SCP-115 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-115
Expected annual
$611K
One-time setup
$763K
Annual recurring
$594K
Personnel
3.5
One-time capital and site-preparation costs are roughly $760k–$800k driven by reinforced foundations, test corridor construction, and contingency for scaling; annual operating costs are roughly $590k/yr driven by dedicated staff, heavy-lift transport rentals, fuel, insurance reserves, and repair/legal contingencies.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $763K
Facilities $310K
[#1, #4, #9] Reinforced concrete pad/foundation ($150,000), geotechnical/site assessment ($10,000), and reinforced test corridor/berm ($150,000).
Capital Scaling Contingency $200K
[#23] One-time contingency for scaling/sale/expansion of equipment (1–3x capital budget contingency).
Insurance Reserve $100K
[#19] Initial insurance/liability reserve set aside as a one-time contingency fund.
Equipment $95K
[#2, #3, #5, #11, #12, #15] Fabricated steel cradle/anchoring and transport interface ($30,000), note on optional purchase of heavy-lift equipment (purchase cost $500k–$2M) referenced but not included here, diesel storage tank and secondary containment ($20,000), remote-control consoles and sensors one-time portion ($30,000), fuel-handling safety systems one-time portion ($10,000), surveillance/safe/CCTV one-time ($5,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $40K
[#14] Analytical/diagnostic equipment purchase or contracting setup (laboratory equipment or initial contracting) estimated at $40,000.
Training And Sop Development $10K
[#21] One-time SOP development and initial training program development costs.
Environmental Permits Initial $8K
[#6] Initial environmental compliance permits and initial compliance audit (one-time portion).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $594K/yr
Staff Wages $230K/yr
[#7] Incremental dedicated personnel: 0.5 FTE senior researcher + 1.0 FTE technician + 2 guards (combined incremental salary & benefits).
Heavy Lift Transports $60K/yr
[#3] Rental of 100-ton-class cranes / multi-axle transport and certified crews for moves: assumed ~4 full-day moves/tests per year at ~$15,000 per move (rental + crew + permits). Purchase alternative ($500k–$2M) noted but not assumed.
Structural Repair Reserve $50K/yr
[#10] Annual contingency fund for structural repairs and infrastructure damage from tests.
Insurance Reserve Recurring $50K/yr
[#19] Ongoing reserve contribution for uninsured contingency/liability exposure.
Scaling Contingency Recurring $50K/yr
[#23] Annual contingency reserve to enable scaled testing/procurement if a decision to expand is made.
Research And Monitoring $40K/yr
[#14] Ongoing analytical, diagnostic testing, and contracted lab-time (R&D) budget.
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#17] Baseline annual budget for legal, liaison and cover operations / PR suppression and witness management contingency.
Amnestics Budget $20K/yr
[#18] Budget set-aside for medical/amnestic supplies and administration if used.
Medic Emergency Coverage $16K/yr
[#8] Contracted medic/ambulance standby during tests (~$1,500/test day * 4) plus annual training/supplies.
Fuel Consumption $12K/yr
[#5] Diesel fuel consumption for SCP-115-1 for testing and relocations; estimate includes routine refueling based on moderate test frequency.
Incident Cleanup Reserve $10K/yr
[#22] Budget reserve for cleanup and hazardous-waste disposal per smaller incident expectations.
Inventory Admin $6K/yr
[#16] Administrative overhead for inventory control, documentation, and audit labor.
Training Ongoing $6K/yr
[#21] Ongoing training, drills and refresher SOP exercises.
Remote Systems Maintenance $5K/yr
[#11] Annual maintenance and support for redundant remote-control consoles, telemetry and fail-safes.
Archival Storage $5K/yr
[#20] Long-term research archival storage, data retention and sample preservation.
Environmental Compliance $3K/yr
[#6] Annual permitting renewals, monitoring and reporting costs.
Minor Admin Utilities $3K/yr
[#24] Electricity for monitoring, extra utilities, janitorial, and small office supplies.
Fuel System Maintenance $2K/yr
[#12] Maintenance for fuel-handling safety systems and leak detection.
Surveillance Maintenance $1K/yr
[#15] CCTV, secure storage audits and logging software maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $500/yr
[#13] Small consumables (controller batteries, PPE, small supplies) <$500/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $594K/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing frequency, regular maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_tests scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $654K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Small-scale incident such as a localized diesel spill, minor structural damage or single-witness exposure requiring cleanup and limited legal/amnestic action.
small_diesel_spill minor_collision limited_witness_management
🚨 Major Breach $994K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Major containment/operation accident causing structural collapse, large-scale spill, many witnesses, and significant legal/repair/amnestic costs.
site_infrastructure_collapse large_scale_spill multiple_witnesses
👥 Personnel 3.5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Level-3) 0.5 [#7] Oversight: 0.25–1.0 FTE; modeled as 0.5 FTE here and included in staff_wages.
Technician / Operator 1.0 [#7] Technical operations and test support; 1.0 FTE included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2.0 [#7] On-site security presence to control access; 2 guards included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide itemized ranges for almost every cost, so line-item estimates are reasonably well defined but test frequency and incident rates are uncertain, producing moderate overall confidence.
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