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SCP-1642 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1642
Expected annual
$467K
One-time setup
$544K
Annual recurring
$454K
Personnel
1.05
One-time setup and contingency funding dominate costs (secure locker, lab analysis, clinical protocol, isolation room, and a contingency reserve). Recurring annual costs are driven by legal/PR, ongoing research/monitoring, and staff wages.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $544K
Contingency Reserve $250K
[#25] One-time contingency reserve for large-scale remediation, litigation, or mass-exposure events.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $180K
[#8, #10, #23] Initial laboratory analysis, one-time portion of clinical protocol/setup, and archival packaging/duplication for control samples.
Facilities $66K
[#1, #11] Contains upgrade/installation of Containment Locker C243 and isolation/observation room build-out.
Investigative Research $30K
[#24] Small capital for provenance/origin investigation and limited field operations.
Equipment $11K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #13] Electronic access control, CCTV/tamper sensors install, environmental monitor hardware, initial inventory tagging hardware/software setup, and initial PPE procurement.
Sop Development $6K
[#21] One-time SOP development and procedure documentation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $454K/yr
Cover Story And Legal $144K/yr
[#19, #20] Legal/PR/cover-story budgets plus records retention, classified archive costs, and redaction/backup handling.
Research And Monitoring $128K/yr
[#9, #10, #22, #23] Follow-up testing and sample archiving, recurring costs for running human-subject studies (if authorized), analytical equipment calibration and lab overhead, and archival sample monitoring.
Staff Wages $82K/yr
[#6, #7, #12] Pro-rated security allocation, administrative access/clearance verification, and on-call medical staffing retainer.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#11, #4] Isolation room staffing/maintenance and environmental monitor power/maintenance plus general locker/location utilities upkeep.
Incident Response And Drills $22K/yr
[#17] Annual training, drills, equipment, and readiness for breaches/tamper incidents.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#14, #15] Secure transport/chain-of-custody transfers and occasional certified disposal/incineration fees.
Psychological Counseling $14K/yr
[#18] Counseling and follow-up for affected personnel/subjects (adolescent/adult specialists as needed).
Decontamination And Cleanup $13K/yr
[#16] Recurring costs for decontamination, area cleanup, HEPA vacuuming, and verification sampling (assumes multiple events/year).
Training And Sop Refresh $2K/yr
[#21] Recurring refresher training sessions for authorized personnel on SOPs and emergency handling.
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#13] PPE and consumables replenishment.
It And Video Retention $800/yr
[#3, #5] Video retention storage and software/license/IT support for inventory/auditing systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $454K/yr
89.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and occasional testing under existing controls.
routine_handling scheduled_testing regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $514K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Localized incident such as accidental ingestion by staff, a tamper attempt, or small unauthorized access requiring investigation, medical response, decontamination, and targeted PR/legal work.
unauthorized_access_attempt accidental_ingestion localized_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $2.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or mass-exposure event requiring large-scale medical response, litigation, extensive PR/cover-up operations, and potentially multi-site remediation.
mass_exposure public_exposure litigation
👥 Personnel 1.05 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.3 [#6] Pro-rated share of on-site security allocated to SCP-1642 containment (not a full dedicated guard).
Administrative Staff 0.25 [#7] Administrative clearance verification and access control processing (≈0.25 FTE).
Medical Officer / EMT (on-call) 0.5 [#12] Part-time/on-call medical retainer pro-rated for handling and tests.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are well-documented in analyst notes, but many entries are range-based (e.g., lab analysis depth, legal/PR exposure, human-subject studies) leading to moderate uncertainty in chosen point estimates.
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