SCP-1614 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1614
Expected annual
$468K
One-time setup
$535K
Annual recurring
$452K
Personnel
9
One-time capital and reserve expenses (~$535k) for secure storage, viewing room, and contingencies; annual operating costs primarily driven by staff wages, legal/opsec, forensic investigations, and contingency replenishment (~$451.7k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $535K
Low Probability High Impact Reserve $250K
[#26] Low-probability, high-impact legal/war-chest reserve for litigation, diplomatic issues, or covert operations if footage ties to criminal networks.
Opsec Emergency Reserve $100K
[#13] One-off emergency OPSEC/cover response reserve for takedowns, PR, and urgent suppression actions.
Contingency Reserve One Time $100K
[#21] One-time contingency / incident fund reserve for rare but costly responses (viewer-caused violence, major leaks, emergency containment).
Facilities $33K
[#1, #4] Secure personnel locker installation and build/refit of a secure supervised playback room (partitioning, access control, CCTV wiring, observation window, soundproofing, emergency kill-switch, furniture).
Equipment $21K
[#2, #5, #6, #16, #23] Industrial encrypted flash drives (primary + archival), CCTV/hardware for audit trail, initial archival media hardware, UPS/sensors and initial environmental sensors, and one-time data-integrity/HSM tooling.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $16K
[#3] Dedicated air-gapped forensic/playback workstation buildout, secure OS image and hardening, write-blocker and initial forensic tooling/licenses.
Sop Development $9K
[#19] One-time development of Standard Operating Procedures and initial staff training session costs.
Initial Legal Review $6K
[#12] One-off legal/compliance review and initial redaction/consent documentation review.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $452K/yr
Staff Wages $165K/yr
[#7, #8, #9] IT/cybersecurity partial FTE (provisioning, audits), PI allocation + research assistants, and part-time security escort staffing.
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#12, #13, #20] Recurring legal retainer/compliance counsel, ongoing OPSEC/cover operations budget, and legal support for incident response.
Contingency Replenishment $50K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment of the contingency/incident fund to maintain readiness for rare major events.
Network Forensics $30K/yr
[#15] Ongoing/network forensic investigations, cooperation costs with ISPs, legal fees for cross-border tracebacks and contractor work.
Insurance And Liability $30K/yr
[#20] Insurance reserve/retainer and liability budgeting to cover claims or settlements related to staff harm or third-party effects.
Experimental Budget $30K/yr
[#28] Low-frequency controlled playback experiments, participant compensation, IRB costs and specialized equipment for trials.
Research And Monitoring $20K/yr
[#14] Forensic video/frame analysis, metadata research, AI/ML analysis and contracting for specialist video forensics.
Psychological Services $20K/yr
[#10] Pre/post-viewing psychological screening, baseline assessments, and on-call counseling resources.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#9, #27] Per-session escort/transport costs for moving archival copies and escorting viewers; includes occasional overtime and secure transport shipping.
Supplies And Consumables $9K/yr
[#17, #18, #27] Chain-of-custody consumables (tamper-evident bags, forms), media/drive/tape purchases for recording/archives, and minor administrative consumables/shipping.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#5, #16, #4] Archival storage upkeep/archival storage hosting, environmental control and UPS maintenance, and routine playback room maintenance/CCTV archival upkeep.
Medical Emergency Readiness $6K/yr
[#11] On-call medical coverage, emergency equipment upkeep, and occasional per-session ambulance standby budget.
Public Safety Liaison $6K/yr
[#25] Coordination with local law enforcement and public safety liaison meetings, MOUs, and briefings.
Ethical Review $4K/yr
[#22] Institutional review board / ethics committee administrative costs and consent administration.
Training And Sop $3K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training and SOP updates for staff involved in playback and containment.
Data Integrity Services $2K/yr
[#23] HSM subscription/verification labor and periodic automated checksum verification services.
Archive Migration $1K/yr
[#6, #24] Averaged annual cost for periodic migration/refresh cycles of archived masters (LTO cycles averaged annually).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $452K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operating year with routine supervised playbacks, maintenance, and planned experiments; no major incidents or public exposure.
routine supervised viewing scheduled experiments no leaks or major legal actions
🚨 Minor Incident $502K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
A supervised viewing causes acute psychological harm to a staff member or a small internal leak requiring counseling, incident response and limited legal/PR action.
viewer psychological breakdown localized data leak small internal incident requiring counseling
🚨 Forensic Traceback Escalation $652K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Evidence suggests SCP-1614 is connected to real-world crimes or a private network, triggering extensive international network forensics and legal work.
file origin traced to external network cross-border legal cooperation required identification of related real-world victims/networks
🚨 Major Breach $1.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Wide public leak or exposure of SCP-1614 content leading to large-scale PR, legal action, payouts, and emergency containment/OPSEC operations.
public dissemination of the file evidence tying footage to criminal acts becoming public large-scale media or legal escalation
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (PI) 1 Dr. ██████ — authorized viewer and project lead; fractional FTE tracked in wages.
Research Assistant 2 Labor for playback, logging, analysis and experiment support; combined ~1.0 FTE in wages.
IT Specialist / Cybersecurity 1 Maintains air-gapped workstation, forensic imaging, integrity checks; part-time allocation reflected in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 Escort and secure viewing sessions; two-person minimum for transports/sessions (part-time allocation budgeted).
Medical Officer 1 On-call medical readiness for sessions; equipment/contract budgeted in medical_emergency_readiness.
Psychological Officer / Counselor 1 Performs pre/post screening and counseling; costs included under psychological_services.
Administrative Staff / Records 1 Manages custody records, scheduling, and consent documentation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a constrained estimate, but many items (legal, network forensics, contingency reserves) are highly variable and scenario-dependent, so uncertainty remains.
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