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SCP-1652 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1652
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$406K
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
11
One-time setup costs are modest (~$405.5k) for a small rural site; recurring annual costs are dominated by security staffing, veterinary care, and a contingency reserve, totaling ~$1.39M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $406K
Equipment $154K
[#5, #6, #7, #9, #10, #11, #12, #17] Surveillance cameras/recorders, power hardware (solar + generator), access control/signage/lockboxes, purchase of 2 patrol vehicles, commercial mower, initial animal-capture kit, kennel/holding equipment, and initial PPE kit.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#14, #16] Initial research program and scientific instrumentation: lab setup, ballistic/DNA testing capability, acoustic/seismic instrumentation for monitoring and initial analytic tools.
Facilities $64K
[#2, #4] Fence installation (~$15k–$62k range) plus secure gate and a small on-site shelter/prefab building (~$10k–$40k). Estimate includes installation and basic site prep.
Incident Response Setup $25K
[#19] Standby team setup: training, emergency capture equipment, dedicated response vehicle outfitting and basic rapid-response kit.
Legal And Cover Setup $20K
[#18] Initial legal retention, permits, and cover-story setup (staged documents, front company setup) to establish plausible 'military training ground' cover.
Training Initial $20K
[#21] Initial training/certification costs for staff (animal handling, tranquilizers, firearms, first aid) across the team.
Land Acquisition Purchase $15K
[#1] One-time purchase estimate for ~0.7 acre parcel to secure site ownership and avoid public incursions.
Records Management Setup $8K
[#22] Initial secure records/communications setup, encrypted database installation, licensing and backup configuration.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $633K/yr
[#8, #15] Full 24/7 security staffing (6 guards + site supervisor) and research/scientific personnel (1–3 FTEs; modeled here as 2 FTEs) including benefits/overhead.
Contingency Reserve $300K/yr
[#24] Reserve fund equal to multiple months of operating budget to handle escalation (relocation, large-scale retrievals, extended research).
Veterinary Services $200K/yr
[#13] Recurring veterinary care (triage, surgeries, diagnostics, on-call vets). Mid-range estimate assuming regular treatment demand (2–6 animals/week scenario).
Research And Monitoring $131K/yr
[#6, #14, #16] Ongoing sample testing and lab work budget, cloud/storage and camera/thermal system maintenance, acoustic/seismic data processing and analyst labor.
Incident Response Recurring $25K/yr
[#19] Annual readiness costs: training refreshers, overtime pool for responses, consumables for retrievals, coordination with local authorities.
Cover Story And Legal $21K/yr
[#7, #18] Local liaison, permit fees, ongoing legal counsel, PR/cover maintenance and small local payments to sustain front/cover.
Supplies And Consumables $19K/yr
[#11, #17, #23] Consumable capture supplies (darts, sedatives, PPE replacements), kennel cleaning supplies, replacement camera parts, fuel/batteries, routine consumables.
Animal Holding Care $15K/yr
[#12] Short-term kennel care costs: food, bedding, cleaning, and kennel staff for triage/treatment before release.
Insurance And Liability $15K/yr
[#20] Annual insurance/payout reserve for accidental civilian injury, property damage, or liability claims.
Logistics And Transport $9K/yr
[#9] Vehicle operations: fuel, maintenance, insurance for 2 patrol/response vehicles; used for patrols and animal transport.
Training Recurring $8K/yr
[#21] Annual refresher courses and personnel recertification for handlers, security, and first-aid.
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#3, #4, #5] Annual fence inspection/repairs, on-site shelter utilities/maintenance, and power system (generator/fuel/solar maintenance) upkeep.
Landscaping And Mowing $4K/yr
[#10] Ongoing mowing/landscaping to keep grass ≤0.7 m (contract or in-house mower fuel/maintenance).
Records Management Recurring $3K/yr
[#22] Software licenses, backups, and secure communications costs per year.
Land Lease $1K/yr
[#1] Alternate to purchase: long-term lease option to mask Foundation ownership under a cover story (est. $500–$2,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with full 24/7 security, regular research, scheduled maintenance, and contingency contributions; no major incidents.
normal operations routine animal emergences controlled no public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$145K vs baseline
Single containment breach or public exposure requiring retrieval, overtime, targeted legal response, and elevated veterinary care.
single animal escape public sighting/exposure localized breach requiring overtime
🚨 Major Breach $4.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Multiple animal escapes, civilian injuries or widespread media exposure requiring large-scale retrievals, legal settlements, and expanded research/containment effort.
multiple animal escapes civilian casualties mass media exposure
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] Six full-time guards to provide continuous 24/7 on-site coverage (three shifts).
Site Supervisor / Security Lead 1 [#8] Senior on-site supervisor responsible for operations and escalation.
Research Scientist 2 [#15] Two dedicated researchers/veterinary-pathology liaisons to coordinate study and containment protocols.
Veterinary Technician / Kennel Staff 1 [#12, #13] On-site or nearby technician to manage short-term holding, triage, and routine animal care.
Administrative Staff / Records Manager 1 [#22, #7] Single admin/records liaison to maintain encrypted logs, permits, and local liaison tasks.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst ranges and mid-point assumptions; major uncertainty is the frequency and severity of veterinary cases (note #13) which can swing recurring costs from low tens of thousands to multiple millions. Staffing/cover models and whether land is leased vs purchased also affect totals.
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