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SCP-1333 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1333
Expected annual
$12.8M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$12.4M
Personnel
25
One-time setup costs are moderate (~$2.23M) for secure facilities and equipment; ongoing annual operations are substantial (~$12.39M/yr) driven primarily by embedded operative programs, staff wages, contingency reserves, and legal/containment programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Facilities $1.6M
[#1, #2, #23] SCIF construction/retrofit and underground/shielded test-lab build-out plus integrated backup power/UPS installation (mid-range estimate of ranges provided).
Equipment $448K
[#3, #7, #8, #12, #14, #15, #16, #17] Climate-controlled vault cabinets, initial forensic/tooling licenses and workstations, initial network monitoring hardware/software, initial forensic sanitization stations, one-time shredder purchase, dedicated transport vehicle purchase, portable Faraday bag kits, and initial evidence/inventory system setup (midpoint sums).
Personnel Vetting Initial $75K
[#6] Initial background checks / polygraphs / reinvestigations for personnel with access (estimated per-person initial cost × estimated headcount).
Training And Sop Development Initial $65K
[#22] Initial curriculum and SOP development for staff and cooperating partners (one-time course design/buildout).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.4M/yr
Contingency Reserve $5.2M/yr
[#28] Containment scale-up contingency reserve for facility expansion, mass remediation and large-scale isolation if distribution is widespread.
Staff Wages $3.2M/yr
[#5, #7, #9] On-site security staffing (6 guards + supervisor) and digital forensics team salaries, plus embedded agent campaign wages (modest campaign midpoint applied).
Insurance And Reserve $1.1M/yr
[#25] Insurance/legal reserve and contingency fund for high-impact events (mid-range annual reserve).
Research And Monitoring $900K/yr
[#8, #18, #20] Ongoing network monitoring / detection ops, continuous market/app-store scanning, and R&D into detection/mitigation (annual operations and development).
Cover Story And Legal $575K/yr
[#10] Legal retainers, PR/cover-up operations, negotiation with carriers/refurbishers and takedown coordination (mid-range annual retainer).
Public Outreach And Lobbying $550K/yr
[#26] Covert influence, lobbying, and regulatory engagement budgets to reduce vector proliferation.
Remediation Buyout Fund $275K/yr
[#11] Annual fund to purchase suspect stock, reimburse partners/consumers, and upgrade refurbisher sanitization (midpoint contingency).
Psychological Support $175K/yr
[#21] Counseling, psychiatric care, and safe-house/respite support for affected civilians and staff (annual program reserve midpoint).
Incident Response Fund $100K/yr
[#19] Budgeted per-year reserve for rapid deployment costs (travel, temporary staffing, emergency quarantines) averaged across expected incidents.
Logistics And Transport $85K/yr
[#15] Annual program costs for secure transport, courier use, and shielded container operations (vehicle maintenance is in facilities_maintenance/equipment).
Audit And Redteam $60K/yr
[#24] Annual audits, compliance reviews and red-team penetration tests.
Supplies And Consumables $43K/yr
[#13, #27, #14] Prepaid/burn phones and test consumables, microSDs/plastic cases/tamper seals, and per-device outsourced disposal costs (recurring consumables and disposal).
Personnel Vetting And Clearances $31K/yr
[#6] Recurring renewals/reinvestigations and periodic polygraphs for staff with access (per-person renewal × estimated headcount).
Training And Sop Refresher $30K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher training for staff and cooperating partners.
Facilities Maintenance $21K/yr
[#4, #23] Ongoing SCIF/vault utilities, HVAC, monitoring and backup power maintenance.
Forensic Sanitization Maintenance $15K/yr
[#12] Ongoing maintenance/training/licenses for forensic sanitization and secure wiping stations.
Evidence System Licensing $10K/yr
[#17] Annual licensing/support for evidence packaging, tracking, and inventory management system.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.4M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, routine monitoring, occasional minor responses but no major outbreaks or large-scale remediation.
routine_monitoring minor_incidents_only no_widespread_outbreak
🚨 Minor Incident $12.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Localized discovery or small outbreak requiring targeted takedowns, modest remediation, and an incident deployment.
local_outbreak single-region_remediation
🚨 Major Outbreak $15.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Widespread discovery across refurbisher/carrier channels leading to mass remediation, buyouts, heavy legal/PR work and expanded detection ops.
nationwide_distribution mass_refurbisher_infection large-scale_remediation
🚨 Containment Scale Up $21.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$9.0M vs baseline
Severe exposure requiring facility expansion, large contingency activation, major increases in staffing and long-term mass isolation/storage.
widespread_dormant_copies_found global_refurbisher_exposure activation_of_scale-up_contingency
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#5] 2 guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 guards plus 1 supervisor; headcount reflected in security staffing wages.
Research Scientist / Digital Forensics Analyst 3 [#7] Forensic/malware analysts team (2–4 analysts; midpoint used) accounted for in staff_wages.
Embedded Agent / Operative 15 [#9] Embedded human assets in telecoms/refurbishers; modest campaign midpoint (10–20 placements) included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but large variances in prevalence (dormant copies in refurbish markets) and optional program scale (embedded agents, contingency activation) create substantial uncertainty in recurring costs.
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