SCP-1291 — SCP-1291 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1291 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-1291

Expected annual

$2.7M

One-time setup

$14.5M

Annual recurring

$2.6M

Personnel

One-time capital and buildout costs are dominated by a potential BSL-4 build and specialized refrigeration/robotics; recurring costs are driven by high-security staffing, BSL-4 access/ research, and ongoing maintenance for continuous cooling and monitoring.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.5M

Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.2M

[#12, #17, #18] Autoclave/sterilization installation, optional/new BSL-4 laboratory buildout (capital option), and specialized research instrumentation initial purchases.

Equipment $2.4M

[#2, #3, #4, #6, #8, #10, #19] Industrial Class‑4 refrigeration chamber, redundant chillers/HVAC upgrades, generator capital equipment, thermally insulated wheelchair, remote monitoring hardware, heavy-duty robotic manipulators, temperature-controlled/armored transport vehicle.

Facilities $2.0M

[#1] Site purchase/lease and construction of a small secure compound with perimeter fencing, controlled entry and admin spaces.

Emergency Contingency Reserve $1.0M

[#27] Initial rapid-response / escalation reserve recommended for large-scale decontamination, evacuation or neutralization.

Indemnity Initial Reserve $500K

[#23] Initial confidentiality/compensation/indemnity reserve for potential personnel impact, buyouts and settlements.

Video Redaction Development $125K

[#9] Development/acquisition of automated eye-exclusion/redaction software and hardened storage development costs (initial development/acquisition).

Cybersecurity Initial $125K

[#21] Hardened access controls, video redaction enforcement systems and initial cybersecurity hardening (capital/implementation).

Ash Filtration Install $50K

[#13] Installation of HEPA/particulate filtration, negative-pressure layers and initial monitoring equipment for ash/particulate control.

Training Initial $50K

[#20] Initial SOP development, emergency drill setup and staff training materials.

Record Keeping Initial $30K

[#30] Secure, tamper-evident initial archive setup and cold-storage for biological samples.

Ppe Initial Kit $20K

[#11] Initial full-body encapsulating suits, heat‑tolerant gloves and specimen handling starter kit.

Ocular Masking System $2K

[#7] Physical blindfolds, tamper-resistant fixtures and initial testing/spares purchase.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr

Staff Wages $950K/yr

[#15, #16] Security staffing (24/7 guards + escalation team) and containment technical staff salaries (operators/technicians).

Research And Monitoring $788K/yr

[#14, #17, #18, #29, #30] Clinical surveillance/occupational health, contracted BSL-4 access fees for pathology, research consumables, environmental/community monitoring, and archival/long-term storage costs.

Cover Story And Legal $475K/yr

[#22, #23, #24] Legal/PR and cover-story budget, recurring indemnity/compensation pool contributions, and specialized insurance/liability premiums.

Logistics And Transport $100K/yr

[#19] Armored/insulated vehicle escort costs, vehicle maintenance and security transport operations.

Psychological Care $100K/yr

[#14, #28] Baseline psychological care, counseling and post-exposure/end-of-service handling costs.

Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr

[#3, #4, #25] Preventive maintenance for chillers/HVAC, generator servicing and routine site/equipment maintenance contracts.

Supplies And Consumables $48K/yr

[#11, #12, #13, #26, #7] PPE replacement/disposal, TSDF waste disposal contracts, filter replacements/monitoring, per‑incident disposal surge, and ocular/spare items.

It And Software Maintenance $42K/yr

[#9, #21] Ongoing maintenance for video redaction/automated eye-exclusion software and cybersecurity system upkeep.

Fuel Contract $40K/yr

[#5] Continuous diesel fuel contract and generator fuel for backup power.

Training Recurring $10K/yr

[#20] Recurring training refreshers and periodic emergency drills.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr

87.5% probability / year

Normal year with no containment incidents; routine operations, scheduled maintenance, contracted research access and regular staffing.

normal_operations contracted_research scheduled_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Small containment lapse or localized ash/particulate event requiring targeted decon, additional medical screening and small legal/compensation actions.

localized_ash_spread single-person_contact_incident

🚨 Major Breach $3.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Significant containment failure requiring facility lockdown, large-scale decontamination, mass testing, temporary relocation and major equipment replacement/repairs.

containment_system_failure extended_power_loss procedural_violation

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $12.6M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline

Facility loss or major community exposure causing litigation, major public-relations operation, rebuild or permanent relocation and long-term public-health responses.

widespread_exposure failed_neutralization public_discovery

👥 Personnel 13 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	8	[#15] 24/7 security staffing across three shifts, escalation/rapid response team.
Engineer / Maintenance / Containment Technician	5	[#16] Operators for robotics, chillers, monitoring equipment and routine technical maintenance.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling reasonable mid-point estimates, but uncertainty remains around incident frequency, ash-generation rates and the decision to build vs. contract BSL-4 capacity, so confidence is not high.

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