $175K
[#4, #19] Initial synthetic seawater fill logistics and experimental instrumentation / research lab startup gear.
Communications And Security $60K
[#28] One-time deployment of secure networks, encrypted comms and hardened storage.
Retrieval And Acquisition $50K
[#25] Initial recovery, emergency response and covert transport costs from acquisition.
Legal Setup $30K
[#22] Initial legal/permits/cover-story setup costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $845K/yr
[#7, #8, #10] Aquarists/technicians, research scientists/techs, and security guards/supervisor payroll (incl. typical benefits bundled into the line-item estimates).
Research And Monitoring $330K/yr
[#19, #26] Ongoing experimental consumables, calibration, long-term research program funding and external collaborations/grants.
Personnel Overheads $210K/yr
[#27] HR, payroll, background checks, benefits and overheads (approx. 20–30% of payroll).
Supplies And Consumables $185K/yr
[#6, #13, #14, #17, #20, #21, #30] Vegetation replacement and tooling, fluorescent dyes/tracers, feeding stock, PPE replacement, analytical consumables, wastewater treatment/disposal, miscellaneous facility consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#22] Annual insurance, legal counsel, regulatory compliance and cover-story / record maintenance budgets.
Energy Consumption $150K/yr
[#9] Electricity for pumps, chillers, lighting and HVAC for continuous 24/7 systems.
Veterinary And Pathology $120K/yr
[#16] Contract veterinary/pathology support, diagnostics, and on-call emergency medical response for staff incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $118K/yr
[#2, #3, #5, #11, #12, #15, #18] RLSS parts & service, HVAC/chiller service, UV lamp maintenance, security/hardware maintenance, CCTV storage & maintenance, freezer/service, remote/robotic maintenance.
Communications And Security Ops $30K/yr
[#28] Ongoing secure network operations, encrypted comms subscriptions and maintenance.
Contingency Fuel And Testing $25K/yr
[#23] Annual fuel, generator testing and small spare-part replenishment.
Training And Drills $15K/yr
[#24] Regular staff training, SOP development and emergency drills.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled operations, maintenance, and research activity but no major incidents.
routine maintenance scheduled research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure (pump/chiller/RLSS component) requiring emergency replacement and overtime; short downtime but no tank breach.
RLSS pump/chiller failure short unplanned maintenance
🚨 Major Breach $5.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic containment failure or large structural damage to the tank requiring major repairs or partial replacement, extensive decontamination and prolonged downtime.
structural failure catastrophic RLSS/HVAC failure leading to water loss
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant positive scientific result prompting rapid expansion of experiments, additional instrumentation, and temporary scale-up of operations.
unexpected reproducible phenomenon external collaboration/scale-up demands
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Aquarist / Technician 2 [#7] Full-time certified aquarists to operate life-support, feedings and vegetation maintenance.
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Senior researchers overseeing experiments and anomalous behavior studies.
Research Technician 1 [#8] Supporting graduate-level staff/technician for experiments and sample processing.
Security Officer 6 [#10] On-site guards across three shifts for 24/7 perimeter and access control.
Security Supervisor 1 [#10] Senior supervisory role for security operations and alarm monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are well-specified with ranges and clear drivers (tank, RLSS, staff), giving reasonable confidence; however capital and incident costs have wide ranges and site-specific factors (local power rates, materials, regulatory regimes) introduce uncertainty.
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