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SCP-1300 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1300
Expected annual
$6.1M
One-time setup
$3.6M
Annual recurring
$6.1M
Personnel
17
Initial one-time setup is moderate-to-high depending on existing infrastructure (~$3.6M in this estimate); main recurring drivers are staff wages, long-term research, and medical/legal/coverup costs (~$6.08M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.6M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#10, #14, #15] On-site analytical lab fitout, mass-spec/proteomics equipment and BSL fitout, and assay development / specialized assay campaign (combined midpoint estimate).
High Security Incinerator $900K
[#11] On-site high-security incinerator purchase (midpoint of $300k–$1.5M) if not using contract cremation.
Contingency Reserve Initial $500K
[#24] Initial contingency/hush fund reserve (pragmatic substitute for unavailable insurance; midpoint).
Equipment $375K
[#2, #3, #4, #18, #20] Dedicated HVAC/controls ($100k), UPS/generator ($50k), security & access hardware ($40k), dedicated vehicle purchase ($100k), secure server/encryption setup ($85k) — one-time hardware/install costs (midpoints).
Facilities $150K
[#1] Reinforced 5m x 5m x 5m containment chamber construction (midpoint of $75k–$250k).
Training Sop Development $60K
[#19] Initial SOP development and training rollout ($20k–$100k).
Shell Infrastructure Setup $50K
[#23] Setup costs for shell companies / fake clinics / incorporation ($10k–$200k).
Emergency Stock $30K
[#17] Initial emergency medical stock ($10k–$50k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#5, #6, #7] Security staffing (8–12 guards) ~$700k, medical staffing (1 physician + 2 nurses/techs) ~$375k, research staff (3–5 scientists/techs) ~$525k — combined annual compensation (midpoints).
Long Term Research Program $1.5M/yr
[#25] Consolidated multi-year study budgets, postdoc/grad support, and expanded research (~$500k–$3M/yr; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $975K/yr
[#14, #15, #16] Ongoing sample analysis / per-sample assays (~$500k/yr), reagents/consumables (~$175k/yr), post-operative care/long-term monitoring program (~$300k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $325K/yr
[#13, #23] Legal expenses, covert-ops, PR/forgery/records obfuscation and ongoing shell bookkeeping (~$300k + shell ongoing ~$25k).
Supplies And Consumables $310K/yr
[#9, #12] Medical consumables per operation (assumed volume aggregated to ~$250k/yr) plus amnestic program overhead and per-administration costs (~$60k/yr).
Emergency Contingency Reserve $300K/yr
[#17] Annual contingency reserve for emergency transfers, ICU beds, unexpected adverse events (~midpoint).
Insurance Hush Fund Recurring $300K/yr
[#24] Ongoing reserve for settlements, payouts, or clandestine remedies (annualized portion).
D Class Or Consenting Program $250K/yr
[#8] Program costs for D-class housing/administration or consenting patient recruitment/compensation (midpoint ~$250k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $155K/yr
[#18] Per-transfer security/ambulance costs (assumed operations volume) plus vehicle maintenance (~$30k + per-trip costs aggregated).
Imaging Contracts And Maintenance $100K/yr
[#10] Contracted imaging/lab services per-session or maintenance/service contracts if equipment present (budgeted as ongoing imaging expense).
Ethical Oversight $90K/yr
[#22] Ethics committee, counseling, oversight costs (~$30k–$150k/yr).
It Hosting And Cybersecurity $60K/yr
[#20] Hosting, encrypted backups, IT staff/hosting costs (~$20k–$120k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #21] HVAC certification/maintenance, generator fuel & maintenance, security system monitoring/maintenance, routine chamber servicing (aggregate midpoint).
Biohazard Disposal $30K/yr
[#11] Contract incineration/biowaste disposal operational costs if using on-site incinerator or contract services (~$10k–$50k/yr).
Training And Recertification $30K/yr
[#19] Annual recertification and drills (~$10k–$50k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.1M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, scheduled procedures, and no major incidents.
scheduled_operations routine_research regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $6.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Single unexpected beta-state or surgical complication requiring emergency incineration, legal response, and extra medical/OT/overtime costs.
beta_state_activation_single_subject emergency_surgery/ICU localized PR/legal action
🚨 Major Breach $9.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Multi-subject fatal beta-state events or partial containment failure causing multiple incinerations, major investigation, facility repairs and heavy legal/coverup costs.
multiple_beta_state_casualties partial_containment_failure public_exposure
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#5] 8–12 full-time guards assumed (midpoint 10) to provide 24/7 coverage.
Research Scientist 4 [#7] 3–5 research staff (scientists/analysts/techs) included in research staffing estimate.
Medical Officer 1 [#6] At least one physician on-call or FTE for oversight.
Nurse / Medical Technician 2 [#6] 1–2 trained nurses/techs per experimental session reflected as 2 FTEs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment, staffing and equipment ranges are well-described in the notes; major uncertainty arises from assumed procedure volume, choice to purchase on-site imaging/incineration, and the scale of the long-term research program.
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