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SCP-1653 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1653
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$733K
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
10
Estimated one-time first-year outlay of $733,150 with recurring annual costs of $1,315,250; main drivers are personnel wages, ongoing research/monitoring, contingency reserves, and specialized containment equipment/retrofits.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $733K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $188K
[#16] Initial laboratory research equipment and bespoke instruments (EEG/MEG-type adaptations, assay equipment, consumable startup stock for neuroscience/network analysis).
Equipment $160K
[#2, #3, #12, #13, #14, #15, #18, #17] Faraday/EM shielding, custom lead-lined shipping crate, monitoring system installation, wired network setup, UPS/generator + HVAC modification equipment, lighting control package, special handling tools/spares, and initial HAZMAT equipment/setup.
Facilities $134K
[#1, #4, #6, #19] Secure containment room construction/retrofit, concrete encapsulation of three B objects, floor/architectural modifications, and passive internal barriers (bollards/partitions).
Replica And Site Replacement $64K
[#8] Replica fabrication and installation plus site cooperation/installation fees (hospital replacement replica and finishing).
Amnestic Operations $63K
[#9] Tracing and amnestic administration to 21 followers/witnesses, field teams, medical supervision and follow-up (midpoint operational estimate).
Legal Pr And Accommodation $55K
[#25] One-time legal/PR/accommodation payments, NDAs, and institutional cooperation fees related to site replacement or public-facing actions.
Decommissioning Planning $55K
[#27] Decommissioning/disposal planning and budgeting (specialized disposal, remediation, archiving) if end-of-containment actions are later required.
Recovery And Transport $15K
[#7] Covert recovery operation: crane/rigging, covered transport, night ops, discrete site restoration/replica placement.
Containment Barrier Materials $650
[#5] Plastic wrapping, polymer barrier layers, and containment liners for concrete pours and isolation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $710K/yr
[#10, #11] Security staffing (6 guards, salaries + benefits) and containment operations staff (containment tech, lead, research/medical specialist, engineer).
Research And Monitoring $210K/yr
[#16, #13] Ongoing research budget for neuroscience/assays and periodic wired-network cybersecurity audits/IT support.
Contingency Fund $125K/yr
[#26] Contingency/escalation fund (10–25% of operating budget) for unanticipated anomalous effects, emergency research, or rapid relocation.
Emergency Response Readiness $90K/yr
[#21] Annual training, equipment readiness, drills, and rapid-response capability for breaches or unexpected behavior.
Administrative Overhead $75K/yr
[#24] Administrative overhead, recordkeeping, background checks, periodic retraining, SOP updates, and compliance audits.
Logistics And Transport $66K/yr
[#22] Storage/long-term custody rental and handling fees if SCP-1653-B are relocated to separate high-security storage.
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#20, #14, #12] Regular inspection/structural integrity testing of concrete blocks and crate seals, HVAC/fuel/backup power maintenance, and monitoring system service contracts.
Supplies And Consumables $14K/yr
[#17, #18] HAZMAT disposal/analysis and replacement of special handling spares/PPE/consumables.
Energy Consumption $5K/yr
[#23] Electricity for continuous monitoring, climate control, and experimental lighting.
Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; containment stable and routine research/maintenance only.
stable_containment routine_maintenance scheduled_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring emergency response, limited repairs, additional amnestics, and short-term research/cleanup.
single_B_movement crate_or_block_damage small-scale_public_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $2.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant breach or multiple-object failure leading to relocation, large amnestic campaign, legal/PR remediation and an expanded research/containment response.
multiple_Bs_escape B_contacts_A large_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#10] Continuous perimeter/guard coverage (2 per shift × 3 shifts).
Containment Technician 1 [#11] Daily checks, crate operation, B area maintenance.
Containment Lead / Supervisor 1 [#11] Oversight of containment operations and coordination with security.
Research Scientist / Medical Specialist 1 [#11, #16] Neuroscience/physiology specialist to run controlled experiments and monitor SCP-1653-A.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#11, #18] Mechanical/electrical support (part-time equivalent) for crate mechanism, HVAC, and rigging.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling midpoint estimates, but anomalous behavior uncertainty (unknown fluids, post-contact effects) and site-specific retrofit variability reduce precision.
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