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SCP-1776 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1776
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$4.5M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
19
One-time setup and hardening costs are moderate (~$4.46M total one-time) dominated by reserves and specialized capabilities; annual recurring costs are driven by contractor security payroll, front-company overhead, legal/PR, and readiness (~$1.8M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.5M
Catastrophic Reserve $2.0M
[#30] Reserve for catastrophic responses (city-scale evacuations, mass remediation, destruction responses).
Class E Capability Establishment $1.5M
[#16] Establishment of Class-E amnestic manufacture/storage/delivery capability (airframe/UAV retrofit, testing, storage).
Captive Insurance Capital $500K
[#26] One-time capitalization for captive insurance / self-insurance vehicle as noted.
Equipment $235K
[#1, #2, #5, #6, #11, #20, #21, #23] Display case, microclimate/case setup, CCTV/tamper sensors initial purchase, UPS/generator hardware, non-lethal equipment purchase, retrofitted secure courier van, decoy flags/cases, initial secure comms hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $165K
[#3, #29] Initial conservation and forensic analysis costs plus initial specialized research program setup.
Facilities $44K
[#4, #13] Secure room construction and flagpole installation; includes mantrap/door reinforcement, anchor reinforcement and plaza reinforcement.
Background Screening Program Setup $20K
[#9] Initial setup costs for background screening/vetting program and international checks.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7, #8, #19] Security contractors (12 contractors incl. employer taxes/benefits) plus on-site security management/admin and partial front-company staffing payroll included.
Cover Story And Legal $170K/yr
[#18, #25] Front-company legal counsel, baseline cover operations, PR monitoring and baseline disinformation/cover costs.
Supplies And Consumables $80K/yr
[#3, #11, #16] Ongoing conservation supplies, non-lethal consumables, Class-E stock rotation / maintenance costs.
Front Company Office Rent And Staffing $80K/yr
[#19] Rent, utilities, and non-payroll office operating costs for front-company presence (staffing payroll accounted in staff_wages).
Research And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#3, #29] Periodic conservation, forensic follow-up, and ongoing specialized research/monitoring contracts.
Recruitment And Vetting $50K/yr
[#9, #10] Ongoing candidate vetting, international checks, and recruitment outreach targeting non-military police/private-security hires.
Insurance Premiums $50K/yr
[#26] Annual premiums for available liability/security policies; smaller than captive capitalization.
Evacuation And Crowd Control Retainer $30K/yr
[#15] Retainer for local non-military security/police liaisons to execute evacuations and crowd control.
Medical Care $30K/yr
[#17] Medical retainer, emergency medical kits, psychological care program and indemnity arrangements.
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#20] Operating costs for secure courier van and transport logistics.
Emergency Drills $25K/yr
[#12] Regular emergency response drills and tabletop exercises with local partners.
Psychological Monitoring $25K/yr
[#28] Ongoing psychological monitoring, staff rotation program and counseling services.
Nonlethal Training $20K/yr
[#11] Annual non-lethal tactics/equipment recertification and training to reduce lethality.
Incident Investigation Reserve $20K/yr
[#22, #30] Annualized reserve for incident investigations, after-action research, and corrective measures (per-incident costs handled from reserve).
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#2, #5, #6, #14] HVAC/microclimate electricity & maintenance, CCTV storage/maintenance, generator fuel & maintenance, plaza/flagpole inspections.
Data Security And Comms $15K/yr
[#23] Secure comms maintenance, encrypted logging, server upkeep and secure deletion handling.
Repair And Replacement Reserve $10K/yr
[#27] Annualized budget for repair/replacement after vandalism/attempted theft.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine maintenance, payroll, and readiness activities only.
no_breach routine_maintenance regular_staffing
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Attempted theft/vandalism or single affected individual episode requiring repairs, investigation, local PR response and limited medical care.
attempted_theft vandalism single_affected_individual
🚨 Major Breach $2.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Larger breach with multiple affected individuals, evacuation, large PR/legal costs, use of amnestic stock, and significant repairs/medical costs.
multi-person_exposure public_display_attempt large_local_riot
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
City-scale riot or destructive event requiring catastrophic response: large evacuations, mass medical care, replenishment of reserves, extensive legal/PR operations and possible asset loss.
mass_containment_failure aerial_amnestic_deployment widespread_casualties
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (contractor) 12 [#7] Twelve full-time contracted non-military security personnel providing 24/7 coverage as specified.
Security Management / Coordinator 3 [#8, #7] On-site manager, security lead and supervisory staff managing TF contractors and access control.
Administrative Staff 3 [#19, #18] Front-company office staff (reception, accounting, HR/payroll for contractors).
Research Scientist / Conservator (part-time/full-time equivalent) 1 [#3, #29] Specialist for conservation, forensic documentation and ongoing research oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance (site-level) 0 [#6] Generator/UPS maintenance contracted rather than staffed; no full-time engineer included in payroll estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are well described in analyst notes, so staffing and baseline recurring costs are fairly certain; large one-time reserves and incident costs (amnestics, catastrophic responses) have wide uncertainty and depend on incident severity and legal/regulatory constraints, hence medium confidence.
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